1. Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011

2. Roadmap Think Big – sourcing and scaling, mega regions Emerging infrastructure – managing collections ‘in the cloud’ Shared print service provision - opportunities, challenges ASERL in perspective – regional and system-wide context

3. You are … where? http://www.creativeclass.com/whos_your_city/maps/#Mega-Regions_of_North_America

4. A Master Plan for a mega region “[Midwestern universities ] work together on both regional and national agendas, merging library and research resources, and sharing curricula and instructional resources with faculty and students. Aggregating these spires of excellence by linking these institutions gives the Midwest region many of the world’s leading programs in a broad range of key knowledge areas.” (p. 37) “Sharing of library and research facilities can augment scholarly production and assure fuller use of cultural assets without great extra cost to the state.” (p. 37)

5. Shared print is a prime example: a core operation that is moving “outside” institutional boundaries University of California Orbis Cascade WEST CIC TRLIN Hathi Print CAVAL, UKRR, JURA etc. Boundary work and the library ‘service bundle’

6. A ‘Big Shift’ in attention, resources

7. Shared Print: what’s the problem? Shift in scholarly attention from print to electronic means low-use retrospective print collections are perceived to deliver less library value Competing demands for library space: teaching, learning, collaborative research vs. “warehouse of books” Among academic libraries, a shrinking pool of institutions with mandate, capacity to support print preservation As transaction costs for managing legacy print collections decrease, libraries will seek to externalize print operations to shared repositories

8. Shared Print: OCLC Research Active portfolio of work since 2007: North American library storage capacity (2007) ~70M volumes in storage; cooperative models in the minority Policy requirements shared print repositories (2009) critical need: disclosure of print preservation commitments Leveraging infrastructure: MARC21 583 Action Note (2009/2011) copy-level retention, condition statements are required Cloud-sourcing research collections (2010) mass digitization of monographs accelerates shift to shared print

9. Shared Print value proposition(s) 1)Ensures long-term survivability of ‘last copies’ and low- use print journals and books Extension of traditional repository function; limited motivation to subsidize 2)Enables reduction in redundant inventory for moderately and widely-held titles, facilitating redirection of library resources toward more distinctive service portfolio Strategic reserve provides a hedge against disruption in the marketplace, rapid fluctuations in scholarly value & function of print; provides tangible value to participant

10. Growth of US library storage infrastructure Aggregate off-site capacity has increased exponentially + 70 million volumes in storage (2007) Derived from L. Payne (OCLC, 2007) 2 high-density facilities 68 high- density facilities Date of Original Construction

11. Aggregate preservation resource: a black box? Of 68 storage facilities identified in Payne (OCLC, 2007): 2 are visible in WorldCat today: UC NRLF & UC SRLF Proxies: CRL, LC? Among 9 ASERL storage collections profiled in 2004: 80% of monographic titles held in a single storage facility Titles in ‘shared print’ collections less widely held? Less widely held More widely held

12. Projected growth of HathiTrust Digital Library * Harvard University Library in constant 2008 volumes * Library of Congress in constant 2008 volumes OCLC Research. June 2010

13. Premise of Cloud Library project (2009-2010) Emergence of large scale shared print and digital repositories creates an opportunity for strategic externalization of traditional repository function Reduce total costs of preserving scholarly record Enable reallocation of institutional resources Support renovation of library service portfolio Create new business relationships among libraries A bridge strategy to guarantee access and preservation of long tail, low use collections during ongoing p- to e- transition

14. 25 years +70M vols. 0101010101010 1010101010101 0101010101010 1010101010101 0101010101010 15 months +5M vols. Shared infrastructure: books & bits Will this intersection create new operational efficiencies? For which libraries? Under what conditions? How soon and with what impact? HathiTrust Academic off-site storage

15. A global change in the library environment June 2010 Median duplication: 31% June 2009 Median duplication: 19% Academic print book collection already substantially duplicated in mass digitized book corpus (HathiTrust) OCLC Research. June 2010

16. A mirror of the academic print collection C. Malpas Cloud-sourcing Research Collections (OCLC, 2010) A critical mass of retrospective literature in the humanities, social sciences

17. An opportunity and a challenge >50% of titles are ‘widely held’ >80% of titles are in copyright An opportunity to rationalize holdings, but… library print supply chain will be needed for some time OCLC Research. June 2010

18. Mass-digitized books in print repositories ~75% of mass digitized corpus is ‘backed up’ in one or more shared print repositories ~3.5M titles ~2.5M

19. Prediction Within the next 5-10 years, focus of shared print archiving and service provision will shift to monographic collections large scale service hubs will provide low-cost print management on a subscription basis; reducing local expenditure on print operations, releasing space for new uses and facilitating a redirection of library resources; enabling rationalization of aggregate print collection and renovation of library service portfolio Mass digitization of retrospective print collections will drive this transition

20. WHAT WILL IT TAKE? Shared print service provision...

21. Shared Print provision: capacity varies OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of February 2011. % of HathiTrust titles duplicated in print repository

22. Shared print marketplace: who has the edge? C. Malpas Cloud-sourcing Research Collections (OCLC, 2010)

23. Or, reconfigure resource to maximize value C. Malpas Cloud-sourcing Research Collections (OCLC, 2010)

24. Management Perspective: How Much is Enough? Shared Print service must deliver Space recovery equal to “one floor” at outset Volume reduction equal to X years of print acquisitions Cost not to exceed current storage options Minimize (visible) disruption in operations If management of mass-digitized monographs could be externalized to large scale providers today: average space recovery of 20,000 ASF per ARL library cost avoidance of ~$1M for new storage module cost avoidance of $1M per year for on-site management

