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Published byGodwin Patterson Modified over 9 years ago
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Jane Houlihan Sean Gray Richard Wiles Children’s exposure to arsenic-treated wood A preliminary Monte Carlo risk assessment Presentation to EPA’s Science Advisory Panel October 23, 2001
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Monte Carlo method of risk analysis
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Arsenic that rubs off onto hands from contact with arsenic-treated wood
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Dislodgeable arsenic on the surface of arsenic-treated wood
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Stilwell and Gorny 1997, 7 Connecticut decks, sandy loam Townsend and Solo-Gabriele 2001, 9 Florida structures, sand Osmose, Florida research plot data Wood industry (SCS 1998) 10 prefabricated Virginia decks Arsenic levels in soil beneath arsenic-treated wood
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Soil ingestion
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Body Weight: 1 st to 99 th percentiles
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Surface area calculated from body weight
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Dermal absorption: Regression analysis of body part area percentages
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Differences in exposure parameters
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Excess lifetime cancer risk to children exposed to arsenic-treated wood
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Comparison between EPA and wood industry exposure assumptions
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Model sensitivity to assumed dislodgable arsenic transfer rates
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Excess lifetime cancer risk to children exposed to arsenic-treated wood
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