1. Appendix 5 Shin-ichi Sakai Substance Flow Approach for Regionally Based Assessment of POPs

3. Human-Activity-Based Sources of POPs Intentionally produced substances for commercial activities of industry, agriculture and medicine --PCBs, PCP, DDT, Aldrin, Dieldrin, Endrin, HCH, etc. Unintentionally produced by-products during chemical and combustive reactions -- PCDDs/DFs, Co-PCBs, etc.

4. Three Backgrounds of POPs 1. There are two types: intentional products and unintentional by- products. 2. They widely range from regional level to global level. 3. There is a time lag between emission, transport and accumulation.

5. Regionally Based Assessment of POPs - Material Flow Approach 1. Inventory of each POPs source in the regional environment, paying attention to air, soil and water phase 2. Input/Output analysis to understand which processes destroy or produce POPs for products and waste circulating in various industrial and social sectors as a material chain 3. Time trend analysis using soil or sediment core to evaluate accumulativeness and persistency

6. Source Inventory of PCDDs/DFs in Japan Inventory issued by MITI in November 1998 Total emission into air: 5,300 g-TEQ/yr MSW incineration: 80% Steel manufacturing (electric furnace): 190 g-TEQ/yr, 3.5% Steel manufacturing (sintering): 119 g-TEQ/yr, 2.2% Zinc recovery: 34 g-TEQ/yr, 0.6% Aluminum alloy manufacturing: 16 g-TEQ/yr, 0.3% Inventory issued by MHW in September 1998 Emission from MSW incineration with high PCDDs/DFs concentration was reduced from 1,338 g-TEQ/yr in 1997 to 94 g-TEQ/yr in 1998.

7. Material Chain Taking zinc recovery processes as an example, -Zinc is recovered from fly ash containing PCDDs/DFs from steel manufacturing of scrap metals. -PCDDs/DFs contained in fly ash are mostly decomposed in the refining process of zinc recovery. (Approx. 70% of PCDDs/DFs are decomposed.) PCDDs/DFs, not destroyed during the refining process and formed during the waste gas treatment process, amount to 34 g-TEQ/yr. It is important to understand the industrial chain of these materials in controlling PCDDs/DFs is important.

8. An Example of Regional Water System Lake Biwa - Largest lake in Japan -Surface area: 685 km 2 -Volume: 27.5 m 3 -North-south longest length: 63 km -East-west longest length: 23 km -Maximum depth: 104 m -Average depth: 41 m Catchment area of Lake Biwa is 3,848 km 2, 53% of the total basin of the Yodo river, where 120 rivers start from mountains in Shiga prefecture flow together.

9. An Example of Regional Water System The Yodo river - Length of the main river: 75.1 km -Average flow volume: 200 m 3 /sec -70% of the volume originates from Lake Biwa. -It runs through 5 prefectures, Osaka, Kyoto, Hyogo, Shiga and Mie. -Size of the basin: 7,281 km 2, 35% of the area of the Kinki region A source of drinking water for 14 mio people in the Kinki district Use for agricultural and industrial activities

10. An Example of Regional Water System Osaka Bay - Elliptic Inland Sea -Location: Eastern part of the Seto Inland Sea -Long axis: 60 km -Short axis: 30 km -Surface area: 1,400 km 2 -Average depth: 28 m Osaka Bay leads to the ocean through the Tomogashima Channel and leads to the Sea of Harima through the Akashi Strait. The main current runs through the Tomogashima Channel and the Akashi Strait taking the route from the center of the bay toward the western side. The water from the land, pours into the bay from inner part of the bay, flows toward the mouth of the bay along the eastern side.

11. PCBs Concentration Level in the Water System of Lake Biwa and Osaka Bay Investigation Fukushima et al. traced the PCBs concentrations in the water system of Lake Biwa, the Yodo River and Osaka Bay in order to judge the effect of the PCBs regulation and to clarify the PCBs transport in the water environment.

12. PCBs Concentration Level in the Water System Results Before the regulation: Level in the surface stream was high in vigorously productive and consumptive areas. After the regulation: Level in rivers running through Osaka City lowered:0.18 µg/ 0.02 µg/ Level in rivers flowing into the Yodo River lowered:0.07 µg/ 0.01 µg/ Level in the main course of the Yodo River retained 0.01 µg/. Level in the surface water of the coastal area of Osaka Bay:0.05 µg/ 0.01 µg/

13. PCBs Concentration Level in the Water System Conclusion Except for inconsistencies before and after 1978, the PCBs levels in the surface water and the sediment are proportional. PCBs in the surface water of the coast and the mouth of the river are removed by the settling of suspended particles. PCBs removed with particles is piled up as sediment. The settled PCBs with particles determines the PCBs level in the surface layer of the sediment.

