Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byEvelyn Simpson Modified over 9 years ago
2
2 Commodities Covered US Natural Gas US Electricity Global Crude Oil US Diesel
3
3 Natural Gas
4
4 Price History
5
5 US Production Pullback
6
6 Canada Production Decline to Continue
7
7 Global LNG Supply to Increase in 2009
8
8 Weather-Driven Heating Demand
9
9 Gas-Fired Generation Capacity Growth 2009 EIA Estimates
10
10 Recession Hinders Industrial Activity
11
11 US Natural Gas Price Forecast
12
12 Electric Power
13
13 Power Generation by Source TexasCalifornia New YorkPJM
14
14 Northern California 2009 Forwards
15
15 ERCOT 2009 On-Peak Wholesale Forwards
16
16 New York Zone J 2009 On-Peak Forwards
17
17 PJM (PA-NJ-MD) 2009 On-Peak Forwards
18
18 Crude Oil
19
19 Price History
20
20 OECD Demand Plummets
21
21 China Signals Non-OECD Weakness
22
22 Non-Opec Supply Growth Struggles
23
23 Opec Cuts Aggressively *Bloomberg Data
24
24 Strong US Crude Oil Stock Position
25
25 Crude Oil Price Forecast
26
26 Diesel Fuel
27
27 Where to Watch
28
28 Decoupling Falls Apart - China
29
29 Chinese Diesel Demand Falters
30
30 Has China Stabilized?
31
31 Still Awaiting the US Turnaround…
32
32 Demand Growth Depends on Econ Recovery
33
33 Retail Diesel Price Forecast
34
34 Overview The deteriorating economy has reduced the demand outlook for natural gas, particularly by the industrial sector. Weak pricing and tighter credit conditions have reduced the supply outlook. As a result, the supply/demand balance is expected to be tight, providing support to prices from currently weak levels. Look for most deregulated power markets to largely follow the natural gas market, although some regional nuances could drive prices for short periods of time near settlement. The global recession is weighing heavily on global oil demand and prices. Low prices create a challenging environment for supply development, however, which sets the stage for a strong price recovery when demand returns. Global diesel prices will continue to perform poorly as long as the global economy is in a tailspin. Once economic growth stabilizes, we expect the market to begin to recover in fairly short order.
35
35 Tim Statts Vice President, Risk Management tstatts@summitenergy.com www.summitenergy.com 502.753.3148
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.