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Published byRalph Harmon Modified over 9 years ago
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Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.
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Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors and planning the way to avoid these problems Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Investmen t problems Psychologic al biases Emotions Simplificatio n Mood Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Psychological biases 1. Overconfidence “Don’t confuse brains with a bull market!” “Don’t confuse brains with a bull market!” Figure 1. Dow Jones Industrial Average Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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2. Psychological biases Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Psychological biases “Information can mislead people” Figure 2: Gazprom (GSPBEX) Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Psychological biases Attachment bias Status quo bias Endowment effect 3. Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Psychological biases Attachment bias Figure 3. The INTURAL corporation Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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One important reason that learning from such mistakes is difficult The brain remembers actions better than the reasons for those actions. Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Emotions Fear Greed HopePride Regret Embarrassment Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Figure 4. EESR Emotions Seeking pride Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Figure 5. GMKNorNik Emotions Avoiding regret Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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How to avoid problems? Making sell decisions before they are emotionally tied to the position “You have to love to take losses and hate to take gains” Keeping a reminder of the avoiding regret problem If an investor suffers huge losses, he tries to… avoid taking risk entirely by not owning any stocks - FEAR take on more risk in order to recoup the loss - GREED Main problems Seeking prideAvoiding regret Emotions Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Simplification The bias of representativeness Mental accounting Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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Mood and optimism 1. Bad mood, pessimism usually critical and detailed analysis 2. Optimism Figure 6. RTSIND Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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The main qualities of a successful trader Decision-making psychology on financial markets Quickness of reaction Discipline Experience Concentration Steadiness Readiness to risk Intuition The ability to work in a team The ability to process data Learning capability Communication skills Integrity Independence Analytical thinking Aggression Optimism Mathematical abilities Curiosity Managerial abilities Computer skills Social skills Importance
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Conclusion system trade In our point of view, system trade is one of the best decisions in this situation. This system could exclude emotional problems, of course, if a trader has enough discipline to follow the system. Decision-making psychology on financial markets
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