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QSE Managers Working Group Meeting Notes 7 November, 2008 Report to WMS 19 November, 2008 David Detelich - Chairperson.

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Presentation on theme: "QSE Managers Working Group Meeting Notes 7 November, 2008 Report to WMS 19 November, 2008 David Detelich - Chairperson."— Presentation transcript:

1 QSE Managers Working Group Meeting Notes 7 November, 2008 Report to WMS 19 November, 2008 David Detelich - Chairperson

2 QSE Managers Working Group Agenda  ERCOT Operations Issues WGRPP Forecast process improvements WGRPP Forecast accuracy Non-spin deployments from off line units Ramp rate constraints of a QSE when ERCOT ends an OOME instruction  WGR only QSE Scheduling Metric Resource plan update timing requirements of ERCOT Protocol section 4.10 Resource Plan Performance Metrics Metric development

3 WGRPP Forecast process improvements  ERCOT concludes that the most logical design for the long-haul is XML format as being deployed for Nodal.  ERCOT plan is to provide the forecast on the TML Report Explorer  ERCOT should issue an XML Schema Definitions (XSD) document for this  A transition period where email is maintained along with XML is requested.

4 WGRPP Forecast accuracy  Accuracy data presented by John Dumas  ~34 sites reporting MET data out of 70  MET data is not being used by AWS Truewind  Question on how AWWS Truewind performance will be measured  Regular reports requested  May need a PRR to require the MET data in the Zonal protocols. Per Wind Resource Data Received from QSE Wind Speed Wind Direction Temperature Barometric Pressure

5 Aggregate Wind Forecast Error – Hour Ending 1400 for October 2008 Day-Ahead Forecast (15:10 Day Before ) Hour-Ahead Forecast (11:10 Day Of ) STWPFWGRPPSTWPFWGRPP 457.24519.83474.40523.82 Mean Absolute MW Error: Mean Absolute Percent Error: Day-Ahead Forecast (15:10 Day Before ) Hour-Ahead Forecast (11:10 Day Of ) STWPFWGRPPSTWPFWGRPP 51.85%58.12%54.37%56.16% For the purpose of calculating these statistics, any DBES deployments to the Wind-Only QSEs were added back to the total MW output. Also, if the average output turned out to be less than 100 MW, the hour was ignored for the calculations.

6 Aggregate Wind Forecast Error – Hour Ending 2200 for October 2008 Day-Ahead Forecast (15:10 Day Before ) Hour-Ahead Forecast (19:10 Day Of ) STWPFWGRPPSTWPFWGRPP 914.44612.74964.10714.18 Mean Absolute MW Error: Mean Absolute Percent Error: Day-Ahead Forecast (15:10 Day Before ) Hour-Ahead Forecast (19:10 Day Of ) STWPFWGRPPSTWPFWGRPP 77.34%44.97%72.85%47.02% For the purpose of calculating these statistics, any DBES deployments to the Wind-Only QSEs were added back to the total MW output. Also, if the average output turned out to be less than 100 MW, the hour was ignored for the calculations.

7 Non-spin deployments from off line units  How will multiple deployments during a 24 hour period be handled?  Minimum down time may affect a generator from meeting obligations.  Market Participant will propose PRR language

8 Ramp rate constraints of a QSE when ERCOT ends an OOME instruction  Draft SCR proposed by Austin Energy for review  This is a known issue in SPD  ERCOT follows a portfolio ramp rate versus unit ramp rate  System change would be the right way to address it  AE to compile data for future meeting

9 WGR only QSE Scheduling Metric  The schedule and resource plan needs to match at the end of the adjustment period  Protocol 4.10.6 Adjustment Period Zonal Schedule Measure  PRR is required to change the exclusions for WGR QSE’s  Discussion of metric to impact congestion management Performance responding to instructions Predictability of response Request data from ERCOT to understand problem: OC1 limit control

10 BES Scheduling Period Timeline Offset by ERCOT operators 0800090009150830 SPD Runs for IE 0915 Close of adjustment period for HE10 - Schedules locked Resource Plan should match Call for RPRS

11 QMWG – Future Agenda Items  ERCOT Operations Issues  WGR only QSE Scheduling Metric Metrics development for WGR only QSE’s Draft PRR  Optimal procurement of Ancillary Services assignment from TAC.  Next Meeting: Not set yet.


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