1. ecologic.eu Future Climate Change Policy in the New Member States: Project Findings Project commissioned by the European Commission Nils Meyer-Ohlendorf Andrzej Kassenberg INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

2. ecologic.eu 2 Partners Institute for Sustainable Development (ISD), Warsaw, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) at the Free University of Amsterdam, Foundation for International Environmental Law and Development (FIELD), London, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), Berlin, network of experts. INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

3. ecologic.eu 14./15. June 2006 16 October 2007 11./12. October 2006 11./12. April 2007 25./26. April 2006 Riga Praha Budapest Ljubljana Sofia 23./24. January 2006 Warszawa

4. ecologic.eu 4 Main Project Findings: General (1) Climate Change as a threat and costs of inaction outweigh costs of action (Stern Review), European Action on Climate Change welcomed, NMS on track to meet KP targets NMS ready to reduce further (reduction=increase?) Opportunities in NMS for GHG emission reduction and avoidance by promoting high efficiency and innovation. INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

5. ecologic.eu 5 Main Project Findings: General (2) Climate change policies as a burden on NMS economies, Concerns that NMS will be confronted with climate change policies and reduction targets at the eleventh hour, Limited awareness on Climate Change: public, business and administrations, Limited culture of awareness for international negotiations Integrate Climate Change: energy, transport, taxes, cohesion and structural funds. INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

6. ecologic.eu 6 Integration: opportunities for the energy sector in Poland (1) Poland EU 15 Efficiency of electricity production by power stations 36,5%46,5 Energy-intensity of the economy 462 toe/mllion € GDP 170 Thermo – isolation of flats 150 - 350 kWh/m 2 /year 40 - 90 INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

7. ecologic.eu 7 Integration: opportunities for the energy sector in Poland (2) the share of renewable in energy production is less than 5% but the potential technical capacity is 47%; if Poland reaches in 2030 the same level of energy efficiency as EU 15 (1% increase yearly following SDS) GDP can grow 3,5 half time without increase of energy use BUT 10.4 % of household expenditures are spend on energy compared to 3.0 % of expenditure for EU15. INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

8. ecologic.eu 8 Main Project Findings: Future International Regime A new regime: obligatory targets, include other countries and sectors, greater role of adaptation but not substitute measures activity, exchange the technologies, flexible mechanism, ecological tax reform. NMS contribution: burden sharing: fair criteria and transparent way, more progressive climate policy integrated with economic development, especially energy and transport sectors, participation in international negotiations: capacities. INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

9. ecologic.eu 9 Final conclusions and lessons EU27 needs to provide climate policy much more integrated and comprehensive with others polices specially structural funds and transport ones NMS and CC need to be seen as partners with different starting points, capacities and concerns to climate change policy COP 14/ MOP 4 in Poznań (Poland) gives the chance to express positions and interests of NMS and CC Constant dialogue among ALL relevant stakeholders in each NMS INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

10. ecologic.eu Thank you for attention ! Nils Meyer-Ohlendorf – Ecologic meyer-ohlendorf@ecologic.de Andrzej Kassenberg – Institute for Sustainable Development a.kassenberg@ine-isd.org.pl More about project you can find on: http://www.ecologic-events.de/climate2012/en/index.htm INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT