1. New Futures for the Air Program Where do we go from here? April 2002

2. Overview of Briefing Progress to date Progress to date View of next 10 years View of next 10 years Changing Roles Changing Roles Common themes and issues Common themes and issues Work in progress (not a done deal!) Work in progress (not a done deal!) Dialogue with stakeholders Dialogue with stakeholders Transition steps Transition steps

3. 1970-1990’s: 3 Decades of Progress Major reductions in criteria pollutant emissions and improvements in air quality Major reductions in criteria pollutant emissions and improvements in air quality 1990’s: Fulfilled Many CAAA Promises 1990’s: Fulfilled Many CAAA Promises –25 million more people breathing clean air –2.2 million tons/yr of toxics removed –Improvements in understanding risk –Progress with regional solutions (e.g., OTAG) Decoupled emissions from growth Decoupled emissions from growth What did the situation look like in 1990 and how has it changed over the decade?

4. As the 1990’s began, there were many air quality issues

5. … as we complete the efforts of the 90’s

6. New Directions in the 1990’s Regional & Community-based initiatives (OTAG, RPO’s) Regional & Community-based initiatives (OTAG, RPO’s) Information & Accountability Information & Accountability NAAQS changes – PM 2.5 & Ozone NAAQS changes – PM 2.5 & Ozone Market-based trading Market-based trading Benefits better characterized Benefits better characterized

7. What Have Been Our Roles In The 90’s ? Regions Reviewing Almost 2800 SIP Revisions Reviewing Almost 2800 SIP Revisions Tracking Sanction Clocks Tracking Sanction Clocks Outreach on Radon Programs Outreach on Radon Programs Reviewing State Permit Programs Reviewing State Permit Programs Reviewing NSR/Title 5/Acid Rain Permits Reviewing NSR/Title 5/Acid Rain Permits Getting Tribal Programs Established Getting Tribal Programs Established Worked Through OTAG, FACA, PPA’s/PPG’s & GPRA Worked Through OTAG, FACA, PPA’s/PPG’s & GPRA MACT Delegation MACT Delegation Outreach on Indoor Air Outreach on Indoor Air Asthma/Children’s Health Programs Asthma/Children’s Health Programs Environmental Justice Environmental JusticeHeadquarters Motor Vehicles/Fuels Motor Vehicles/Fuels SIP Guidance SIP Guidance Acid Rain Program Acid Rain Program Stratospheric Ozone Rules/Programs Stratospheric Ozone Rules/Programs Global Warming/Energy Efficiency Programs (Energy Star, etc.) Global Warming/Energy Efficiency Programs (Energy Star, etc.) Air Toxics Standards Air Toxics Standards Rules/Guidance for Title V and NSR Permit Programs Rules/Guidance for Title V and NSR Permit Programs Indoor Air/Radon Outreach Indoor Air/Radon Outreach Air Quality Standards Air Quality Standards

8. Where Are We Now? What’s the picture in 2002? What’s the picture in 2002? –New data for PM2.5 and 8-hour ozone affect the nonattainment picture –425 counties (143 million people) would have monitored violations of at least one of the NAAQS Regional nature of problem calls for strategies like Clear Skies Regional nature of problem calls for strategies like Clear Skies

9. … into 2000’s with 8-hr Ozone and PM2.5 NAAQS

10. Where Might We Be in 2010? Implementation of key national programs Implementation of key national programs –Tier II for vehicles and fuels –Heavy Duty diesel –Clean Skies initiative VMT will continue to grow, but cars, light trucks and SUV’s 99% cleaner than those purchased in 1970 VMT will continue to grow, but cars, light trucks and SUV’s 99% cleaner than those purchased in 1970 Widespread nonattainment not likely to be a problem Widespread nonattainment not likely to be a problem Nitrogen, sulfur & mercury deposition decreasing Nitrogen, sulfur & mercury deposition decreasing Improvements expected to continue to 2020 & beyond Improvements expected to continue to 2020 & beyond

11. … beyond the next decade if additional measures are taken FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY DO NOT DISTRIBUTE – BASED ON QUALITATIVE PROJECTIONS

