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Prof. Mike Young Research Chair, Water Economics and Management The University of Adelaide MBI 30 th September 2008 Water Markets: Trading into and out of trouble Training the dog!
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2 Types of market instruments MBIs ‘combine regulatory arrangements with market processes to change behaviour. Avoid location-specific and person-specific directives’ Price-based Lever behavioural change by changing prices in existing markets Market friction Lever behavioural change by making existing private markets work better Eg: Changing taxes, introducing levies, giving subsidies Eg: Introducing a ‘cap and trade’ scheme or an offset scheme Eg: Disclosing information such as via ecolabelling Market-Like Instruments Create business opportunity to sell a service Eg: Auctions & tenders AdministeredVoluntary Lever behavioural change by specifying the ‘amount’ of new rights / obligations Allocation-based
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Water Tradeable RightsDelivery Price Land Title with Water Licence attached Land Entitlement Shares in Perpetuity Bank-like Allocations Use licences with limits & obligations National Competition Policy 1993/94 National Water Initiative 2004 Some Policy History Markets rather than governments as the integrator Howard/Turnbull/ Wong Plan to fix the problems created by the introduction of markets
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4 Scarcity and Trading Source: Murray Darling Basin Commission, 2007. Trading has enabled adoption of new technology and “greenfield” development
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5 Benefits of trading Psi-Delta 2007 Bjornlund and Rossini 2007
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6 Good news Facilitated significant adjustment Driven significant amounts of new greenfields development Induced significant investment in more efficient technologies Resulted in the generation of income that has reduced the impact of the recent emergence of a long dry
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7 Bad news Inter-temporal management Accounting for all uses Understanding Connectivity Transaction costs (esp. Tagged trading) Over-allocation worsened
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8 Some lessons Can easily trade into trouble Critically important to get the foundations of any quota / entitlement system right Entitlements as shares X + (100-X) = 100% specification of pool Specification consistent with biophysical processes Include arrangements to deal with problems beyond the boundary of the scheme
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9 Markets are excellent servants But they need an astute master
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Contact: Prof Mike Young Water Economics and Management Email: Mike.Young@adelaide.edu.au Phone: +61-8-8303.5279 Mobile: +61-408-488.538 www.myoung.net.auwww.myoung.net.au Download our report and subscribe to droplets at www.myoung.net.au
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