1. 1 2016 Occupational Projections

2. 2 General Methodology Forecast employment for 855 Industry/Region combinations Evaluate industry forecasts Use staffing patterns to convert to occupational forecasts

3. 3 Industry Forecasts Preliminary Forecasts started in July 2007 –Using the Micro Matrix System developed by the State of Utah Secondary review in May/June 2009 –Adds 2007 and 2008 data –Incorporates latest Louisiana developments –Incorporates comments of business and civic leaders –Led to 177 modifications of 855 forecasts

4. 4 Negative Trend, Population overestimated, one fewer riverboat RLMA 1 Amusement, Gambling and Recreation

5. 5 Lower Population Effect RLMA 1 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

6. 6 Reduction in Force at General Motors. RLMA 7 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

7. 7 Over Estimated Go Zone Effect RLMA 2 Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

8. 8 Union Tank Car RLMA 6 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

9. 9 New Shaw Nuclear Reactor Parts Manufacturing RLMA 5 Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing

10. 10 RLMA#RLMA Name2006Preliminary%Final%Change 1New Orleans439,291579,60031.9%552,97625.9%(26,624) 2Baton Rouge405,750482,66919.0%477,01717.6%(5,652) 3Houma95,252119,73225.7%121,36027.4%1,628 4Lafayette264,385315,27419.2%307,94716.5%(7,327) 5Lake Charles113,080131,95416.7%133,12517.7%1,171 6Alexandria107,311121,65513.4%127,05818.4%5,403 7Shreveport234,762266,92613.7%266,85813.7%(68) 8Monroe113,919124,8859.6%124,8249.6%(61) 0State1,772,5742,142,70020.9%2,119,20819.6%(23,492) 2016 Industry Projections

11. 11 Industry Staffing Patterns Telecommunications Industry Retail Salespersons 9.3% All Other Sales Reps 5.2% Line Installers & Repairers 7.9% Office & Administrative Managers 5.6% Equipment Installers & Repairers 7.7% Other (not listed) 37.1% Customer Service Representatives 27.2%