1. SADC Rhino Management Group Dr Mike Knight: Chair Dr Richard Emslie: Specialist member (& IUCN SSC AfRSG Scientific Officer)

2. Africa’s black rhinos SA= 39% 1,915

3. Africa’s white rhinos SA= 93% 18,800

4. South Africa’s importance More rhinos than any other country in the world Conserves 82.7% of Africa’s rhino Private sector in South Africa conserves slightly more rhinos than whole of rest of Africa m Great success story, until recently…ore than whole of rest of Africa

5. 18 yrs 1990-2007: Avg 0.03 / day

6. Massive escalation in poaching since 2007

7. 2009-10 +173% 2010-11 +35% Previous -08 +503% 2008-09 +63% Annual Increase

8. 2010 Steady Increase 2010

9. 2011 average 2010 similar to last 4 months 2010 (2011 only +1.2%)

10. 2010 2011 Leveling off for most of 2011 with spike before Christmas Rapid escalation till end of 2010

11. Despite poaching numbers still increasing

12. Average annual growth

13. Minus poaching

14. Minus additional pseudo-hunting

15. Rate of poaching escalation key.. Currently we are still winning (6.9% average net growth with 2.2% poaching) but from 2009-10 poaching increased +173% in one year = CRISIS - If that rate of escalation had continued (and we had +90 more rhinos hunted/year than normal due to psuedohunting) numbers would have started to decline by 2013. Thankfully the big effort in response has dampened the rate of poaching increase. Poaching escalation rate Decline starts +35% escalation (2010-11) 2016 +22% (end2010-end2011) 2018 Some success but unless we manage to halt the continued escalation in poaching we will eventually lose all our rhino.

16. The problem and solutions The very high black market prices and demand for horn in SE Asia is what is fuelling the escalation in poaching and the psuedohunting. If we could reduce black market prices in SE Asia this should reduce illegal demand and reduce poaching. To reduce poaching we need to try to increase costs for poachers and reduce the rewards they get. Improved law enforcement and prosecutions … but problem of organised crime – there are always more to fill places of those convicted. Permanent NWCRU but need for more cooperation – priority crime! Need for improved detection at airports, ports, post etc.

17. Problems & possible solutions Control psuedohunting and illegal hunting Problems with current permit and hunting control and supervision system especially NW and Limpopo. Urgent need to establish national integrated & secure database & permitting system (numbers, movt, stocks, hunts). Increase law enforcement, intelligence & penalties. ESPECIALLY needed to stop poachers before they kill. Important to create incentives for pvt sector & communities & encourage buy in (security of information + amnesty) Biological management & monitoring Live sales and legitimate hunting positive & important

18. Issues and recommendations International collaboration VietNam, China, Mozambique Monitoring of rhino, movements, horns (use DNA) Legal trade suggested as possible way to reduce black market price and poaching and increase incentives and resources for successful conservation? Supported by majority of delegates at WR BMP W/S but detail required. 2/3rds at CITES? (Issues..eg. Policing & prevention of laundering, problems of SA pvt sector and psuedohunting) Alternatives also been proposed (education, dehorning, treating, encourage use of substitutes, more LE etc) Need for more detail and to critically evaluate pros and cons of all options