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PACS 4500 Senior Seminar in Peace and Conflict Studies Section 001 Guy Burgess
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The BDS Threat http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/02/11/opinion/cohen- the-bds-threat.html?from=opinion
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The Precariat http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/02/11/opinion/brooks- the-american-precariat.html?referrer=
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Heritage Foundation http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/dana-milbank-the-heritage-foundations-policy- summit-had-few-new-ideas/2014/02/10/3ede95ee-92a0-11e3-84e1- 27626c5ef5fb_story.html
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Writing of the Unemployed http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/02/10/opinion/krugman-writing-off-the- unemployed.html
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Austrians http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/ej -dionne-jr-an-economic-school-has-led-to- gridlock-in- washington/2014/02/09/12de8df0-9020- 11e3-b46a-5a3d0d2130da_story.html
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D2L Gradebook Update
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This Week Required Reading to be discussed NEXT WEEK (reading reflections - RR4 - on this material are due noon, Monday Feb. 10.) Threaded Text narrative – familiarize yourself with the system [Link to be added.] PACS2500 Review Wehr "Conflict Mapping" "Conflict Mapping" Shmueli "Conflict Assessment" LinkConflict AssessmentLink PACS2500 Review Lederach "Levels of Action" (Lederach's triangle)Levels of Action" (Lederach's triangle) PACS2500 Review Ury "The Third Side" "The Third Side Framing Questions include: What aspects of the Wehr, Shmueli, Lederach, and Ury readings seem to relate (and be useful) to your conflict (how and why)? What topics in the threaded text seem to be useful for your research -- and why?
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Threaded Text
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Piecing Together the Puzzle
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Threaded Text I Introduction Preliminary Considerations Distinguishing Conflicts from Disputes Scale and Complexity Your Relationship to the Conflict / Dispute Conflict Assessment and “Mapping” “Traditional” Conflict Assessment Graphical Conflict Mapping Core Substantive Issues in Conflict Distributional Conflict Moral Conflict Status Conflicts Identity Conflicts Conflict as the Engine of Social Learning
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Threaded Text II Destructive Conflict Dynamics – And Constructive Responses Misunderstandings Destructive, Partisan Framing Spreading Disinformation Flawed Fact-Finding, Interpretation, and Utilization Escalation Violence Unrightable Wrongs Lack of Collective Purpose Lack of Future Vision Destructive Competition Over-Reliance on Coercive Power or “Power Over” The Profiteer / Spoiler Problem The Machiavelli Problem
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Expandable Tree
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RR #3 Comments Nature of cause and effect Interdisciplinary versus multidisciplinary and University bias in favor of disciplinary work Boulding – Sub-optimization – finding the best way to do something that shouldn't be done Projects that are successful at the project level can be counterproductive at the system level Overreaching Iraqi security details (Blackwater) Dynamics behind micro macro paradox Big questions: What is the proper balance between “central planning,” “unity of effort” projects and “thousand flowers bloom,” “massively parallel” (but still knowledgeable and well motivated) efforts Peacebuilding’s market share of conflict interactions
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RR #3 Comments Nature of chaos – prepare to be surprised not dumbfounded Mathematics of deteriorating predictions over time Adaptation and the cultural/social lag problem – how does one speed the adaptation process while not over adapting (to fads) Planning acting learning (PAL) basically an adaptation formula Can we have a productivity revolution in peacebuilding by keeping the costs down – Common ground Third World outsourcing model Web- based information systems Definition of peace, a decent society. Are they the same thing or different
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RR #3 Comments Discussion of the relationship between means and ends in the advisability of using means that are inconsistent with the ends Is complexity or complicated-based thinking tied up in cause and effect Disease pathology paradigm on an individual and the systemic level GST understanding system components within the super system -- doesn't necessarily mean that you understand the super system GST also notices that system dynamics are in many ways independent of the domain in which they operate Exponential growth, negative and positive feedback,
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RR #3 Comments PowerPoint syndrome “Power-play” and running out clock) Organizational inertia embedded in things like the PowerPoint problem Tom Ricks Called to investigate the generals who commanded Iraq and Afghanistan The Tommy Franks Fiasco story The super spaghetti diagram – still have to understand an act on each arrow From solutions focused to learning focused!!!! Informed choices – structure RFP processes so that people have to get lots of people to say that what they are doing is useful – must deal with the competition problem
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RR #3 Comments Realist paradigm – playing the same destructive conflict as usual game well (or changing the game) CAOCL training story For complexity look at something as simple as a football and basketball our hockey or soccer game Academic debate vs. incorporating the best ideas into your worldview (and not focusing on specific things to disagree with) To what extent is it a level of effort problem rather than a type of thinking problem Can't fix these problems on the cheap AInalysis paralysis and the danger of too much conflict mapping Academic writing the danger of academic writing
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Mapping Audience The Parties – prepare your map to see if you are writing for the parties themselves (and not just your instructor). Include: Adversaries Intervenors Observers
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Optimal Information Levels TMI: Too Much Information The Goldilocks Point: Just the Right About of Information Blindsided: Too little information
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Drawing, Prezi, PowerPoint, Web Pan & Zoom Slideshow & Hyperlink Web Site 2D Map
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Simple (sort of) Two Dimensional Map
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Real World Map Source : “Some Streams of Systemic Thought,” International Institute for General Systems Studies h/t : Bob Williams
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Map Layers
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Map Scale – Macro, Meso, Micro
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Time Series
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Key Mapping Project Features Presentation sequence that will allow readers to “page through” your map in a logical order. Hyperlinked “browse” capability that allows readers to go back and examine specific parts of your map in greater detail (including, for example, reading any paragraphs that you may have included or watching associated videos). Include the following key elements: Parties and associated “attributes,” Issues and background information needed to understand the “story,” Dispute history (with associated “power relationships”) Ricigliano’s structural, attitudinal, and transactional elements, Dynamics and feedback loops.
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No Blueprints, Be Creative!
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Power Point-Based Conflict Map http://bit.ly/12n6t5I
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Power Point-Based Conflict Map
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Website-based Conflict Map http://bit.ly/1a8lqPF
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Prezi-Based Conflict Map http://bit.ly/13Ixp6e
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Prezi-Based Conflict Map
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“You Are Here” Maps You Are Here
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“Adopt-a-Highway” Maps
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Info Graphics http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2013/03/great-american-inequality- video
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Infographics
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Sheboygan, WI
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The Interrupters http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/interrupters/
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Group Facilitation Select a facilitator Select a recorder Record ideas presented/discussed
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Things we might contribute to the Interrupters The importance of storytelling Strategies for promoting respect Strategies for overcoming misunderstandings Cooling-off periods Understanding the social dimensions of the problem Comparison with soldier demobilization The prominent role of elders Community policing Crisis response teams Trauma treatment hierarchy – application to communities
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