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The Future of Computing: Grand Challenges and the Next Killer Apps CMSC 100 Tuesday, December 1, 2011 Adapted from slides provided by Prof. Marie desJardins
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The Future of Computing What are the “grand challenges” of computing---our next generation of big problems to solve? What are some technologies on the horizon that may be “game-changing”? Quantum computing Self-configuring robotics and “smart matter” Nanotechnology What is the next “killer app”?
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Grand Challenges: CRA 2002 In 2002, the Computing Research Association held a conference to identify Grand Challenges for computing 1.Systems You Can Count On Global, scalable, persistent, reliable, efficient networks 2.A Teacher for Every Learner Scalable, learner-centered distance learning/collaboration 3.Ubiquitous Safety.net Disaster prediction, prevention, mitigation, and response 4.Conquering System Complexity Self-configuring, -optimizing, -maintaining, -healing systems 5.Build a Team of Your Own Augmented cognition: human/machine “cognitive partnerships”
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Grand Challenges: UKCRC 2009 The UK Computing Research Committee has identified eight Grand Challenges for computer science 1.In Vivo In Silico (virtual organisms) 2.Science for Ubiquitous Global Computing 3.Memories for Life (storing/searching pictures, video, email,...) 4.Architecture of Brain and Mind 5.Dependable Systems Evolution 6.Journeys In Non-Classical Computing (biological/natural) 7.Learning for Life 8.Bringing the Past to Life for the Citizen http://www.ukcrc.org.uk/grand-challenge/current.cfm
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Quantum Computing Bits can’t get any smaller But electrons can be in multiple quantum states simultaneously (“superpositioning”) qubit: can be in 2 states at once 2 qubits: 4 states at once n qubits: 2 n states at once! In effect, we can build massively parallel computers! SciAm Special: How Do Quantum Computers Work? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hSr7hyOHO1Q http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hSr7hyOHO1Q Images: ams.org
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12-6 Encrypting the Message 10111 Recall: n=pq, phi(n)=(p-1)(q-1), 1<e<phi(n), de = 1 (mod phi(n)) encrypted = message e mod n message = encryped d mod n Public keys: n = 91 and e = 5 Message: 10111 10111 two = 23 ten 23 e = 23 5 = 6,436,343 6,436,343 ÷ 91 has a remainder of 4 4 ten = 100 two Thus, encrypted version of 10111 is 100.
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12-7 Decrypting the Message 100 Recall: n=pq, phi(n)=(p-1)(q-1), 1<e<phi(n), de = 1 (mod phi(n)) Decrypting keys: d = 29, n = 91 100 two = 4 ten 4 d = 4 29 = 288,230,376,151,711,744 288,230,376,151,711,744 ÷ 91 has a remainder of 23 23 ten = 10111 two Therefore, decrypted version of 100 is 10111.
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Cracking RSA Public key can be made freely available – does not need to be kept secret RSA can only be classically “broken” in one of three ways: Get the private key Factor the very large number, n (typically 1024-2048 bits) – computationally too hard 2 1024 is about 1 with 300 zeros 2 512 potential factors/ test 10 15 per second > 20 years Solve the RSA problem (invert exponentiation and modulus) – also too hard How would a quantum computer be used to crack RSA? Shor’s Algorithm http://www.doc.ic.ac.uk/~nd/surprise_97/journal/vol4/spb3/#ShorExample http://www.dhushara.com/book/quantcos/qcompu/shor/s.htm
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Shor’s Algorithm – factoring 15 Source: http://www.doc.ic.ac.uk/~nd/surprise_97/journal/vol4/spb3/#ShorExample Create two registers big enough to factor N (15) Choose X that is than some value less than N Perform quantum calculation for each possible value of A (using X=2): AB 01 12 24 38 41 52 64 78 AB 81 92 104 118 121 132 144 158 Calculate the period of B (in this case, 4) and assign to f
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Self-Configuring Systems ckBot (University of Pennsylvania) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5JG5GrAtalE http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5JG5GrAtalE More nifty self-configuring robots: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SkvpEfAPXn4&feature=fvw http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SkvpEfAPXn4&feature=fvw Image: discovermagazine.com
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“Nano” refers to the scale of these systems: 1nm = 10 -9 meters = one billionth of a meter Carbon-carbon bonds are about.15 nm A DNA molecule has a diameter of about 2nm The smallest cellular life form is about 200nm across “Nanotechnology”: Devices that are smaller than ~100nm First mention of nanotechnology (not by that name): Richard Feynman, 1959 talk First nanotechnology: Fullerenes (discovered in 1985) – carbon molecules forming a hollow structure (sphere, ellipsoid, tube) “Buckyball” – spherical fullerene (both named after Buckminster Fuller, inventor of the geodesic dome) These are actually used today in manufacturing Nanotechnology Images: godunov.com, answers.com
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Approaches to Nanotechnology Self-assembly Like the self-configuring systems we saw at the macro level! Top-down design of “molecular machines” We could theoretically program these nanomachines! Nanorobotics Programmable matter Claytronics: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bcaqzOUv2Aohttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bcaqzOUv2Ao Applications: manufacturing, environmental remediation, medical treatment...
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Killer App A “killer app” is a paradigm-shifting technology application Lots of things have been referred to as “killer apps”: Spreadsheets Email The Web Google Word processing Images: celecus.com, logic.stanford.edu, google.com
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What’s the Newest Killer App? A Google search on “Next Killer App” reveals the following “killer apps” from the last few years: Technology Source 2003: RSS (Rich Site Summary) – news feeds for the masses Popular Mechanics 2005: VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol): Skype, etc. WiMAX (next-generation WiFi: has a range of a couple of miles) “Freecycling” (give away your junk online) Desktop search Business Week 2007 Paperless maps (GPS)
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What’s the Next Killer App? Here are some of the “next killer apps” as cited by 2009 sources: Dave Winer (tech blogger): A better twitter (more bloggy?) TheNextWeb.com Voice twitter David Warlick (blogger): eportfolios for students Info Week reader poll: Search/data retrieval VoIP Identity management
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The Next Killer App: Google Earth? [Google Earth demo] Google Earth application: Security watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_J7qE6frzz8 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_J7qE6frzz8 Google Earth 5 – 3D Mars! http://goggleearthvideos.magnify.net/video/Google-Earth-5-3D-Mars http://goggleearthvideos.magnify.net/video/Google-Earth-5-3D-Mars Google Earth Zooms Too Close video: http://www.break.com/index/google-earth-zooms-too-close.html http://www.break.com/index/google-earth-zooms-too-close.html
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