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Published bySheryl Anderson Modified over 8 years ago
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Long-term mortality after acute stroke Stroke is a leading cause of mortality: 6 million fatal events annually worldwide. Mainly affects elderly, but 10% of strokes are in patients younger than 50 years. Prognosis of stroke is usually considered benign in the young population when compared with older patients who have a higher short-term rate of mortality. But… there is no direct evaluation of the impact of stroke in patients younger than 50 years old compared with age-matched individuals from the general population.
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The FUTURE study Follow-Up of Transient ischemic attack and stroke patients and Unelucidated Risk factor Evaluation (FUTURE): a prospective cohort study. 1 Objective: to investigate long-term mortality and cause of death after acute stroke in adults aged 18 through 50 years and to compare this with age and sex- matched mortality rates in the Netherlands. 959 Consecutives’ patients with first-ever transient ischemic attack (TIA, n=262), ischemic stroke (n=606), and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH, n=91), followed up over a mean duration of 11.1 years. Population distribution 1- Rutten-Jacobs LC, Arntz RM, Maaijwee NA et al. Long-term mortality after stroke among adults aged 18 to 50 years. JAMA. 2013;309(11):1136-1144.
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Observed rate of death in the FUTURE study During follow-up, 192 patients died. Case-fatality 43 Patients died during the first 30 days, providing a 30-day case-fatality rate of 0.4% after TIA, 3.6% after ischemic stroke, and 22% after ICH. Long-term mortality in 30-day survivors Cumulative mortality over 20 years in young patients were respectively 24.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 16-33.7) after TIA, 26.8% (95% CI, 21.9-31.8) after ischemic stroke, and 13.7% (95% CI, 3.6-23.9) after ICH.
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Mortality after ischemic stroke remained increased compared with the expected mortality during the entire follow-up: For TIA: 24.9% (95% CI, 16-33.7) vs 8.5% For ischemic stroke: 26.8% (95% CI, 21.9-31.8) vs 7.6% For ICH: 13.7% (95% CI, 3.6-23.9) vs 5.6% The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) reflected the increased mortality observed in all subgroups compared with expected values. PatientsPatient-yearsObservedExpected SMR (95% CI) P value TIA 26126862911.2 2.6 (1.8-3.7) P<0.001 Ischemic stroke 584717111128.6 3.9 (3.2-4.7) P<0.001 ICH 7176892.3 3.9 (1.9-7.2) P<0.001 Long-term consequence of stroke on death rate
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Conclusion Patients experiencing a stroke between the ages of 18 and 50 years remain at significantly higher risk of death compared with the general population during the 20 following years. Half of the deaths were attributable to a vascular event, suggesting that the underlying disease causing stroke at a young age continues to be active throughout life. Among stroke subtypes, cardioembolic stroke (part of the ischemic stroke group) was the most important predictor of mortality.
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