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Published byLily Ward Modified over 9 years ago
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2 Sons and Daughters, August 22, 2013 A Shift in Performance Means Cautious Optimism August 21, 2013
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3 Thoughts for Today Some recent market trends. What can we expect for 2013 and 2014? Issues that will affect your efforts.
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4 Stronger Then Weaker Date% of Increases Nov 925 Nov 1623 Nov 2340 Nov 3031 Dec 736 Dec 1437 Dec 2143 Dec 2850 Jan 1136 Jan 1833 Jan 2541 Feb 136 Feb 841+ November 2012-February 2013 May 2013-August 2013 Date% of Increases May 2428 May 3127 June 726 June 1428 June 2118 June 2826 July 322 July 1215 July 1923 July 2618 Aug 219 Aug 916 Aug 1619
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5 Vehicle Adjustments 2011-2012
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6 Vehicle Adjustments 2012-2013
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7 Vehicle Adjustments 2012
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8 Vehicle Adjustments 2013
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9 Vehicle Adjustments 2012
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10 Vehicle Adjustments 2013
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11 Vehicle Adjustments 2011-2012
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12 Vehicle Adjustments 2012-2013
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13 Vehicle Adjustments 2013 7 above norm 5 below 1.0% 7/1/13 to 8/1/13
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14 August 2013 trending - Cars Cars: Better than trucks past 3 weeks Greater declines 8/2 to 8/16 for 6 of 10 segments Average decline: -.41% Average increase: +.06% Increasing segments: mostly upper end vehicles NLC PLC PSC FSC Year ago average car change greater overall: -$63 in 2012 and -$57 current change
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15 August 2013 trending - Trucks Trucks: larger overall declines than cars but more consistent CPT, MPT, & FPT: better retention segments Averaged -$19 or -.15% Biggest trend change: CSU increased 6 of 7 weeks then most current 3 week avg change of -$103 Minivans greater declines during August
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16 Where is the Used Market Going? New sales continue to prosper. Supports more used. At 15.5 to 15.6M creates 9.3 million trade-ins Prerecession sales of 16.5M created 9.9M trades Only 600,000 fewer used cars appearing C4C eliminated 750,000 11.4 years old. The older cars will seek a new $ point.
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17 Where is the Used Market Going? Termed very rational at this time Increasing used inventory volume Less aggressive bidding: physical and online auction venues Gas prices Last 3 weeks trucks softer than cars
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18 Hybrid/Electric Demand 2012: Only 2.0 - 2.7% penetration 2013: Growing to 3.0 – 3.38% due to more players CAFÉ 2015 & 2025 More players 2009: 20 hybrid vehicles* 2013: 45 hybrid vehicles, 13 electric vehicles and 1 NGV* Held back by sub $4.00 gas How much of a game changer will $5 be? *Source: hybridcars.com
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19 Just call or email Ricky Beggs VP, Managing Editor 770.533.5221 Rbeggs@BlackBookUSA.com Tim West, VP, North American Auction Director 770.533.5230 Twest@BlackBookUSA.com Questions?
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