1. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Battlespace Environments Institute Overview Rick Allard Oceanography Division NRL Stennis

2. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting BEI Overview Facilitate the integration of Earth and space modeling capabilities into a seamless, whole-earth common modeling infrastructure allowing the inter-service development of multiple, mission-specific environmental simulations. (GOAL) Support battlefield decisions, improve interoperability, reduce operating costs, streamline the transition of cutting-edge environmental technologies from research into DoD operations. (GOAL) Use the Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) as an “enabling technology” to develop the whole-earth system. Bring in DoD as a partner to the ESMF. Transition non-DoD ESMF applications to DoD. (STRATEGY) Foster wider collaborations between DoD, multiple government agencies, academia and industry.

3. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting BEI Stakeholders Dr. James Houston, ERDC Dr. Ed Gough, CNMOC TD Dr. Michele Rienecker, NASA GMAO Dr. Tim Killeen, Director, NCAR Dr. Stephen Lord, Director, NCEP Modeling Center Dr. John Harding, Acting, NAVO Dr. Ants Leetma, Director, GFDL COL Bensen, AFWA Dr. Phil Jones, Los Alamos CAPT Gunderson, FNMOC “The development of a framework to support internally consistent modeling of the entire (land-sea-air) battlespace environment is important to our strategic goal of providing essential guidance with respect to environmental factors that impact warfighter decisions.” (CAPT Gunderson, FNMOC) “Convergence to a common modeling infrastructure will improve interoperability, reduce operating costs, and most importantly streamline the transition of cutting-edge technologies from research into DoD operations.” (COL Bensen, AFWA)

4. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting BEI Stakeholders DoD Stakeholders: Navy (CNMOC, NAVO, FNMOC), Air Force (AFWA), Army (ERDC) –Air Force-AFWA: “convergence to a common modeling infrastructure will improve interoperability, reduce operating costs, and streamline transition of cutting-edge technologies from research to DoD operations”. –Army-ERDC: “The BEI, designed to support battlefield decisions will promote the development of common modeling infrastructure and advancement of Earth system prediction capabilities”. –Navy-CNMOC: “goal…to progress to a full coupling of environmental models to predict warfighters’ total battlespace environment-from beneath the sea floor to space, and from blue water to terrain”. Wider Community: NSF NCAR, NOAA GFDL and NCEP, DOE LANL and ANL, NASA JPL and GMAO, universities.

5. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Institute Management Framework

6. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Institute Technical Framework Technical Teams: –Army (ERDC): Groundwater, riverine –Air Force (AFWA): Space weather, WRF –Navy (NRL-SSC): Ocean dynamics (waves, currents, ice), coupling –Navy (NRL-MRY) Atmospheric modeling, enhancements and coupling –NCAR: ESMF Core Team, unstructured grids, WRF, new capabilities for DoD Management: –NRL-SSC Provides Technical, Financial Oversight

7. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting

8. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Present (non-ESMF) Capabilities

9. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Example of NRL East Asian Seas NCOM GLIDER vs EAS ARGOS vs EAS ESMF-based applications will help DoD streamline model transition, maintenance and upgrades.

10. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Battlespace Environments Institute Objectives To develop a DoD-wide whole-earth environment which interoperates with that from other agencies: –Migrate core DoD models to ESMF Navy (e.g., NCOM, HYCOM, SWAN, COAMPS ™ ) Air Force (Kinematic Solar Wind and GAIM ) Army (e.g., ADCIRC, WASH123) –Development of tools and applications (e.g., extend ESMF to support unstructured grids and nesting) –Coupled applications: Air/ocean, air/ocean/ice, air/ocean/groundwater, air/space-weather –Thorough testing, prototyping, documentation of all components

11. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Battlespace Environments Institute NRL MRY Short-Term Goals Short-Term Goal: Integrate the Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS™) into the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) modeling infrastructure Milestones: Adapt WRF I/O standards Redesign COAMPS™ physical parameterizations for WRF standards Incorporate COAMPS™ dynamic core into WRF Assist in modifying WRF infrastructure to address: Unique COAMPS™ capabilities (e.g., Air/Ocean coupling, moving nested grids) Efficiency Flexibility Ensure that COAMPS™ performance in the WRF infrastructure matches current performance

12. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting NRL MRY Long-Term Goals Long-Term Goal: Utilize the Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) standards to build and validate enhanced capabilities for COAMPS/WRF Enhanced Capabilities: Two-way air/ocean coupling Aerosol-Radiation and Aerosol-Cloud Microphysics interactions High-resolution (< 3 km) tropical cyclone modeling with explicit physics Urban parameterizations Mesoscale ensembles

13. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting BEI NRL MRY Long-Term Goals Explicit microphysics will allow the prediction of large convective systems and tropical cyclone structure and intensity Two-way air/ocean coupling will enable the analysis and prediction of high-resolution, consistent fields in both the atmosphere and ocean

14. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting AFWA Space Weather Goals Couple ESMF versions of HAF and GAIM models to provide DoD with the ability to extend the forecast lead time of the arrival of a shock in the solar wind created by a Coronal Mass Ejection at the sun from 1 hour to 1-3 days. Extreme space weather conditions (e.g., geo-magnetic storming) can adversely affect communications, satellite orbit decay, satellite charging and result in false radar targets.

15. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Unstructured Grid Support (NCAR Lead) Ability to interpolate atmospheric model data in native format to unstructured grids. Build coupled applications where data can be exchanged between models every n th timestep. ADCIRC Mesh: 2 – 400 m resolution

16. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Guidelines for application development: –ESMF does not mandate how components interact. –Need to define and implement the rules (standards) a component must follow to be part of the DoD whole-earth system. –Goal is NOT to require that all components from space to underground run at the same time as one system. –Instead, each organization uses the same whole-earth system (software and standards) to run the components of interest to them. –Once we have ESMF-compliant components we will prototype the whole- earth system across limited domains (e.g. littoral or air-ocean) –The prototypes will be immediately useful, but the goal is to gain the experience necessary to design and build a comprehensive whole-earth system.

17. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting Long Term Goals and Metrics Goal: DoD’s in-house environmental R&D is primarily based in the whole-earth environment. (FY05-10) % of HPC hours in environment % of funding for projects in environment Goal: DoD’s operational environmental products based in a whole-earth environment. (FY07-10) Environments transitioned to operational centers % of operational hours in environment % of operational products Goal: DoD whole-earth environment interoperates with that from other agencies. (FY08-10) Multi-agency test cases % of DoD multi-agency projects in environment

18. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting BEI Interaction with ESMF and Related Efforts

19. 30 November 2004ESMF Interagency Working Group Meeting BEI Calendar Complete DRAFT Strategic Plan, Annual Performance Plan (Dec ’04) ESMF Training (via PET) at Stennis January 18- 19, 2005 BEI Kickoff Meeting (Stennis) January 20-21, 2005 HSAI Site Visit February 2005 UGC June 2005 (Nashville) ESMF Community Meeting Summer 2005