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CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FORECAST 2008: What's Next for Hospitals, Physicians, and Health Plans? Gerald F. Kominski, Ph.D. Professor, Department of Health.

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Presentation on theme: "CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FORECAST 2008: What's Next for Hospitals, Physicians, and Health Plans? Gerald F. Kominski, Ph.D. Professor, Department of Health."— Presentation transcript:

1 CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FORECAST 2008: What's Next for Hospitals, Physicians, and Health Plans? Gerald F. Kominski, Ph.D. Professor, Department of Health Services Associate Dean for Academic Programs Associate Director, Center for Health Policy Research UCLA School of Public Health February 20, 2008

2 Health Expenditures Continue to Grow Less Rapidly… Both in Absolute Terms and Relative to GDP But Health Expenditures Now Represent 16.0% of GDP Source: Centers for Medicaid and Medicare Services, Office of the Actuary.

3 Growth in Employer Health Insurance Premiums Remained in Single Digits Last Year Source: CHCF/NORC California Employer Health Benefits Survey, 2007.

4 CA HMOs are Still Less Expensive Than US Average But Increasing PPO Enrollment Means Average Premiums in CA Now Exceed the National Average Source: CHCF/NORC California Employer Health Benefits Survey, 2007.

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