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Principles of MacroEconomics: Econ101 1 of 29
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In this chapter we take a look at the problem of unemployment When is a person “unemployed”? What are the costs of unemployment? What’s an appropriate policy goal for “full employment”? 6-2 2 of 29
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Labor force: All persons age 16 and over who are either working for pay or actively seeking paid employment People who are not employed or are not actively seeking work are not considered part of the labor force 6-3 3 of 29
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Labor-force participation rate: The percentage of the working-age population working or seeking employment People who are neither employed nor actively seeking work are called nonparticipants 6-4 4 of 29
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Only half the total U.S. population participates in the civilian labor force. The rest of the population is too young, in school, at home, retired, or otherwise unavailable. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 6-5 5 of 29
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The labor force expands as births and immigration increase. A big increase in the participation rate of women after 1950 also added to labor-force growth. Source: Economic Report of the President, 2009 6-6 6 of 29
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Labor-force growth expands production possibilities, enabling more production Need to create more jobs to assure that labor-force participants can find a job Otherwise, could end up inside the production possibilities curve 6-7 7 of 29
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C H GF D Labor-force growth increases production possibilities Consumption Goods (units per year) B A Investment Goods (units per year) O At point F, resources are unemploy ed 6-8 8 of 29
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To make full use of production capacity an economy’s labor force must be fully employed Unemployment: The inability of labor-force participants to find jobs Okun’s Law: 1 percent more unemployment results in 2 percent less output 6-9 9 of 29
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U.S. Census Bureau surveys about 60,000 households a month to determine how many people are actually unemployed A person is considered unemployed if he or she is not employed and is actively seeking a job 6-10 10 of 29
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Unemployment rate: The proportion of the labor force that is unemployed 6-11 11 of 29
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Minority groups, teenagers, and less-educated individuals experience higher rates of unemployment. Source: U.S. Department of Labor (2008 data) 6-12 12 of 29
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When the economy is growing, unemployment rates and average duration decline Duration Percent of Unemployed Less than 5 weeks32.80% 5 to 14 weeks31.4 15 to 26 weeks16.0 27 weeks or more19.7 Median duration9.4 weeks Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (2008 data) 6-13 13 of 29
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Discouraged worker: An individual who isn’t actively seeking employment but would look for or accept a job if one were available Discouraged workers are not counted as unemployed because they gave up looking for a job 6-14 14 of 29
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Underemployment: People seeking full-time paid employment who work only part-time or are employed at jobs below their capability Underemployed workers represent labor resources that are not being fully utilized 6-15 15 of 29
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Prolonged unemployment can hurt, causing Lost income Lost confidence Social stress Ill health 6-16 16 of 29
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Full employment is not the same as zero unemployment There are several types of unemployment 6-17 17 of 29
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Seasonal unemployment: Unemployment due to seasonal changes in employment or labor supply The Labor Department reports seasonally adjusted unemployment rates for every month 6-18 18 of 29
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Frictional unemployment: Brief periods of unemployment experienced by people moving between jobs or into the labor market Differs from other types of unemployment: Adequate demand for frictionally unemployed They have skills required for existing jobs The job-search period is relatively short 6-19 19 of 29
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Structural unemployment: Unemployment caused by a mismatch between the skills (or location) of job seekers and the requirements (or location) of available jobs 6-20 20 of 29
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Cyclical unemployment: The unemployment attributable to the lack of job vacancies, that is, to an inadequate level of aggregate demand Not enough jobs to go around due to inadequate demand for goods and services 6-21 21 of 29
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The economy must grow at least as fast as the labor force to avoid cyclical unemployment When economic growth slows below this threshold, unemployment rates start to rise 6-22 22 of 29
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Unemployment rates reached record heights (25 percent) during the Great Depression. In more recent decades, the unemployment rate has varied from 4 percent in full-employment years to over 10 percent in recession years. Source: U.S. Department of Labor 6-23 23 of 29
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The Employment Act of 1946 committed the government to pursue maximum employment The full employment goal presumably means avoiding as much cyclical and structural unemployment as possible, while keeping frictional unemployment reasonably low 6-24 24 of 29
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Rising prices are a signal that employment is nearing capacity During the 1960s, the Council of Economic Advisors placed full employment at a 4% unemployment rate 6-25 25 of 29
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Natural rate of unemployment: Long-term rate of unemployment determined by structural forces in labor and product markets The “natural” rate of unemployment consists of frictional and structural components only 6-26 26 of 29
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The Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978 (Humphrey-Hawkins Act) set 4% unemployment rate and 3% inflation as a national goal 6-27 27 of 29
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As much as one-fourth of the labor force was unemployed during the Great Depression The unemployment rate fell to 1.2 percent during World War II and has fluctuated from a low of 2.8 percent during the Korean War to a high of 10.8 percent in the 1981-82 recession 6-28 28 of 29
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From 1982 to 1989 unemployment fell, but shot up again in the 1990-91 recession The rate fell steadily during the last half of the 1990s, but rose sharply in late 2001 Subsequent recovery pushed the rate down again in 2006–7 The credit crisis of 2008 wiped out that gain 6-29 29 of 29
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