12. Our World is Changing We are completing CAA requirements We are completing CAA requirements Expectations of stakeholders are changing Expectations of stakeholders are changing Emerging challenges: Emerging challenges: –Market based/innovative approaches –Alternatives to HQ Command & Control –Regional planning approach –Community-based programs –Ag/forestry issues/sector-based –International

13. 2002 – 2010 and Beyond: What will our Roles Be? Regions Review SIP Revisions Review SIP Revisions Review Title 5 Permits Review Title 5 Permits Review NSR Permits Review NSR Permits Targeted Outreach Programs Targeted Outreach Programs Regional Planning Bodies Regional Planning Bodies Indoor Air/Radon Work Indoor Air/Radon Work Community-level Risk Assessments Community-level Risk Assessments Work on Tribal Programs Work on Tribal Programs Homeland Security/Response Homeland Security/Response GPRA – Performance Investment Strategies GPRA – Performance Investment Strategies Emerging Issues Emerging IssuesHeadquarters National Rulemaking (toxics, mobile, etc) National Rulemaking (toxics, mobile, etc) Guidance/Development of Innovative and Guidance/Development of Innovative and Voluntary Programs Voluntary Programs Managing/Tech Support for National Programs Managing/Tech Support for National Programs Emerging Issues, Revisions to Act (3P, etc.) Emerging Issues, Revisions to Act (3P, etc.) Homeland Security/Response Homeland Security/Response Establish & Monitor Performance Measures Establish & Monitor Performance Measures Regional/Community-Based Programs Regional/Community-Based Programs Command and Control Command and Control Innovative/Voluntary Programs & Building Alliances Innovative/Voluntary Programs & Building Alliances

14. Common Themes for the Future Be friendly to innovation Be friendly to innovation More focus on localized problems More focus on localized problems –Develop tools to support local & regional problem solving –Examples: Nitrogen in Chesapeake Bay Nitrogen in Chesapeake Bay Shenandoah haze Shenandoah haze PM in NYC PM in NYC Work collaboratively with partners to develop national & regional measures Work collaboratively with partners to develop national & regional measures Improve information systems & accountability Improve information systems & accountability

15. Addressing EPA Air Program Priorities Multi-pollutant legislation Multi-pollutant legislation –Modeling/Analytical support –Sector-based approaches Improving Existing Programs Improving Existing Programs –NSR, Title V, Attainment Programs Toxics Risk Reduction Toxics Risk Reduction –Community-based (e.g., Cleveland) –Real time data delivery Voluntary programs Voluntary programs –Information systems to establish accountability –Ozone Flex –AIRNow –Diesel Retrofit –Asthma Activities (Education & Outreach,Tools for Schools, Smoke – free Home Pledge) Homeland Security Homeland Security –Inventory of available resources –Outfitting mobile response capability

16. Specific Actions Underway 1.Expanding AQI (PM, Spanish language) 1.Expanding AQI (PM, Spanish language) 2.Ozone Flex 2.Ozone Flex 3.Local innovative initiatives (e.g., Cleveland, Charlotte) 3.Local innovative initiatives (e.g., Cleveland, Charlotte) 4.Innovative approaches conference 4.Innovative approaches conference 5.Data Warehouse 5.Data Warehouse 6.Redirecting resources 6.Redirecting resources 7.Communicating with stakeholders 7.Communicating with stakeholders

17. Turning Dialogue into Action This is a work in progress This is a work in progress Agree on common themes and directions to go Agree on common themes and directions to go Identify tangible pilots and programs to jointly pursue Identify tangible pilots and programs to jointly pursue Ongoing communication among stakeholders Ongoing communication among stakeholders –Continue to foster partnership –HQ-Regional Steering committee –Region-State (and Tribe) communication

18. What Do YOU think? Does this match your view of the future? Does this match your view of the future? What are the implications for your programs? What are the implications for your programs? What are the obstacles and opportunities? What are the obstacles and opportunities? How do we know we are making progress? What measures should we use? How do we know we are making progress? What measures should we use? What are opportunities for presenting this to stakeholders and getting their feedback? What are opportunities for presenting this to stakeholders and getting their feedback?