1. The EU as a Global Player Margaritis SCHINAS Director-Deputy Head

2. Three fundamental questions A.A “player” in which “game” ? Trends in a globalised world (2011-2030) B. What is the “team’s” composition and line-up ? C. What are the instruments and the tactics?

3. A. A “player” in which “game” ? Trends in a globalised world (2011-2030) High uncertainty and unpredictability Towards a sense of global citizenship of common humanity A world without hegemonic powers Towards a poly-centric world (power taken away from State)./…

4. A. A “player” in which “game” ? Trends in a globalised world (2011-2030) A world with less poverty, but the poverty challenge will remain (new poor) Empowerment of the individual; pressure to meet citizen’s expectations Greater need for (and greater obstacles to) global regulation Greater need for (and greater resistance to) more “Europe”

5. B. What is the “team’s” composition and line-up ? The Brussels component after the Lisbon Treaty The national capitals of the EU Member States The added value of joint action - sine qua non condition for team success../…

6. C. What are the instruments and the tactics? Exiting the financial crisis; the quest for European economic governance and growth Promoting global trade EU enlargement and EU neighbourhood policies./…

7. C. What are the instruments and the tactics? Th EU Multiannual Financial Framework (2013-2020) The external dimensions of common EU policies (Energy, Transport, food Safety, Justice and Home Affairs) The common Foreign and Security Policy; the case for defence cooperation Development and humanitarian aid.

8. And now what ? A look beyond the three fundamental questions These are challenging times, but not suited for definite conclusions Geo-political atmospherics increasingly uncertain, internal policy tools and instruments still in progress Very high expectations for (internal and external) delivery../…

9. And now what ? A look beyond the three fundamental questions European leaders accountable to national parliaments; no European public opinion Member States’ reflex not always Brussels-driven, although European added value remains undisputed European paradoxe : the EU introspection in world affairs vs its increasing attraction for inward investment by emerging economies.

10. “Soft Power” : the EU’s best asset A view from Tahrir Square : “we want to live like you, we want democracy as in Turkey” Promoting European values, rights, lifestyle Standing for inclusiveness and tolerance (minorities, women, elderly)../…

11. “Soft Power” : the EU’s best asset Projecting mobility, access to education and universal healthcare, creativity, excellence in sports, fashion & design Soft power is the safest avenue for EU influence in the globalised economy, but needs to be backed by economic success and social innovation.

12. EU and Turkey : a solid partnership Old friends (1961 partnership agreement, 1995 customs union, 2005 formal pre- accession status) Good friends (103 billion € trade in 2010, EU is Turkey’s biggest trade partner, 80 % of total FDIs in Turkey originate from the EU)../…

13. EU and Turkey : a solid partnership Turkey more relevant than ever (economy, G20, foreign affairs, NATO, Middle East, South Mediteranean) Trusted (?) friends : need to clear the horizon and address the real stakes.

14. Overall conclusion « …there seems to be only one solution to today’s problems : simply to attack them by using a different method from the one we applied when we created them … » Albert Einstein