1. The Future of Schools…and The Schools of the Future
For titles and subtitles each word capitalized except articles and prepositions and conjunctions for four or fewer letters. Title and subtitle text appears black on clear/white backgrounds.
Patrick F. Bassett, NAIS President

2. Future of Schools/Schools of the Future
Highlights from…
Trendbook 2011/2012
Top Ten Trends 2011
Top Ten Trends 2012
Schools of the Future
The 5 C’s + 1

3. Trendbook 2011/2012

4. Trendbook 2011/2012

5. Trendbook 2011/2012

6. Trendbook 2011/2012

7. Trendbook 2011/2012
Top 5 % Incomes?

8. Trendbook 2011/2012
The Forever Recession?

9. Trendbook 2011/2012

10. Trendbook 2011/2012

11. Trendbook 2011/2012

12. Trendbook 2011/2012

13. Trendbook 2011/2012 Sticky Messages?
70 % of character -building parents already in our schools
Sticky Messages?

14. Trendbook 2011/2012
The plurality of recipients of financial aid are the upper middle class
Sophie’s Choice? Our profile vs. higher ed’s financial aid profile.

15. Trendbook 2011/2012

16. Trendbook 2011/2012

17. Future of Schools/Schools of the Future
Highlights from…
Trendbook 2011/2012
Top Ten Trends 2011
Top Ten Trends 2012
Schools of the Future

18. Ten Trends –
Trend 3: A Consensus Is Emerging on What Great Teaching Looks Like and the Danger of Its Disappearing in American Schools:
Great teachers ( “teach kids” not subjects) are the hedgehog of independent schools. Meta-analysis of what distinguishes great teachers is that they are smart, and they love kids—they have both high IQ (academic smarts) and high EQ (emotional intelligence).
Problem 1: The demographics of the teacher pool are alarming.
Problem 2: Generally poor students choose to be education majors coming from the least selective colleges and universities and have the lowest grades and SAT scores. High-performing college grads don’t choose teaching (vs. high-performing countries).
Problem 3: Next generation great teaching will be blended, high-tech and high-touch, not an easy combination to retrofit on current faculty.
Problem 4: Movement in American education in general in the wrong directions—towards standardization, not creativity.
Problem 5: Good and bad teachers fairly equally distributed throughout the public school system, affluent and poor districts.
Problem 6: PFB’s extrapolation of Pink’s concepts in Drive: “Too much autonomy given, too little mastery expected”: Professional development over-weighted to serve individuals more so than schools.
Silver Lining: Great teaching the staple of independent school business: We know where to find and train good teachers. (And so does Teach for America.

19. Toxicity for Kids from the Culture Is Growing
Parents have most profound impact on morals.
Mixed signals from parents: spectrum from “I want my child to be happy” (Anthony Campolo) to Black Swan / Tiger Mom expectations of “perfection.”
Weissbourd’s research: Teens’ perception of what they believe to be the most important value for them in their parents’ mind:
For you to be happy
Achieving a high level of income
Having a high status job
Being a good person who cares about others
Gaining entrance into a selective college
2/3rds public & private school kids thought #1 over #4.
½ of high income private school kids thought #5 over #4.
Weissbourd’s comment on academic “pressure”: 30-40% of Harvard’s undergrads on anti-depressants.

20. Future of Schools/Schools of the Future
Highlights from…
Trendbook 2011/2012
Top Ten Trends 2011
Top Ten Trends 2012
Schools of the Future

21. Trend #3: Disruptions in Higher Ed Will Create New Expectations (Source: Chronicle’s College2020 Report, June 2009)
The traditional model of college is changing: proliferation of for-profits; hybrid class schedules with night and weekend meetings; online learning.
Graduation rates down while debt and default rates up: One-half graduate within six years; student loan debt is at an all-time high; loan default rates have risen sharply consigning a growing number of students to years of financial misery. (Debt to Degree: A New Way of Measuring College Success – Education Sector, 2011)
Students’ convenience is the future: classes online; study part time; courses from multiple universities; jumping in and out of colleges.
Acute pressure on traditional colleges to adapt (that have difficulty adapting): The nimble models, for-profit and community colleges and online universities, have growing enrollments. (See also Colleges in Crisis: Disruptive change comes to American higher education, by Clayton M. Christensen and Michael B. Horn, Harvard Magazine July-August 2011)