25. Staff Perspective: What’s Good Enough Shared Print service provision must equal or exceed Turnaround/delivery from local storage (<2 days) Local loan period Local access/availability guarantee, ability to recall etc Discoverability of local resource Local retention mandated when title held by <10 libraries No one mentioned... Home delivery option  direct to patron Acceptable loss rate  repository viability Penalties for late return  impact on other clients

26. Implications: Shared Print A small number of repositories may suffice for ‘global’ shared print provision of low-use monographs Generic service offer is needed to achieve economies of scale, build network; uniform T&C Fuller disclosure of storage collections is needed to judge capacity of current infrastructure, identify potential hubs Service hubs will need to shape inventory to market needs; more widely duplicated, moderately used titles If extant providers aren’t motivated to change service model, a new organization may be needed

27. LOCAL CONTEXT Shared print in perspective...

28. ASERL in system-wide context ~880 academic libraries in ASERL region (2008) represents 23% of all academic libraries in the US 134 (15%) support institutions offering doctoral programs 38 ASERL libraries provide backbone for academic institutions throughout the region Rich collections, robust infrastructure, reliable fulfillment ASERL holdings account for ~47% of regional academic collection Upholding print preservation mandate an increasing challenge

29. Diversity of institutional mandates OCLC Research. Derived from U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Academic Libraries Survey, 2008. Least reliant on traditional library infrastructure

30. Circulation per FTE student is on a decline OCLC Research. Derived from NCES Academic Libraries Surveys, 1992-2000. Declining ROA?

31. Same trend holds within ASERL OCLC Research. Derived from ASERL Annual Statistics, 2002/2003 – 2009/2010. -41%

32. A long term, system-wide trend OCLC Research. Derived from data reported in NCES Digest of Education Statistics: 2008.

33. Higher Education funding cuts in 43 States

34. Institutional autonomy varies OCLC Research. Derived from U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Academic Libraries Survey, 2008. Modes of cooperation will vary … as will motivation to share

35. Increasing privatization of Higher Education OCLC Research. Derived from U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Academic Libraries Surveys, 2000-2008.

36. Visible differences, hidden similarities OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011. >56M holdings in aggregate ~34% of collective ASERL coll’n duplicated ~2M unique (discrete) titles

37. Median ASERL duplication in HathiTrust: 33% OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011. Tennessee: 41% Florida: 27% [Standard deviation: 3%] OCLC Research. Derived from U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Academic Libraries Survey, 2008.

38. This edition held in print by more than 2,200 libraries... including all 38 ASERL members A total of 3 ILL requests since 2007 0 from (or to) ASERL members

39. An example: the University of Miami ~1.2 million University of Miami (FQG) library holdings in WorldCat 393,877 (33%) duplicated in HathiTrust Digital Library 30,472 titles 363,405 titles OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011.

40. Weighing risks and benefits OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011. 77% of mass-digitized titles in Miami’s collection are held by >99 libraries … low risk but print supply chain still needed 96% of mass-digitized titles in Miami’s collection are held by >24 libraries N = 393,877 titles

41. Sizing up a potential shared print supplier Represents at least 2.75 miles of library shelving @ Miami OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011. 232,827 titles ~1.2 million Miami (FQG) holdings

42. Risk and opportunity profiles differ Locally held titles in mass- digitized corpus abundant in system-wide collection HathiTrust undergirds stewardship mission, redistributes costs of curation OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011. N=1.16M titles N=370K titles

43. Stewardship & sustainability: a pragmatic view Using recent life-cycle adjusted cost model* for library print collections, $4.25 per volume per year -- on campus $.86 per volume per year -– in high-density storage East Carolina University is spending, at minimum, between [373K titles * $.86 =] $320K to $1.6M [=373K titles * $4.25 ] annually to retain local copies of content preserved in the HathiTrust Digital Library and widely-held in the ASERL community The library is not financially accountable for these costs but it is responsible for managing them *Paul Courant and M. “Buzzy” Nielson, “On the Cost of Keeping a Book” in The Idea of Order (CLIR, 2010)

44. Where to turn? Existing cooperative network: UNC system UNC, NCSU & Duke are HathiTrust partners, participate in TRLN shared copy program – potential shared print suppliers? ~1.2 million ECU (ERE) holdings Represents at least 4 miles of library shelving @ East Carolina 373,370 (32%) in HathiTrust Digital Library

45. Sep 2012Dec 2012 Sep 2013 Jun 2013 ASERL libraries: a common trajectory, different timelines OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011. The next few years are critical How can regional infrastructure be leveraged to support this change? % of titles duplicated in HathiTrust Digital Library

46. A closing thought If we don’t demonstrate a little backbone developing shared print solutions the future of legacy print could look like this Guillotined books en route to recycling station.

47. Thanks for your attention. Comments, Questions? Constance Malpas malpasc@oclc.org @ConstanceM

48. For discussion What criteria matter most in assessing potential shared print partners? Geographic proximity, institutional governance, scope of collection, delivery guarantee, etc? Is the economic integration of Southeastern mega-region(s) a factor to consider in shared print business planning? Are partnerships in zones of strong economic integration be likely to be more sustainable? How is the increasing privatization of higher education likely to affect regional shared print planning? Do private and charter universities have greater flexibility in externalizing print operations?