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I, Allan Davison declare that in the past 3 years: I have received manufacturer funding from the following companies*:No I have done consulting work for the following companies*: No I have done speaking engagements for the following companies*:None I or my family hold individual shares in the following*:None *pharmaceutical or medical/dental equipment 1 Declaration of Conflict of Interest
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2 2 www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition please disturb! Allan Davison adavison@sfu.ca Making hunger history?
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Task of making hunger history-MDG1 3 Where are we? Where are we going? Much better since the MDGs, but far from making hunger history Hunger on a global scale will disappear, in 2 or 3 more 15y plans. New initiatives Only 5-10 nations of 23 will reach 0.7% of GDP. None will forgo unfair trade rules What’s working, what’s not?
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Aid isn’t working Trade for profit instead Trade barriers. Fair trade & aid Population outstrips food supply … we give more than anyone! Trillions wasted! - 1 b still starving MDGs won’t be achieved Most aid corrupt dictators Corrupt multinationals 2008 recession Never promised 0.7% and anyway … “Trade not aid” Broken promises Malthus is wrong 4 V little is wasted ½ what EU gives! Profit motive hasn’t worked - aid is needed “They” didn’t cause it You did so!
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World GDP $PPP per cap (est) 1500-2100 http:// ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics / Manifest destiny of world - wealth China + India 2040? 5
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Number of malnourished world-wide 6 water-carrier See also: WHO, UN, WB, USDA, CIA, OECD, IFPRI UNICEF 2009 http://www.unicef.org/media/files /Tracking_Progress_on_Child_a nd_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_1103 09.pdf Food insufficient for sustenance
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World % undernourished 7 same data 22% 14%
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Number fed & under-nourished worldwide 8 14% Prediction 6%11% Target 33% 88 millions
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9 http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tracking_Progress _on_Child_and_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/32/4/518.full.pdf Percentage stunted 60% 40% 20% Africa Asia Latin Am Last 2 or 3 points are projections 1980 & every 5 years
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10 Paying for total strangers to eat? Not us, not if it goes to corrupt dictators” } 10
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11 http://www.globalissues.org/articl e/35/foreign-aid-development- assistance#GovernmentsCutting BackonPromisedResponsibilities “Development aid”, not spent on poverty or development Lost to: Inefficiency Unfair trade Emergency aid Refugees Tied to benefit rich & Debt relief “Phantom aid”, the wasted 47% Refers to ODA, not MDGs Real aid 53% 60% of US ODA goes to Israel & Iraq
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Corrupt? Dictators? Rich... Accept “bribes” for trade concessions. Their people suffer, & hate them Accept personal & campaign “contributions” peddling influence. Could stop bribery at home & abroad by abolishing secret a/c... & Poor 12 $100k bureaucrats Billions MNCs $10k corrupt dictators $1000k presidents, PMs, bureaucrats wikipediaLockheed Swiss Air
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We know what works: Transparent & accountable, open bids Partnerships not paternalism Goals, objectives, timed milestones Strategies revised annually by both partners Externally monitored. No political pressure Sustainable emphasis on poverty, agriculture Serves recipient needs, not donor / ideology Firm long-term commitments: MV, Grameen Unrealistic? Let’s see... 13 Paul Collier
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Grameen Family of social enterprises Billionaire philanthropists & foundations The Millennium Village project Passionate & influential voices for change Scientists & students bring energy to future Instant spread of innovations: agric, educ, &c Beyond MDGs: amazing changes: 14 www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition
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15 Passionate renegades 15
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The End 16 adavison@sfu.ca www.sfu.ca/global-hunger adavison@sfu.ca www.sfu.ca/global-hunger 16
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17 http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsh eets/fs290/en/index.html http://www.fao.org/mdg/en/ http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/rep orts.shtml#mdgs Number stunted 200m 100m 0 Africa Asia Latin Am 1980 & every 5 years
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