1. Gambling Your Future: Effective Portfolio Management Todd Little and Kent McDonald So many decisions, more time than we thought

2. By the Book Gaming  Pools for Fools  Tools for Pools  By my Fantasy  You Betcha

3. The Problem(s)

4. The Development Funnel Evaluation and SelectionDevelopmentProjects New Products /Services

5. Real Funnels: Group B Research Customer Marketing Engineering Strategic Planning OEM Quality Control Cont.

6. Real Funnels: Group C Central Research Local Inputs Board Heat Product "A" Competitor Boot NIH Resistor (abrasion; slows down the flow) TechProd'nLogSales LAUNCH HERE RELAUNCH HERE 1 1/2 – 2 years2 – 3 hours 8 –12 months leaky

7. What can we do to get useful Portfolio Management?

8. Value Models? How Do You Determine Costs? How Do You Determine Benefits?

9. A Value Model?

10. Line Change

11. Value Model!

12. Decisions, Decisions, Decisions What do we do? When do we do it? When do we decide?

13. Real Options

14. Deciding Is Not a Once in a Lifetime Event  Knowledge Improves  Business Conditions Change  Project Conditions Change  Do You Know Why You Are Deciding Early?

15. ConsiderationsRisksAssumptionsConstraints

16. Risks – Types of Uncertainty Cost Uncertainty General Market Uncertainty Feature Acceptance Uncertainty

17. Purpose-Based Alignment Market Differentiating High Low Mission Critical Low High Differentiating ParityWho Cares? Partner Purpose Does Not Equal Priority

18. Example: Health Insurance Purpose Alignment Market Differentiating High Low Mission Critical Low High Pharmacy Dental Disability Insurance Healthcare analytics Member Medical Home Claims Processing Enrollment Customer Service

19. Simulation  Get into teams  Choose a representative  Prepare your case

20. Iteration 1

21. Iteration 2

22. Debrief/Retrospective

23. Buy the Book: Stand Back and Deliver New book by Pixton, Nickolaisen, Little, and McDonald Published by Addison Wesley in Early 2009 Drafts: www.accelinnova.com /booklogin.php

24. Contact Todd Little  www.toddlittleweb.com  713-504-5365  tlittle@lgc.com Kent J McDonald:  www.knowledgebridgepartners.com  www.accelinnova.com  515.229.6929  kent@knowledgebridgepartners.com