22. Trend #3 Disruptions in Higher Ed Will Create New Expectations (Source: Chronicle’s College2020 Report, June 2009)
Students now in elementary school are going to expect more: especially more connectivity and creativity.
Just after 2020, minority students will outnumber whites: many being “first gen” students.
Beyond the elite private colleges and flagship public universities, competition for students will increase: choices based on price, convenience, and the perceived strengths of the institutions.
Value proposition of college education is challenged: Bureau of Labor Statistics – only 39 percent of the jobs in the 10 fastest-growing occupations will require a college degree. If traditional colleges cannot keep costs affordable, other college models will take their place.
Implications for Independent Schools: Our college-prep value proposition increases as higher ed’s is challenged.

23. Future of Schools/Schools of the Future
Highlights from…
Trendbook 2011/2012
Top Ten Trends 2011
Top Ten Trends 2012
Schools of the Future

24. Are We Ready for the Big Shifts in Education. (cf
Are We Ready for the Big Shifts in Education? (cf. MacArthur Foundation, 21st. C. Learning)
The Big Shifts
Knowing……………. Doing
Teacher-centered…… Student-centered
The Individual………. The Team
Consumption of Info…Construction of Meaning
Schools………………..Networks (online peers & experts)
Single Sourcing………..Crowd Sourcing
High Stakes Testing……High Value Demonstrations

25. “So What’s it Gonna Be, Eh?”
The End!
For titles and subtitles each word capitalized except articles and prepositions and conjunctions for four or fewer letters. Title and subtitle text appears black on clear/white backgrounds.

26. PLCs & Crowdsourcing Lessons & Curriculum

27. Return Othello – Orson Wells (1952) Othello – Laurence Olivier (1965)
Othello – Laurence Fishbourne (1995)
Othello – Cheers version (1983)
Return

28. Run

29. Run
Return

30. Experiential Ed:
21st C. Skills & Values
Demonstrations of Learning- The 5 C’s.

31. Rio Grande School (NM)

32. Lamplighter School (TX) Egg Business
Run Clip

33. NAIS’s Challenge 20/20: High Noon
Sharing our planet: Issues involving the “global common”
Global warming
Biodiversity and ecosystem losses
Fisheries depletion
Deforestation
Water deficits
Maritime safety and pollution
Sharing our humanity: Issues requiring a global commitment & covenant
Massive step-up in the fight against poverty
Peacekeeping, conflict prevention, combating terrorism
Education for all
Global Infectious Diseases
Digital divide
Natural disaster prevention and mitigation
Sharing our rulebook: Issues needing a global regulatory approach
Reinventing taxation for the 21st century
Biotechnology rules
Global financial architecture
Illegal drugs
Trade, investment, and competition rules
Intellectual property rights
E-commerce rules
International labor and migration rules.

34. 20/20 Fay School Entrepreneurship: Global Problem: Water Deficits Global Solution: WaterWalker
Fay School (MA) 8th graders

35. Challenge 20/20: Montessori School of Denver
Return

36. Creativity, Robotics, Teaming and STEM
Falmouth Academy’s Submersible Robot
Return

37. Expeditionary Leadership Training Upper School “Borders” Project – Watershed School, CO
NOLS-based Leadership Basics:
Taking Care of…
Yourself…
Your Stuff…
Your Responsibilities to the Team
In the context of real-world project-based learning and problem-solving
Measured by CWRA critical-thinking assessment.
Results: Outperformed 99% of college freshmen
Return

38. Grant Wood’s Victorian Survival
Smithsonian Podcast interpretation by Katy Waldman, Holton Arms School
Demonstration of Learning

