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The President IV 2/21/2012
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Clearly Stated Learning Objectives Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: – understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present (the sections on the presidency and Electoral College). – assess the 2008 & 2012 Presidential Elections without resorting to partisan bickering. – identify and explain the role of formal and informal institutions and their effect on policy.
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Office Hours and Readings Readings- Chapter 10 on the Bureaucracy Office Hours – Today 12-2 – Wednesday 8-11
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USING OTHER POWERS Presidential Success
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Executive Stuff Executive Orders Carry the weight of law Must be on a single issue Cannot require new revenues Die when the president leaves Executive Agreements Bilateral agreements with other nations Carry the weight of a treaty Not that great of a power The Senate hates these
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The Veto The “Smart Bomb” in the legislative process Most vetoes are sustained Can be overused Threats work better
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INFORMAL POWERS Politics by other Means
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The Power to Persuade Richard Neustadt Presidential Power is the Power To Persuade
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Persuasion What is Persuasion You have to convince them by what ever means necessary Getting Decision makers to do what you want – The Johnson Treatment
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Getting things Done: Trading Favors Prestige of the office Granting New Favors Calling in Past Favors
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Getting Things Done: Reprisals Monetary Threats Campaign Threats Policy Threats
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Why Persuasion Fails Threats are Not Credible Favors are not worth it Electoral Security and temporal forces
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Why President Obama is Currently having difficulty persuading Republicans do not want to compromise Democrats are already on board The Election is getting close
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Everything is inside
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GOING PUBLIC Samuel Kernell
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Going Public Using presidential popularity to by-pass Congress and take the message to the people. A Two Step Model
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Requirements High reliance on the media Use the same tools as the campaign
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Who is good at “Going Public” Political Outsiders Popular Presidents Presidents who are good communicators Presidents facing divided government
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How it Can fail: No Coverage
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How it Can Fail: Missteps http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2HOBTUCv4o0
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How it can Fail: Disinterest
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How it Can Fail: Getting off Message
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How it can fail: A guy throws a shoe at you http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OM3Z_Kskl_U
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Going Public is Risky You must have public support on the issue You cannot do it too much Unpopular presidents will not be able to do it
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WHY DOES EVERYONE HATE THE PRESIDENT?
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The Media hate the President They punish failure They do not reward success Bad news is better for ratings
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Congress hates the president Different Goals Different Time frames Divided Government
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The People Turn on the President Term Limits We Grow tired of the president The realities of the office
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IS THE PRESIDENT DOOMED TO FAIL? Keeping your head above water
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Presidential Approval
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The Key’s To Presidential Popularity Strong Economy Staying away from Scandal Rally around the Flag events http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7TTBL6WXAY
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How to Lose it
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President Obama: On the Ledge
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Bureaucracy
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What is a Bureaucracy The Bureaucracy are the organizations that administer programs and policies in both government and the private sector Where we see it – SEU – Business – The Government Bureaucrats the individuals in these organizations.
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Why A Bureaucracy?: The Tasks of Government The Constitution sets up a need for bureaucrats You have to have people to administer these tasks
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Why a Bureaucracy: The Public Goods Problem What are public goods? Business will not touch it How do you protect/provide these?
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Why a Bureaucracy? Size
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Why a Bureaucracy: Human Resources 2 million employees 1.4 million active duty personnel 24% of Total GDP
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The Bureaucracy in the Constitution No specific mention Article II- implies a bureaucracy The Founders didn’t expect a large role
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The Pendleton Act and The Spoils System “To the victor goes the spoils” James Garfield (RIP) The Pendleton Act (1883)
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