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Published byNorah Mathews Modified over 9 years ago
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Central Limit Theorem
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p. 601 35,36,37,39 p. 603 41,42,43,44
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If x ~N (µ x,σ x ) then for ANY fixed sample size n: X ~ N(µ x,σx/sqr(n))
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The time that a technician requires to perform preventive maintenance on an air-conditioning unit it governed by the exponential distribution (very skewed right). The mean time isµ=1 and σ = 1. Your company has a contract to maintain 70of these units in an apartment building. Is it safe to budget an average of 1.1 hours per unit or should you budget 1.25 hours per unit?
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If x comes ANY distribution and n>30, then X ~ N(µ x,σx/sqr(n))
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The idea of insurance is that we all face risks that are unlikely but which carry a high cost. Think of a fire destroying your home. So we form a group to share the risk: we all pay a small amount, and the insurance policy pays a large amount to those few of us whose homes burn down. An insurance company looks at the records for millions of homeowners and sees the mean loss from fire in a year is µ= $250 (most of us have no loss, but a few have very large losses.The $250 is the average loss.) So the distribution is strongly skewed right. The standard deviation of the distribution is σ = $300.The company plans to sell fire insurance for $250 plus enough to cover is costs and profit. A. Explain why it would be poor practice to sell only 12 policies, but selling thousands of policies makes sense. B. If the company sells $10,000 policies what is the probability that the average payout will be more than $260?m
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