1. UNICEF’s contribution to GIVAS and crisis monitoring Complex Crisis Workshop IDS 9-10 March 2010 Gaspar Fajth Chief, Social Policy and Economic Analyses gfajth@unicef.org

2. Intro and background UNICEF’s value added –Mission and global presence –Focus on and staff in LICs, fragile states, emergencies –Experience in collecting evidence - and use for policy advocacy Examples of UNICEF’s economic crisis monitoring –Monitoring the impact of Washington Consensus (AWHF, 1981-86) –Monitoring the transition in CEE/CIS (MONEE project, 1992-2001+) –Monitoring the impact of the 3F crises/contributions to GIVAS Other examples of collecting evidence –Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey, Childinfo/Devinfo, Malawi/Etiopia

3. Monitoring the impact of the 3F crises Food and fuel crisis –Nutrition and WES programme response with decentralized monitoring/rapid surveys (50 countries) –Social protection pilots/proposals for scaling up (simulation models) Financial crisis –Global advocacy (UNICEF-UNIFEM Side Event in Doha, Nov/2008) –Advocacy and sentinel surveillance in East Asia and Pacific (Jan/09) –Contributions to UN GIVAS (from March/2009)

4. UNICEF’s contribution to GIVAS – Countries Crisis framework for selecting countries –Macro- economic stress –Public budget stress –Sustained stress on household budgets (Food/CPI) –Availability of quantitative and/or qualitative evidence Originally 27 countries identified (Input for SG’s first report) Currently global pilot is planned in a sub-selection of these –E.g. Egypt, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Madagascar, Mongolia, Turkey, Uganda, Zambia

5. UNICEF’s contribution to GIVAS – Indicators Proposed indicators at three levels (global/regional/country) Selection principles for the global indicators –Relevant for MDGs and/or UNICEF’s mission –Development impact of the selection of the indicator –Relevant for LICs and well as MICs –Standard qualities of social indicators –Could be collected also at sub-national levels –Both absolute numbers and rates/ratios –Could be benchmarked by routine stats or representative surveys It is expected that GIVAS will add other indicators…

6. Shortlist of proposed common indicators (18): Wasting among girls and boys aged 6-59 months –denominator: # of girls/boys monitored School attendance in primary/lower secondary education by gender –denominator: # of school girls/boys enrolled or # of children in age brackets School attendance in upper secondary education by gender –denominator: # girl/boys enrolled or # girls/boys in age brackets The proportion of children left without parental upbringing –nominator: infants left in maternity wards and/or infant homes, total children in care –denominator: # live births, total # of children Use of antenatal care services by women –denominator: estimated # of live births in country or area

7. Issues to be addressed Next steps, time-frame, partners Methods, technology and frequency of data collection Situating results in a broader framework/indicator system (UN-GIVAS?) Who will analyse, publish results? Alert whom, trigger what action? Policy relevance, political sensitivity Feedback to improve GIVAS and national/international monitoring?