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Business Model Analysis for the Entrepreneur

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Presentation on theme: "Business Model Analysis for the Entrepreneur"— Presentation transcript:

1 Business Model Analysis for the Entrepreneur

2 Business Models A business model is the summation of the core business decisions and trade-offs employed by a company to earn a profit. In general, these elements fall into four groups: Revenue sources Cost drivers Investment size Critical success factors Source: A Note on Business Model Analysis for the Entrepreneur HBS Note N

3 Draw The Business Model
Driver 1 Driver 1 Revenues Driver 2 Driver 2 Driver 3 Driver 3 Cash Profits Driver 1 Using the tool 1. Draw the key drivers of revenue and cost 2. Identify key drivers and quantify assumptions 3. Test sensitivity to changes in key drivers 4. Identify Key Success Factors for monitoring Costs Driver 2 Driver 3

4 Analyzing the Business Model
Determine revenues, timing and key drivers Determine costs/expenses, timing and key underlying drivers Same for investment Determine the key unit of analysis: a customer / store / unit

5 Using The Business Model to Drive a Forecast
Play out the business model over time, looking at P&L and cash flow How much cash is required to get the business to cash flow breakeven

6 The Cash Flow Cycle for a Venture
Cumulative Cash Flow in $ Date of First Cash Flow Positive Time Maximum Financing Needs Date of Cash Breakeven Burn Rate

7 Business Model Analysis Framework
How Output Valued Inputs Recipe Target Outputs People Revenues Value Creation via Money Customer Base Profits IPO Merger/ Acquisition Dividend Stream Business Model Market Opportunity License Revenues Intellectual Capital Cash Flow Intellectual Property Physical Assets

8 Exhibit 1: Fishbone Diagram for The Grateful Dead Revenue Model
# Concerts Concert Revenue # Tickets Revenue/Concert Price/Ticket # Concerts Total Revenue Merchandise Revenue # Attendees Revenue/Concert Revenue/Attendee Albums Recorded Recording Revenue # Albums Sold Revenue/Album Revenue/Album

9 Exhibit 2: Fishbone Diagram for Seven-Eleven Japan Cost Structure
Price/SKU Cost of Goods Sold # of Suppliers Inventory Turns Development Costs Information Technology Implementation Costs Maintenance Total Cost Head Office Payroll Payroll Employees/Store Daily Wage/Employee Square Footage/Store Price/Square Foot Facilities Advertising Cost/Store Company-wide Spend Marketing/ Advertising

10 Exhibit 4: Cumulative Cash Flow Diagrams for Two Hypothetical Medical Device Ventures
Medical Devices Company Giving Away Instrument Time Medical Devices Company Selling Instrument


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