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for statistics based on multiple sources

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1 for statistics based on multiple sources
Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju Eurostat, European Commission

2 Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources
Content Introduction Quality of statistics – general discussion Output quality assessment – input and process Direct output quality assessment Conclusions Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 2/11

3 Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources
1. Introduction Challenges Reduce response burden Reduce cost of raw data collection Increase ability to face new demands Increase ability to produce more detailed statistics Increase use of administrative data sources Direct use Use in sampling frame Auxiliary information Calibration Output quality assessment Can consider the integration effect? Can consider the variety of statistical approaches Can advantages be offset by possible decreases in the quality? Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 3/11

4 Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources
2. Quality of statistics – general discussion Input Quality of raw data Whether and how a given data source can be used on a regular basis to produce statistics Process Whether final data is “real” Magnitude of errors introduced in processing stage Analyse of statistical process Output User easy to understand information on the quality of the final data Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 4/11

5 Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources
2. Quality of statistics – general discussion The ESS Code of Practice The ESS Standard for Quality Reports ESS Handbook for Quality Reports Relevance Accuracy & Reliability Timeliness & Punctuality Coherence & Comparability Accessibility & Clarity Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 5/11

6 Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources
3. Output quality assessment: input and process Not feasible: multiple sources multiple uses large and complex processes certainly at the European level Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 6/11

7 3. Output quality assessment: input and process
Process step Risk Impacted quality dimension Error measurement Linkage and determination of the target population Missed link, wrong link: under/over coverage Accuracy, comparability Bias, confidence range of the target population Concept/ definition Aggregation of different concept/definitions Relevance, accuracy, comparability Bias, Variance error, qualitative assessment Imputation/ estimation Estimation error Accuracy Bias, variance error Classification Wrong classification Relevance, accuracy, comparability below a certain level of aggregation Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 7/11

8 Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources
4. Direct output quality assessment Direct assessment of output quality from the output itself Assessment of output quality with a common reference data source Bootstrapping Not replacing the input + process approach Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 8/11

9 Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources
4. Direct output quality assessment Direct assessment of output quality from the output itself time series or cross-sectional data breaks in series are a direct indication of bias revisions outliers Assessment of output quality with a common reference data source quality survey additional statistics or administrative sources with considerable conceptual harmonisation Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 9/11

10 4. Direct output quality assessment
Methods derived from bootstrapping Possible use Application Remarks Main practical problem As primary and/or complementary data Yes Existence of overlapping survey data is welcome and can significantly increase the feasibility and relevance of the method Inference on the distribution and/or generating process of the administrative data. Detection of break and outliers in time series. Support sampling surveys Partially Uncertainty can be inserted by estimating false positive and negative probability How to simulate the addition of a previously non selected unit in the replication of the sample Auxiliary information Modelling on how randomness is channelled through the production process Simulation of the error caused by the imputation/estimation methods Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 10/11

11 Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources
5. Conclusions Output quality assessment through input and process quality gets too complex in processes combining several sources, especially at the European level Alternative solutions should be found: direct output assessment a common reference source bootstrapping Output quality assessment: internal use: to monitor and improve statistical production process external use: a coherent summary of information on quality output Assessing quality is not for free Quality indicators for statistics based on multiple sources Mihaela Agafiţei, Fabrice Gras, Wim Kloek, Sorina Vâju (Eurostat, European Commission) Q2014 – Vienna – 5th of June, 2014 Session No 32 - Statistics beyond survey and administrative data 11/11


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