1. Finding a job after unemployment: key factors in Russia and Germany Gladnikova Ekaterina (HSE, Moscow) Ketzmerick Thomas (ZSH, Halle) Malkova Maria (HSE, Moscow)

2. Problem Scientific problem Comparison of two countries by the same methodology => finding universal and specific factors Practical problem High level of unemployment – problem of both countries Long term unemployment => social exclusion The need to reveal contributing factors of finding a job after unemployment (especially long term) Recommendations to social policy

3. Transitions from unemployment to employment t has a jobhas no job t-1 had a job regular employees short-term unemployed at the moment had no job successful employees at the moment that had experience of unemployment in the past long-term unemployed

4. Object and Subject The object of the investigation is divided into two groups 1) Russians and Germans at the age of 20-60 who moved from unemployment into a job 2) Russians and Germans at the age of 20-60 who were and stay unemployed The subject is factors influencing the probability of finding a job after unemployment

5. The Aim and Tasks The aim: to find out factors influencing the probability of finding a job after unemployment in Russia and Germany. To achieve the aim it is necessary to set the following tasks: To describe who are the unemployed (particularly long- term) in Russia and Germany? To reveal factors that have a negative / positive impact on finding a job after unemployment in each country. To find and to explain differences and similarities between countries.

6. Methodology 1st task methods of descriptive statistics (frequencies and crosstabulations, methods of comparing means etc.)  2nd task regressional analysis: binary logistic regression

7. Database and Variables Russian Longitude Monitoring Survey, RLMS (Russia), 2001-2007 German Socio-Economic Panel, GSOEP (Germany), 2001-2007 Variables Dependent: Successfulness in a job finding after unemployment (two groups who are succeed and are not) Independent (in t-1 period): wave (year) socio-economical and demographic characteristics of employees (sex, region, family structure, education etc.) ways of job searching duration of unemployment or economic inactivity expectations about future job etc.

8. Hypothesis Positive factors of finding a job: Duration of unemployment (short term), Education (higher), Sex (male), Age (30-40), Type of area (urban), Region (West Germany, Moscow, St. Petersburg), Family structure (partnership, no children at the age of 0-3 years), Year (2006 in Germany and 2003-2006 in Russia) etc.

9. Thanks for your attention!