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Council of State & Territorial Epidemiologists June 4, 2012 / Omaha, NE Leslie Seymour, MD, MPH Jon Roesler, MS Anna Gaichas, MS Mark Kinde, MPH Injury and Violence Prevention Minnesota Department of Health injury.prevention@health.state.mn.us Trends in Minnesota Motorcycle Crash Injury
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Background Methods Results Discussion
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Background
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1979-1988
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1989-1998
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1999-2008
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1979-881989-98 1999-2008
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Is engine size increasing? The average engine size in all classes of motorcycles involved in fatal crashes has risen. Motorcycles with engine sizes larger than 1,400 cubic centimeters: 29 percent in 2010 9 percent in 2000 2 percent in 1997 http://www.iihs.org/research/qanda/motorcycles.aspx
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Methods
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Data MHA (Minnesota Hospital Association) Universal Billing Data DPS (Department of Public Safety) Crash Data Death Certificates CODES Data (Crash Outcome Data Evaluation System) - Linked Hospital and Crash Data DVS (Department of Vehicle Services) Data - Licensed Operators - Registered Vehicles Data looked at was restricted to drivers.
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Results
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Minnesota Motor Vehicle Crashes 2001-2010 Rate Rates are incidents per 100,000 driver licenses/permits
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Minnesota Motorcycle Crash Trend 2001-2010 Rate Rates are incidents per 100,000 motorcycle licensed operators MN Crash Facts
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MN Motorcycle-related Death Trend 2001-2010 Rate Rates are incidents per 100,000 motorcycle licensed operators Death Certificates
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Rate of MN Motorcycle-Related Injuries Rate Rates are incidents per 100,000 motorcycle licensed operators Hospital UB data
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Rate of Minnesota TBI Resulting from Motorcycle Crashes Rates are incidents per 100,000 motorcycle licensed operators Hospital UB data Rate
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Rate of TBI Motorcycle & Other Motor Vehicle Crashes Rate Rates are incidents per 100,000 motorcycle licensed operators & 100,000 licensed/permitted drivers
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Rates of Severity of TBI by Cause If in a crash Other MVC, Severe Rates are incidents per 100,000 crashes Rate
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Potential Influencing Factors Increased numbers of motorcycles/riders Gender Age-group Location: Urban vs. Rural Helmet Use Impairment Speed
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Percent Increase Licensed Operators & Registered Vehicles ----- Licensed Drivers ---- Registered Vehicles N N Cars & TrucksMotorcycles 24% 61% 8% 12% DVS Data
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Number of Injured Motorcyclists Gender by year N Year Hospital UB data 33%
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Rate of Injured Motorcyclists Gender by year Rate Rates are incidents per 100,000 motorcycle licensed operators Hospital UB data
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Motorcycle Injuries by Age Group 2001-2010 N Hospital UB data
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Rate of Motorcycle Injury by Age Group Rates are incidents per 100,000 motorcycle licensed operators Rate Hospital UB data
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Age Groups with Largest Increases in Injuries N Year Hospital UB data
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Location of Crashes: Urban vs. Rural 2004 - 2007 N Year Crash Data
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Motorcyclist Impairment in Crashes 2004-2007 Unknown N Year Crash Data
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Helmet Use by Motorcyclists that Crashed, 2004 - 2007 N Year Crash Data
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Speed Reported as Factor in Motorcycle Crash Crash Data N
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Motorcycle Crash: Fatal vs. Nonfatal Logistic Regression Results 2004 - 2005 FactorOdds RatioP-value Impaired2.00.0144 Rural2.20.0003 41-50 years old2.30.0040 61-70 years old3.70.0040 Speeding3.8<.0001 Adjusting for above variables, gender and helmet use. Codes Data
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Motorcycle Crash: Injured vs. Non-Injured Logistic Regression Results 2004-2005 FactorOdds RatioP-value Rural1.20.020 31-40 years old1.30.043 Speeding1.30.008 51-60 years old1.50.003 Male1.50.006 Adjusting for above variables, impairment and helmet use. Codes Data
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Motorcycle Crash: TBI vs. Other Injury Logistic Regression Results 2004 -2005 FactorOdds RatioP-value 51-60 years old 1.50.029 No Helmet 1.50.0002 Speeding 1.70.0001 Impaired 2.5<.0001 Adjusting for above variables, gender and location. Codes Data
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Discussion
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Summary Motorcycle crash trend in Minnesota has been relatively stable over the last 10 years. Minnesota does have an increasing trend of motorcycle crash injuries and deaths. 40% of these injuries are TBIs. Speed was the only factor that was significant in all three outcomes.
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What’s Next?
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Contact Information Leslie Seymour, MD, MPH Epidemiologist Injury & Violence Prevention Unit Minnesota Department of Health leslie.seymour@state.mn.us 651-201-5489
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