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INECE Climate Change Stories Are Compelling Content Durwood Zaelke President, IGSD Director, INECE Institute for Governance & Sustainable Development
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Climate Induced Extreme Weather Events Source: Center for Research in the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) International Disaster Database Instances of extreme weather events in East, South-East and South Asian Countries 1950-2010
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Wildfire Risk and Prevalence Increased occurrence of wildfires is another probable outcome of climate change (NASA, 2010) Fire activity is worse in periods of drought. Studies on Asian wildfires show a correlation between drought and higher CO 2 emissions from wildfires (NASA, 2009) (Satellite image showing wildfires around the world, NASA 2009)
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Climate Change and Conflict Climate change is expected to increase exacerbating events such as floods, droughts, cyclones, desertification, diseases, water scarcity and declining food production (Allouche, 2010; UNHCR 2009; German Advisory Council on Global Change 2007) Developing countries likely face a higher risk of political instability as a result of climate change effects (Smith & Vivekananda, 2007) Source: German Advisory Council on Global Change 2007
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Rivers Originating in Hindu-Kush-Himalaya-Tibetan Glaciers NEXT
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Sea Level Rise Global sea level is projected to rise by 0.9- 1.6 m by 2100 and Arctic ice loss will make a substantial contribution to this. This is more than two and a half times higher than the 2007 projection 0.15-0.6 meters by the IPCC. Source: IPCC (2007); AMAP (2011)
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13 of 20 most populated cities in world are port cities 65% of Asians live in regions and port cities that will be affected by sea level rise. $35 trillion in assets will be affected by 2070, with highest proportion in Asia. Red dots are cities with over 1 million people, green dots are cities over 500 thousand – 1 million people, and yellow dots are cities with 100-500 thousand people. Source: State of the World’s Cities 2008/2009 – Harmonious Cities
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BACK
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Long Lifetime of CO2
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Arctic and Other Snow & Ice Regions Are Especially Vulnerable to Black Carbon Pollution 11 NASA, Black Soot and Snow: A Warmer Combination, 2004 Without soot, rays reflected With soot, rays (and heat) absorbed BC is 50% of 1.9 C warming in Arctic since 1890 (Shindell & Faluvagi 2009); Cutting BC emissions could reduce temperatures in the Arctic by 1.7˚C in the next 15 years (Mark Jacobson, 2010) BC and its organic co- pollutants are responsible for just under half of the total springtime melt in the Himalayas (Flanner et al. 2009)
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Black Carbon Incomplete combustion –Diesel engines (including ships etc.) –Inefficient residential stoves –Open biomass burning –Power plants
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The Federated States of Micronesia
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