Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

“One world, One Burger” McDonald’s Presented: October 13, 2011.

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "“One world, One Burger” McDonald’s Presented: October 13, 2011."— Presentation transcript:

1 “One world, One Burger” McDonald’s Presented: October 13, 2011

2 AGENDA  Investment Summary  Industry Overview  Company Overview  Comparable Analysis  DCF Analysis  Recommendation

3  Purchase 200 shares in March 2009 @ price $52.44 Investment Summary (MCD)

4  Unrealized capital gain of 70.31%  Current Price $89.31 Investment Summary (MCD)

5 MCD Growth VS GDP Growth CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-value Intercept0.0151189920.0464643150.32538930.7484424 GDP Growth Rate-0.001312760.015397937-0.0852560.9329502

6 Industry Overview -Characteristics Life Cycle Stage: Mature Revenue Volatility: Low Barriers to Entry: Low Capital Intensity: Medium Technology Change: Medium Competition Level: High

7  The top four players are expected to have a low market share of under 35% in 2010. Industry Overview -Concentration

8 Industry Overview -Key external drivers Consumption expenditure. Health Concern. Changes in consumer preference Intense competition

9 Industry Overview -Costs Structure

10 Profitability MCD VS Industry

11 Margin MCD VS Industry

12  Products: Hamburgers; Chicken sandwiches; Salads; Soft drinks and Desserts.  32,737 restaurants in 117 countries  26,338(80.72%) were franchisee and affiliate operated stores - Initial investment fees - Royalties  6,339 (19.28%) company operated stores Company Overview

13 Five-Step DuPont Analysis

14

15 Geographic Growth

16 Geographic Growth Drivers US Quarterly Sales increased 4.5% Six months sales increased 3.7% McCafe Europe Quarterly Sales increased 5.9% Six months sales increased 5.8% Ongoing restaurant modernization APMEA Quarterly Sales increased 5.2% Six months sales increased 4.2% Banded affordability & Breakfast

17 Qualitative outlook  US: - Store remodel (new POS system) - Menu redesign under recession  Europe: - Dominance  APMEA: - Food and labor inflation (WSJ) - Not as much presence as Yum Brands

18  COGS up 4-4.5% in US and Europe  SGA expenses down 2%  Interest expense up 8-10% (net issuances of $787 MM debt)  CapEx $2.5 Bn, half invested in opening new restaurants and half in reinvesting in existing restaurants 10-Q Outlook for full year 2011

19 Valuation Price $81.83 DCF (Weight: 70%) $93.05 WACC 9.65 Multiple (Weight:30%) $70.60

20 HOLD Recommendation


Download ppt "“One world, One Burger” McDonald’s Presented: October 13, 2011."

Similar presentations


Ads by Google