1. Simulation of Intense Convective Precipitation Observed during ARMEX Someshwar Das, R. Ashrit, M. Dasgupta, Someshwar Das 1, R. Ashrit 1, M. Dasgupta 1, M. W. Moncrieff, C. Liu, J Dudhia and S. R. Kalsi M. W. Moncrieff 2, C. Liu 2, J Dudhia 2 and S. R. Kalsi 3 National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, NOIDA 1 National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, NOIDA National Centre for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA 2 National Centre for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA India Meteorological Department, Delhi 3 India Meteorological Department, Delhi

2. Nudging Experiments 1.To simulate the evolution of Convective systems during weak and Active phases u Active Phases: 20-22 June, 2002 26-28 June, 2002 u Weak Phase:23-25 June, 2002 2. Whether to Nudge Domain1 or, Domain2 or, Both?

3. METEOSAT Cloud, 27 June 06 UTC & rainfall

4. Observed rainfall 26-28 June 2002

5. OLR and Anomaly (26-28 June 2002)

6. Nested domains at 90, 30, 10 & 2 km resolutions

7. Rainfall simulations using different cloud schemes

8. ARMEX Observation network

9. Cloud & Wind (FDDA, CTRL) 850 mb

10. Rainfall Forecasts

11. Time series of vertical velocity and Rainfall

12. Vertical Velocity

13. Simulation at 2km resolution

14. Cloud Microphysical properties

15. TRMM observed Rainfall & Cloud water species

16. Cloud Microphysical properties Vertical cross section at 20.5 0 N

17. Total Condensates in the clouds & VV

18. Cloud fractions & rainfall

19. Vertical cross sections of T-anomaly & zonal wind

20. Schematic life cycle of the System

21. Thank You