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Mapping The Social Significance of Phenologic Changes BRITTANY ORKNEY ACKNOWLEDGMENTS: National Phenology Network Jake Weltzin, Ph.D. Mark Losleben Barron Orr, Ph.D.
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PHENOLOGY The study of the seasonal timing of cyclical life events National Phenology Network Monitors changes in natural environment through seasonal timing of events.
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CLIMATE CHANGE 2007 Report from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Warming of the climate system is unequivocal CO 2 levels in the atmosphere are increasing NASA Earth Observatory http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/Giants/Arrhenius/arr henius_2.html
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Phenologic Adaptations Associated Press coverage by Seth Borenstein –Scientific data revealing earlier spring events in the United States Identifies pressing issues at hand as current trends stray from historical data
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Map of Earlier Spring
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Connecting Phenology to Society Society’s celebration and reliance on phenologic events –Social impacts of changing phenologies
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Popular Press Search Systematic search of popular press on how climate-phenologic change is affecting society. –Searched a number of online databases (i.e., typical Google searches, NewsBank) –Used a variety of keywords (e.g., blooming and warming) –Tracked and recorded search efforts (for repeatability) –Compiled in a simple Excel database (for analysis)
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Example: Tree Quality and Baseball Bats Pa., Mi., Il –Decreasing quality of Ash Wood in the manufacturing of Baseball Bats. –Harming small town economies Source: Balmy Weather May Bench a Baseball Staple. New York Times- July 11, 2007 Image from:http://www.just bats.com/images/pro ducts/item-wo08- wp243.jpg
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Example: Extending Hunting Seasons Missouri –Hunting seasoned doubled in length –Threat of altered migration route Source: In Duck Blinds, Visions of Global Warming. New York Times- December 11, 2007 Image from: http://www.ducks.org/Hunting/MigrationMap/3602/DUMigratio nMapReturnsFall2008.html
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Accessible Results Tabular data are not enough Public access and understanding is more likely using maps Creating a Google “My Map” and made publically accessible
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Accessible Results
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Conclusions Climate change is happening and affecting phenologic calendars These changes are impacting society Bridging the science and society at large
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Questions? Special Thanks To: The National Phenology Network Jake Weltzin Mark Losleben
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