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Mapping The Social Significance of Phenologic Changes BRITTANY ORKNEY ACKNOWLEDGMENTS: National Phenology Network Jake Weltzin, Ph.D. Mark Losleben Barron.

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Presentation on theme: "Mapping The Social Significance of Phenologic Changes BRITTANY ORKNEY ACKNOWLEDGMENTS: National Phenology Network Jake Weltzin, Ph.D. Mark Losleben Barron."— Presentation transcript:

1 Mapping The Social Significance of Phenologic Changes BRITTANY ORKNEY ACKNOWLEDGMENTS: National Phenology Network Jake Weltzin, Ph.D. Mark Losleben Barron Orr, Ph.D.

2 PHENOLOGY  The study of the seasonal timing of cyclical life events  National Phenology Network  Monitors changes in natural environment through seasonal timing of events.

3 CLIMATE CHANGE  2007 Report from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)  Warming of the climate system is unequivocal  CO 2 levels in the atmosphere are increasing NASA Earth Observatory http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/Giants/Arrhenius/arr henius_2.html

4 Phenologic Adaptations  Associated Press coverage by Seth Borenstein –Scientific data revealing earlier spring events in the United States  Identifies pressing issues at hand as current trends stray from historical data

5 Map of Earlier Spring

6 Connecting Phenology to Society  Society’s celebration and reliance on phenologic events –Social impacts of changing phenologies

7 Popular Press Search  Systematic search of popular press on how climate-phenologic change is affecting society. –Searched a number of online databases (i.e., typical Google searches, NewsBank) –Used a variety of keywords (e.g., blooming and warming) –Tracked and recorded search efforts (for repeatability) –Compiled in a simple Excel database (for analysis)

8 Example: Tree Quality and Baseball Bats  Pa., Mi., Il –Decreasing quality of Ash Wood in the manufacturing of Baseball Bats. –Harming small town economies Source: Balmy Weather May Bench a Baseball Staple. New York Times- July 11, 2007 Image from:http://www.just bats.com/images/pro ducts/item-wo08- wp243.jpg

9 Example: Extending Hunting Seasons  Missouri –Hunting seasoned doubled in length –Threat of altered migration route Source: In Duck Blinds, Visions of Global Warming. New York Times- December 11, 2007 Image from: http://www.ducks.org/Hunting/MigrationMap/3602/DUMigratio nMapReturnsFall2008.html

10 Accessible Results  Tabular data are not enough  Public access and understanding is more likely using maps  Creating a Google “My Map” and made publically accessible

11 Accessible Results

12 Conclusions  Climate change is happening and affecting phenologic calendars  These changes are impacting society  Bridging the science and society at large

13 Questions? Special Thanks To: The National Phenology Network Jake Weltzin Mark Losleben


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