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THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND Towards 2008 SNA: The South African experience EN/CSC2/2014/Pres/03.

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Presentation on theme: "THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND Towards 2008 SNA: The South African experience EN/CSC2/2014/Pres/03."— Presentation transcript:

1 THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND Towards 2008 SNA: The South African experience EN/CSC2/2014/Pres/03

2 THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND Need to touch base on … Joint responsibility Benchmark and rebasing cycle 08SNA Project plan Related matters

3 THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND Joint responsibility Stats SA – official statistics o GDP production and income approaches o Supply and Use tables o Input-output tables o Social Accounting Matrices o Environmental-Economic Accounts, e.g. Minerals, Energy, Water, Fisheries o Satellite Accounts, e.g. Tourism, ICT, NPI South African Reserve Bank o GDP expenditure approach o Institutional Sector Accounts o Balance of Payments o Financial Sector South African Revenue Service o Merchandise trade statistics Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries o Quarterly data on Agriculture

4 THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND Benchmark and rebasing cycle Why? o Keep relative weights current (5 year cycle) o Incorporate infrequent datasets o Introduce new classifications or methodological changes June 1999 o 93SNA introduced o Base 1995 Nov 2004 o Taxation based register for source statistics o Introduce sub-national estimates o Develop base year in supply and use framework o Base 2000 Nov 2009 o Refine 93SNA e.g. Non-observed economy o Consolidate approach of annual SUT o Double deflation o CPC v.2 o Base 2005

5 THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND 08 SNA project plan (1) Embedded in organisational strategy o Stats SA forward work program (Minister, Council, Parliament) o Economic statistics strategy o Divisional operation plans o Individual performance agreements Implications of 08SNA o Discussion document o 6 of 37 recommendations impact on GDP o Refined FISM calculation o Capitalisation of military expenditure o Stock options as compensation of employees o Capitalisation of R&D o Valuation of output for own final use to include return to capital o Changes in recording of pension entitlements o Amendments to basic surveys e.g. new/rephrased questions

6 THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND 08 SNA project plan (2) Project team o Stats SA and SARB o Quarterly high-level meetings o Technical as required o Involve DAFF and SARS more frequently in t-12months o Detailed timelines o Revision policy Agreement on timelines o Finalise structures of SUT base year: Dec ’13 o Finalise 2010 base year: Mar ’14 o Preliminary nominal 2006-2011: Apr ’14 o Preliminary real estimates 2006-2011: May ’14 o Final annual estimates 2006-2011: June ’14 o Final quarterly estimates 2006-2011: Aug ’14 o Preliminary annual 2012-2013: Sept ’14 o Final annual and quarters 2012-2013: 15 Oct ’14 o 3 quarters of 2014: 18 Nov ’14 o Publish: 25 Nov ‘14

7 THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND Related matters User involvement o Minister o Statistics Council o Key users seminar o Opinion pieces, web articles Other international standards o Balance of Payments Manual 6 o ISIC Rev 4 o Local version (SIC 7 completed) o Dual coded register (census of business?) Unfunded o Parallel surveys o Revised national accounts (benchmark 2019?) Comparability of statistics o ICP (periodic Global vs annual African) o BRICS o OECD and major trading partners o SDDS requirements

8 THE SOUTH AFRICA I KNOW, THE HOME I UNDERSTAND Thank you Joe de Beer Deputy Director-General: Economic Statistics Statistics South Africa joedb@statssa.gov.za +27 (12) 3108024


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