14. Material Flow Analysis To manage organic substances which are formed and decomposed in society, such as PCDDs/DFs, the material flow concept is more important than material balance. Through the input/output analysis from each source to various environmental media, we can understand the appropriate control and monitoring points.

15. Co-PCBs Co-PCBs can be classified into two groups according to their sources: 1.CO-PCBs contained in PCBs products manufactured in the past Approx. 60,000 tons of PCBs were produced by 1972 in Japan. Approx. 50,000 tons of PCBs are assumed to still be in use or stock in industrial facilities. 2.Co-PCBs formed as by-products of various incineration processes

16. Co-PCBs Formation in Incineration Processes Percentages of Co-PCBs in all PCBs detected in emission gas and fly ash: 5~10% Compared to Co-PCBs in PCB products which account for 1%, the percentage of Co-PCBs in all PCBs formed in the incineration process is higher. Contribution rate of Co-PCBs to the TEQ- concentration of PCDDs/DFs: 2~4% * Only 3 kinds of non-ortho Co-PCBs (#77, #126 and #169) were measured.

17. Co-PCBs in Different Compositions of MSW Concentration of #118 (2,3’,4,4’,5-P 5 CB) was high. Concentrations of #105 (2,3,3’,4,4’-P 5 CB) and #77 (3,3’,4,4’-T 4 CB) were also relatively high. Congener profiles of Co-PCBs in MSW compositions and atmosphere were completely different from those in emission gas and fly ash from MSW incineration facilities.

18. Input Amount per waste-ton (wet basis) PCBs:13,000 ~ 33,000 µg/waste-ton Co-PCBs:450 ~ 550 µg/waste-ton, 0.13 ~ 0.29 µg-TEQ/waste-ton PCDDs/DFs:1.2 µg-TEQ/waste-ton Contribution rate of Co-PCBs : 19%

19. Total Values of PCBs and Co-PCBs Released from MSW Incinerators Results: Total TEQ-based amount of Co-PCBs: 2.8 µg-TEQ/waste-ton (> the input amount of 0.29 µg-TEQ/waste-ton) Total input amount of PCBs: 13,000 ~ 33,000 µg/waste-ton Total output amount: 1,000 µg/waste-ton Over 90% of PCBs were decomposed. Conclusion: TEQ-based Co-PCBs are formed in the incineration process but Co-PCBs and PCBs as a total are decomposed.

20. Input/Output Amount of each Co-PCBs Congener #126 and #169 of non-ortho Co-PCBs increased 10 to 50 times in the incineration processes. These Co-PCBs contribute to the raise in the total TEQ-based output amount. #105, #114 and #118 were decomposed at the rate of over 90%. Non-ortho Co-PCBs are selectively formed in the incineration process.

21. Input/Output Amount of Dioxins (PCDDs/DFs + Co-PCBs) Total dioxins (PCDDs/DFs + Co-PCBs) Input amount (TEQ):1.5 µg/waste-ton Output amount (TEQ):160~220 µg/waste-ton Co-PCBs Percentage in the total TEQ input:19% Percentage in the total TEQ output:2.2~3.1% In emission from MSW Incineration: Co-PCBs (TEQ) < PCDDs/DFs (TEQ) In environmental and living samples including food: Co-PCBs (TEQ) > PCDDs/DFs (TEQ) Possible reasons: Bioaccumulation of Co-PCBs is high. Main source of PCBs is PCB products in the environment and not incineration facilities

22. Future Challenges Environmental monitoring, discussion of measures and risk assessment have to be comprehensively carried out to evaluate POPs at a regional level. It is urgent to establish the long-term monitoring system for some environmental media, which are decisive in determining effective measures and in reviewing the measures.

24. Vegetables Milk Products Meat Fish Others (Drinking water Respiration) Exposure Inventory Source Inventory Air Media Source Inventory Soil Media Source Inventory Water Media Deposition Residues Secondary Materials Fig.2 Substance Flow Approach for Persistent Chemicals Input/Output Analysis By-products Material Works(Fe) Sources EnvironmentHuman ① Input/Output Analysis By-productsGas Phase Particle Phase PCP Products PBDE TBBP-A Products PCBs Products Birds Eco-System Fish Eco-System ② Historical Trends (Accumulation) Soil Sediment Dissolved Phase Animals Eco-System PCDD/DFs[ng/g] Input/Output Analysis By-products Material Works(Cu) Pesticides Products ③ Environmental Behavior Model Plants Eco-System

25. Fig.4 PCBs in Surface Water and Sediment of Osaka Bay -Yearly Average between 1974 and 1993 Concentration(µg/g dry basis) Year Concentration(µg/l) 1974 78 82869093 Surface Water Sediment