1. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e Air Force Weather Agency Battlespace Environments Institute Dr. Jerry W. Wegiel AFWA BEI Project Manager Unclassified Space Weather Week 7 Apr 05

2. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 2 Overview HPCMP background and activities Battlespace Environments Institute Earth System Modeling Framework Challenges Summary Unclassified

3. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 3 HPCMP Background and Activities Unclassified

4. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 4 HPCMP Mission http://www.hpcmo.hpc.mil The Department of Defense (DoD) High Performance Computing Modernization Program's (HPCMP) mission is to deliver world-class commercial, high-end, high performance computational capability to the DoD's science and technology (S&T) and test and evaluation (T&E) communities, facilitating the rapid application of advanced technology into superior war-fighting capabilities. Unclassified

5. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 5 The High Performance Computing Modernization Program (HPCMP) was initiated in 1992 in response to congressional direction to modernize the Department of Defense (DoD) laboratories' high performance computing (HPC) capabilities. The HPCMP was assembled out of a collection of small high performance computing departments each with a rich history of supercomputing experience that had independently evolved within the Army, Air Force, and Navy laboratories and test centers. The HPCMP provides the supercomputer services, high-speed network communications, and computational science expertise that enables the Defense laboratories and test centers to conduct a wide range of focused research, development, and test activities. This partnership puts advanced technology in the hands of U.S. forces more quickly, less expensively, and with greater certainty of success. Today's weapons programs, such as the Joint Strike Fighter, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles, Medium Tactical Vehicle Replacement, and the Javelin Missile program, have benefited through innovative materials, advanced design concepts, improved and faster modification programs, higher fidelity simulations, and more efficient tests. Future weapons systems, such as radio frequency weapons, the airborne laser, and the Army's future combat system, are benefiting through basic and applied research in plasma physics, turbulence modeling, molecular engineering, high-energy materials, and advanced signal processing. The HPCMP is organized into three components to achieve its goals. These components are: HPCMP HPC Centers, Networking, and Software Application Support. HPCMP Motto: Tools for the 21st Century! Unclassified

6. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 6 CTA Portfolio New SW Paradigm Serial to parallel Each CTA represented Mostly Service oriented codes Technology FOCUS Serial to parallel DOD oriented Loose federation Some Cross- Discipline Application Integrated Portfolio Parallel Enhancements DOD integrated Cross-Discipline Tightly coupled Program Managed Integrated application HSAI High-productivity, high-end computing New development Enhance Service HPC capability Service managed Mission focus Local applications The thinking behind the Institute: Evolve the original stove-piped CTA-based program, with emphasis on software testing, to an integrated computational science and engineering applications development and support program which focuses the sum of all previous CHSSI technologies to address major DoD needs. 199419992004 Component 3: Software Applications Support Evolution of Application Software Unclassified

7. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 7 High Performance Computing Software Applications Institutes: The first High Performance Computing Software Applications Institutes (HSAI) were selected by the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (Science and Technology) on August 20, 2004. Each institute will form a critical mass of experts keenly focused on using computational science and high performance computing to accelerate solving the Department's highest priority challenges. With cross-Service and Agency teaming and multi-disciplinary approaches, the institutes have a strong potential to transform the DoD's science and technology and test and evaluation communities and to make the important advances in research, development, test, and evaluation. Component 3: Software Applications Support Unclassified

8. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 8 Institute Goals  Institutionalize a culture of HPC in select labs, test centers, and product centers  Improve development and maintenance of local applications and HPC infrastructure  Build HPC experience in defense laboratories, engineering and test centers for defense applications Service Management PET ON-SITES HSAI at/for XXX Portfolio MGR SAS MGR Project Team Computational Projects Mission: Expand Service/Agency efforts in providing robust production-level software for modeling, simulation and computation in HPC application areas of highest impact to DoD Service Management Service Management Service Management Service Management HPCMPO Institute Goals Unclassified

9. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 9 Battlespace Environments Institute Unclassified http://www.ocean.nrlssc.navy.mil/bei/bei.html

10. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 10 BEI Mission The Battlespace Environments Institute (BEI), located at Stennis Space Center, Mississippi, includes the Naval Research Laboratory's (NRL) Oceanography Division, personnel from the NRL's Ocean and Marine Meteorology divisions, the Army’s Engineer Research and Development Center (ERDC) and from the Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA). This institute will migrate existing DoD climate/weather/ocean modeling and simulation, environmental quality modeling and simulation and space weather applications to the Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) and assist in transitioning non-DoD ESMF applications to DoD. Establishing a DoD BEI within the broad ESMF will allow DoD to tailor access to 19 major earth system modeling components and 30 ESMF applications to meet its requirements. The BEI will result in cross-service and cross- agency collaborations and savings, and the rapid transfer of new models to support the DoD Battlespace Environments Mission and will augment ESMF with capabilities needed for the DoD battlespace environment. The BEI will become the primary means to couple earth system components within DoD. Unclassified

11. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 11 Facilitate the integration of Earth and space modeling capabilities into a seamless, whole-earth common modeling infrastructure allowing the inter- service development of multiple, mission-specific environmental simulations. (GOAL) Support battlefield decisions, improve interoperability, reduce operating costs, streamline the transition of cutting-edge environmental technologies from research into DoD operations. (GOAL) Use the Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) as an “enabling technology” to develop the whole-earth system. Bring in DoD as a partner to the ESMF. Transition non-DoD ESMF applications to DoD. (STRATEGY) Foster wider collaborations between DoD, multiple government agencies, academia and industry. Unclassified BEI Overview

12. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 12 BEI Stakeholders Dr. James Houston, ERDC Dr. Ed Gough, CNMOC TD Dr. Michele Rienecker, NASA GMAO Dr. Tim Killeen, Director, NCAR Dr. Stephen Lord, Director, NCEP/EMC Dr. John Harding, Acting, NAVO TD Dr. Ants Leetma, Director, GFDL Col Lanicci, AFWA Dr. Phil Jones, Los Alamos CAPT Titley, FNMOC (Addison) Unclassified

13. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 13 BEI Management Framework Unclassified Steve Payne BEI Director Alan WallcraftRick Allard Alan WallcraftJerry Wegiel Rich Hodur Cecelia DeLucaDavid Richards Eric Hartwig RADM Jay Cohen TBD

14. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 14 Technical Teams: Army (ERDC): Groundwater, riverine Air Force (AFWA): Space weather, WRF Navy (NRL-SSC): Ocean dynamics (waves, currents, ice), coupling Navy (NRL-MRY) Atmospheric modeling, enhancements and coupling NCAR: ESMF Core Team, unstructured grids, WRF, new capabilities for DoD Management: NRL-SSC Provides Technical, Financial Oversight Institute Technical Framework Unclassified

15. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 15 To develop a DoD-wide whole-earth environment which interoperates with that from other agencies: Migrate core DoD models to ESMF Navy (e.g., NCOM, HYCOM, SWAN, COAMPS ™ ) Air Force (WRF, Kinematic Solar Wind and GAIM ) Army (e.g., ADCIRC, WASH123) Development of tools and applications (e.g., extend ESMF to support unstructured grids and nesting) Coupled applications: Air/ocean, air/ocean/ice, air/ocean/groundwater, air/space-weather Thorough testing, prototyping, documentation of all components Unclassified BEI Objectives

16. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 16 Earth System Modeling Framework Unclassified

17. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 17 What is ESMF? 1.ESMF provides tools for turning model codes into components with standard interfaces and standard drivers 2.ESMF provides data structures and common utilities that components use i.to organize codes ii.to improve performance portability iii.for common services such as data communications, regridding, time management and message logging Unclassified

18. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 18 http://www.esmf.ucar.edu/ Unclassified Before BEI NO DOD COMPONENT !!

19. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 19 1. Base version of code selected, and configuration decided on (includes version, target platform, validation criteria). 2. User component is restructured in an ESMF manner, but may not use ESMF software. 3. User component builds valid states and presents standard ESMF interfaces. 4. All gridded components run as ESMF stand-alone components - complete for non-coupled applications. 5. A system with all components and stub coupler(s) links and runs, even though the coupler may not do anything, or may not use ESMF regridding. 6. One field is transferred in some manner through the coupled system. 7. ESMF regridding is used if needed. 8. All active fields are correctly transferred, and experiment is verified by outside source. STANDALONE CODE APPLICATIONS Unclassified Proposed BEI-ESMF Adoption Legend

20. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 20 Unclassified BEI Interaction with ESMF and Related Efforts

21. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 21 DRAFT Strategic Plan, Annual Performance Plan (Dec ’04/Jan 05) ESMF Training (via PET) at Stennis January 18-19, 2005 BEI Kickoff Meeting (Stennis) January 20-21, 2005 HSAI BOD Visit 16 February 2005 UGC June 2005 (Nashville) ESMF Community Meeting Summer 2005 HSAI BOD 2 nd Site Visit August 2005 Unclassified BEI FY05 Timeline

22. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 22 AFWA-BEI Related Research Unclassified

23. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 23 AFWA-BEI Space Weather Modeling Goals Couple ESMF versions of Hakamada-Akasofu-Fry (HAF) kinematic solar wind model and Global Assimilation of Ionospheric Measurements (GAIM) models to provide DoD with the ability to extend the forecast lead time of the arrival of a shock in the solar wind created by a Coronal Mass Ejection at the sun from 1 hour to 1-3 days. Extreme space weather conditions can adversely affect communications, satellite orbit decay, satellite charging and result in false radar targets. Unclassified

24. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 24 HAF predicts solar wind conditions (speed, density and interplanetary magnetic field) at the Earth based upon observations of the Sun. These solar wind parameters are key inputs to numerical prediction models for forecasting space weather disturbances (such as geomagnetic storms, energetic particle fluxes and ionospheric disturbances) that impact space operations. GAIM will use a physics-based ionosphere-plasmasphere-polar wind model and a Kalman filter as a basis for assimilating a diverse set of real-time (or near real-time) measurements. GAIM will provide global distributions for the ionospheric drivers (neutral winds and densities, magnetospheric and equatorial electric fields, and particle precipitation patterns), and in its specification mode, quantitative estimates for the accuracy of the reconstructed ionospheric densities. Space Weather Team FY05 BEI Deliverable Dr. Ghee Fry, Exploration Physics International, Inc (EXPI) Software Development Plan Dr. Robert Schunk, Space Environment Corporation (SEC) Optimization Proof-of-concept HAF-GAIM coupled capability AFWA-BEI Space Weather Modeling Goals Unclassified

25. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 25 WRF Team John Michalakes (NCAR/MMM) Herbert Rothmond (SGI) Tom Henderson (NCAR/MMM) Gerardo Cisneros* (SGI) Jim Tuccillo* (IBM) Pete Johnsen* (Cray) FY05 BEI Deliverables Software Development Plan Benchmarks (web presence) Metric Optimizations ESMF interoperabilityCoupled HYCOM-WRF capability * Denotes contributed FTEs (~2.15 or $430K)^Denotes independent AFWA contract AFWA-BEI Terrestrial Modeling Goals Unclassified

26. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 26 Challenges Proposed BEI-ESMF Adoption Legend AFWA policy as it pertains to ESMF-izing codes BEI sustainment beyond 2010 (budget augmentation) Unifying the U.S. space weather modeling community Unclassified Bottom line The AFWA BEI Team is positioned to take full advantage of the opportunities the Institute has to offer. We pledge to under promise and over deliver on our stated goals and objectives as we work together with our BEI partners on the noble scientific endeavor of delivering a fully integrated system of environmental modeling systems to DoD and for our Nation.

27. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 27 Unclassified