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PRODUCTION FACTOR CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF OECD ECONOMIES AT THE INDUSTRY LEVEL Saša Drezgić, PhD University of Rijeka Faculty of Economicy 15 th Dubrovnik Economic Conference
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CONTENTS INTRODUCTION LITERATURE OVERVIEW METHODOLOGY DATA RESULTS
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INTRODUCTION industry level growth accounting applied on the case of OECD economies Development of new databases (EU- KLEMS, STAN) OECD countries – available data and homogenous group of countries
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ECONOMIC GROWTH AT THE INDUSTRY LEVEL Voluminous aggregate industry level research - Sturm (1998), Kamps (2004) Minasian, 1969, Lynde and Richmond, 1993, Jorgenson and Stiroh, 2000 Value added vs. gross output
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METHODOLOGY Are variables stationary? Within, Random effects and Olley-Pakes procedure FMOLS – fully modified OLS it uLHKY 21
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DATA 15 OECD countries Australia, Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italia, Japan, Korea, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Sweden, United Kingdom and United States 1995 to 2005
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DATA – variables used value added net capital stock gross fixed capital formation total hours worked by persons engaged total hours worked by high-skilled persons engaged
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DATA - industries
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RESULTS – unit root tests Levin, Liu and Chu (LLC) test, Im, Peseran and Shin, (IPS) test, ADF, PP test Small sample issue Differenty dynamics? Mix of stationary and non-sationary variables
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RESULTS – traditional estimation Coefficients on capital input high and significant Endogeneity issue – Olley-Pakes procedure human capital variable shows robust positive and significant results only in the sector of manufacturing
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RESULTS – FMOLS Variables are cointegrated Endogeneity not resolved Point estimates differ significantly Human capital positive at the aggregate industry level
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CONCLUSION positive effects of capital accumulation across all sectors and share of high- skilled persons engaged in the sector of manufacturing. Issue of endogeneity remains Further research
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