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Published byHoratio Whitehead Modified over 9 years ago
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Managing Supply and Demand
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Strategies for Matching Supply and Demand for Services DEMAND STRATEGIES Partitioning demand Developing complementary services Establishing price incentives Developing reservation systems Promoting off-peak demand Yield management SUPPLY STRATEGIES Cross- training employees Increasing customer participation Sharing capacity Scheduling work shifts Creating adjustable capacity Using part-time employees
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Partitioning Demand at a Health Clinic Smoothing Demand by Appointment Scheduling Day Appointments Monday 84 Tuesday 89 Wednesday 124 Thursday 129 Friday 114
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Discriminatory Fee Schedule for Camping Experience No. of Daily type Days and weeks of camping season days fee 1 Saturdays and Sundays of weeks 10 to 15, plus 14 $6.00 Dominion Day and civic holidays 2 Saturdays and Sundays of weeks 3 to 9 and 15 to 19, 23 2.50 plus Victoria Day 3 Fridays of weeks 3 to 15, plus all other days of weeks 43 0.50 9 to 15 that are not in experience type 1 or 2 4 Rest of camping season 78 free EXISTING REVENUE VS PROJECTED REVENUE FROM DISCRIMINATORY PRICING Existing flat fee of $2.50 Discriminatory fee Experience Campsites Campsites type occupied Revenue occupied (est.) Revenue 1 5.891 $14,727 5,000 $30,000 2 8,978 22,445 8,500 21,250 3 6,129 15,322 15,500 7.750 4 4,979 12,447 …. …. Total 25,977 $ 64,941 29,000 $59,000
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Hotel Overbooking Decision Matrix Number of Reservations Overbooked No- Prob- shows ability 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0.07 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1.19 40 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2.22 80 40 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 3.16 120 80 40 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 4.12 160 120 80 40 0 100 200 300 400 500 5.10 200 160 120 80 40 0 100 200 300 400 6.07 240 200 160 120 80 40 0 100 200 300 7.04 280 240 200 160 120 80 40 0 100 200 8.02 320 280 240 200 160 120 80 40 0 100 9.01 360 320 280 240 200 160 120 80 40 0 Expected loss, $ 121.60 91.40 87.80 115.00 164.60 231.00 311.40 401.60 497.40 560.00
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Scheduling Part-time Bank Tellers 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Tellers required Mon. Tues. Wed. Thurs. Fri. Two Full-time Tellers 5 4 1 3 2 1 4 3 21 52 Fri. Mon. Wed. Thurs Tues. 0 1 2 3 4 5 Tellers required Decreasing part-time teller demand histogram DAILY PART-TIME WORK SCHEDULE, X=workday Teller Mon. Tues. Wed. Thurs. Fri. 1 x …. x …. x 2 x …. …. x x 3,4 x …. …. …. x 5 …. …. x …. x
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Daily Scheduling of Telephone Operator Workshifts Scheduler program assigns tours so that the number of operators present each half hour adds up to the number required Topline profile 12 2 4 6 8 10 12 2 4 6 8 10 12 Tour 12 2 4 6 8 10 12 2 4 6 8 10 12
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Weekly Workshift Scheduling with Days-off Schedule matrix, x = day off Operator Su M Tu W Th F Sa 1 x x … … … …... 2 … x x … … … … 3 …... x x … … … 4 …... x x … … … 5 … … … … x x … 6 … … … … x x … 7 … … … … x x … 8 x … … … … … x Total 6 6 5 6 5 5 7 Required 3 6 5 6 5 5 5 Excess 3 0 0 0 0 0 2
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Seasonal Allocation of Rooms by Service Class for Resort Hotel First class Standard Budget Percentage of capacity allocated to different service classes 60% 50% 30% 20% 50% Peak Shoulder Off-peak Shoulder (30%) (20%) (40%) (10%) Summer Fall Winter Spring Percentage of capacity allocated to different seasons 30% 20% 10% 30% 50% 30%
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Ideal Characteristics for Yield Management u Relatively Fixed Capacity u Ability to Segment Markets u Perishable Inventory u Product Sold in Advance u Fluctuating Demand u Low Marginal Sales Cost and High Capacity Change Cost
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Demand Control Chart for a Hotel Expected Reservation Accumulation 2 standard deviation control limits
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Yield Management Using the Critical Fractile Model Where x = seats reserved for full-fare passengers d = demand for full-fare tickets p = proportion of economizing (discount) passengers C u = lost revenue associated with reserving one too few seats at full fare (underestimating demand). The lost opportunity is the difference between the fares (F-D) assuming a passenger, willing to pay full-fare (F), purchased a seat at the discount (D) price. C o = cost of reserving one to many seats for sale at full-fare (overestimating demand). Assume the empty full-fare seat would have been sold at the discount price. However, C o takes on two values, depending on the buying behavior of the passenger who would have purchased the seat if not reserved for full-fare. if an economizing passenger if a full fare passenger (marginal gain) Expected value of C o = pD-(1-p)(F-D) = pF - (F-D)
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