39. Crowdsourcing Meets Gaming
Gaming as an amazing new therapy for kids with autism:
Average young person today will spend 10,000 hours with online
gaming (same amount of time in school from grades 5 – 12). See Return

40. Top 5% Incomes

41. Top 5% Incomes

42. Top 5% Incomes Return PFB: The “X-Factor”: increasing market share.
What are your three scenarios?
Return

43. NAIS Parent Motivation Survey – 2011 (High Income Families, Actively Searching)
Parents Who Push: Seek challenging schools for their kid they consider very smart and “gifted”
Messages about test scores & college placement:
“An environment where your child is free to be challenged by teachers who are free to teach.”
Success-Driven Parents: Seek schools that will help their kids get into top tier colleges as a step to a successful life
Messages about quality and diversity of student body:
“Excellence, not standardization, is the standard.”

44. NAIS Parent Motivation Survey – 2011 (High Income Families, Actively Searching)
Special Kids Parents: Seek a school that can meet their child’s unique learning or behavior or personality needs.
Messages about high quality teachers and high academic standards to help their child reach his or her potential:
“You expect success. We make it happen.”
Character-Building Parents: Seek a school that emphasizes strong moral and character values, good citizenship, and high academic standards:
Messages about “the second curriculum”:
“Sometimes an education is about more than just knowing the right answer. It’s about knowing what’s right.”

45. NAIS Parent Motivation Survey – 2011 (High Income Families, Actively Searching)
Public School Proponents: Seek the best public school because they believe those schools can provide all their kids need.
Messages: Don’t bother with this group – Unlikely to win them over.
Other Sticky Messages?
“Can you afford not to afford an independent school education?”
“We know your kid. The colleges know us.”
Return

46. Demonstrations of Learning: “What you do, not what you know, the ultimate test of education.” ~PFB Tweet
Conduct a fluent conversation in a foreign language about of piece of writing in that language. (Stanford University requirement)
Write a cogent and persuasive opinion piece on a matter of public importance.
Declaim with passion and from memory a passage that is meaningful, of one’s own or from the culture’s literature or history.
Demonstrate a commitment to creating a more sustainable and global future with means that are scalable
Invent a machine or program a robot capable of performing a difficult physical task.

47. Demonstrations of Learning
Exercise leadership in arena which you have passion and expertise.
Using statistics, assess if a statement by a public figure is demonstrably true.
Assess media coverage of a global event from various cultural/national perspectives. (“Arab Spring” vs. 6th grade US history unit on “causes of the revolution”)
Describe a breakthrough for a project-based team on which you participated in which you contributed to overcoming a human-created obstacle.
Produce or perform or stage or interpret a work of art.
Return

48. Ten (more) Trends for School Leaders to Ponder (see Top Ten Trends 2010-11 PPT for First Ten)
Boards Become Focused on the Strategic: NAIS’s Trendbook
Disruptions in K-12 Education Will Provide New Challenges
Disruptions in Higher Ed Will Produce New Expectations
The Future of Mobile is the Future of Everything
Market Segmentation as the New Marketing Imperative
Cosmopolitanism Emerging as the “Sixth Competency” Schools of the Future
Hyper-Parenting Exerting a Heavy Toll on Kids
Beyond the 3 R’s of Recruitment, Reward, & Retention: Managing Talent a Priority
The Profession will be Professionalized
Schools will be more Flexible, Accommodating, and Innovative
Return

49. Cannon School Mobile App

50. The Forever Recession
Seth Godin’s Blog: The Forever Recession (and the Coming Revolution) Cyclical recessions vs. forever recessions: the “race to the bottom” to return industrial factories to the U.S. will inevitably fail because someone elsewhere will always be able to produce goods cheaper.
The coming revolution will be Internet-based: entrepreneurs who will network, market, create to produce value.
Tom Friedman Oct 21, 2011 Op Ed “One Country – Two Revolutions” : The coming revolution here now, in Silicon Valley. The cloud & mobile computing making everyone a potential Mark Zuckerberg.