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2008 California Scrap Tires Market Report August 2009 Copyright © 2009 by R. W. Beck, Inc. All Rights Reserved. California Integrated Waste Management Board Agenda Item 16
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Background Updated Market Trends & Diversion Rate Support Board & Industry Efforts New Template for Annual Updates Foundation for Program Evaluation/ Strategy Review Methodology: Survey, Interviews, CIWMB Data Inherent Data Limitations: +/- 10% Accuracy
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R. W. Beck, Inc. California Scrap Tire Industry Flow Chart
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Market Snapshot Category 200620072008 Million PTE Percent of Total Million PTE Percent of Total Million PTE Percent of Total Export1.904.3% 2.255.2%3.698.2% Reuse 6.5014.6%6.1814.3% 6.27 14.0% Ground Rubber 6.6014.9%9.2121.3%10.0522.4% Civil Engineering 3.307.4 % 3.538.2%2.796.2% Alternative Daily Cover 4.5010.1%2.826.5%2.064.6% Other Recycling 3.307.4%0.100.2%0.080.2% Tire-Derived Fuel 8.3018.7%7.7217.8%7.5016.7% Landfill Disposal 11.4025.7%11.4526.5%12.3527.6% Total Generated 44.40100.0%43.26100.0%44.79100.0% Total Diverted from Landfill33.1074.5%31.8173.5%32.4472.4 % Imports1.383.1%0.511.2%1.383.1%
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Processing Infrastructure Trends & Issues Expansions, Contractions and Partnerships Increased Competition Driving Down Collection Revenue in Some Areas Reduced Availability of Scrap Tires Compliance Challenges Competition from Out-of-State Subsidized Ground Rubber Imports Fairness & Appropriate Use of Board Assistance Resources
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Reuse – Holding Steady (14.0% in 2008)
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Ground Rubber – Steady Growth, Some Threats (22.4% in 2008)
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Civil Engineering – Declining with Abrupt Changes Possible (6.2% IN 2008)
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Alternative Daily Cover - Declining (4.6% in 2008)
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Tire-Derived Fuel - Declining (16.7% in 2008)
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Exports: Used Tires Steady; Waste Tires Increasing (8.2% in 2008)
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R. W. Beck, Inc. 2008 Diversion Estimate: 72%
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Short-Term Diversion Outlook: Reduction in 2009 Very Possible Expect Increased Diversion through Ground Rubber and Exports Expect Decreases in Civil Engineering and Tire-Derived Fuel Will Threats to Ground Rubber Materialize? How Deep and Long will the Recession Be?
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Long-Term Threats to California Scrap Tire Diversion Prolonged Recession Reduced Board Funding Perceived Environ Health & Safety Concerns Export Boom and Bust Ground Rubber Over Supply Compliance Challenges Possible Used Tire Export Constraints Possible Increase in Low-Cost GR Imports
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R. W. Beck, Inc. Market Analysis Conclusions CA Scrap Tire Industry Entered 2009 in Strong Position, With Ground Rubber Growing But Short-Term Constraints and Long-Term Diversion Threats Loom Export is a “wild card” Opportunity for Program Evaluation & Strategy Refinement
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California Integrated Waste Management Board CA Scrap Tire Market Development Program Evaluation Jennifer Caldwell
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California Integrated Waste Management Board Tire Market Development Program Evaluation Purpose: – Evaluate appropriateness – Evaluate effectiveness – Build a consensus framework to guide future efforts
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California Integrated Waste Management Board Approach Develop evaluation criteria based on: – Refined market development goals and principles – Opportunities and barriers – Quantitative measures Ensure objectivity and balance by: – Work Group and Stakeholder input – Report all comments and responses
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California Integrated Waste Management Board Anticipated Results An objective evaluation of the Board’s scrap tire market development programs – Refined goals, principles of approach and strategies – Templates for measuring and tracking progress – A framework for strategic reviews during the 5-Year Plan update process
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California Integrated Waste Management Board Schedule August 2009 – Board direction on approach Late August 2009 – Stakeholder meeting October 2009 – Board review of goals and principles Jan/February 2010 – Stakeholder review of preliminary findings April 2010 – Board review of draft final report (Concurrent with Tire Fund Reallocation Proposals)
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www.ciwmb.ca.gov
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