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EMMA / METEOALARM Multiservice Meteorological Awareness System Michael Staudinger
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Warnings Evacuations Disaster Cycle
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1.1 Flood forecasts Austria Flood warning for Carinthia: local floodings expected from the afternoon onwards Rain and/or floods Flood information: << link Meteo << link Hydro
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Tourism - numbers
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Experiences from real cases 1.Aim of warnings: avoid damage >> need of user reactions 2.High % of people are often not reached (technically & by heart) 3.Relationship: Warnings - Damages/Impact 4.Keep highest level very different – really exceptional 5.Use the chances of „multihazard warning systems“
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From meteorology to warnings Relationship between: meteorological thresholds (valid locally) Europe wide valid criteria (meteorologically) extent of typical damage advice for behaviour (sociocultural and administrative realities)
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Austrian weather warnings till 2006
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METEOALARM warning schedule Redagno 2006 Damage / ImpactWhat to do?Used how often? (Area approx. 300 000 km 2 ) Meteo Treshholds Rain area + damage related Green- - -usual phenomenaExamples yellowexposed objects (avoidable) caution with exposed activities > 30 per year> 54 mm/12h orangegeneral damages (not avoidable) keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities 1 to 30 per year> 80 mm/12h redextreme damage and /or casualties extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatning life and properties (not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places) follow order of authorities under all circumstances be prepared for extraordinary measures less then 1 year + large (5000km2) scale phenomena > 140 mm/12h
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METEOALARM warning schedule Redagno 2006 Damage / ImpactWhat to do? One word Green- - -usual phenomena Weather report yellowexposed objects (avoidable) caution with exposed activities Be aware! orangegeneral damages (not avoidable) keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities Be prepared! redextreme damage and /or casualties extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatning life and properties (not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places) follow order of authorities under all circumstances be prepared for extraordinary measures Take action!
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criteria at one point/station no red / lower level decision tree for „red“ area criteria (parameter) met? extreme impact possible 1 Pos feedback from civ pro? „red“ no red / lower level optional steps 1 might be caused by a combination of parameters
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1.1 Decision team for „red“ (flood) Senior forecaster (teamleader) Hydrologist Board of institution Expert on climate conditions Media expert Civil protection
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METEOALARM operational maps for today + tomorrow
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3rd level information
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Access to the METEOALARM Website Hits up to 12 Mio/day
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Warning parameters Standard set of awareness situations: Wind (mean wind speed or wind gusts, or any combination) Rain (heavy rainfall in intensity or in cumulated amount) Snow/Ice (heavy snowfall, drifting snow and icing phenomena) Thunderstorms
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Warning parameters Additional set of awareness situations: Fog Temperature extremes (heat or cold waves) Coastal events (such as storm surge, …) Forest Fire (risk of forest fire related to meteorological conditions) Avalanches
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Homogenisation of forecasting work forecasters discussion forum
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Statistics August 2007 – April 2008
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Statistics August 2007 – Oktober 2008
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Flood warning Carinthia: local flooding possible Rain and/or floods
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Future activities: Link WMO - METEOALARM
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Proposed and viable future activities: Structured integration of new partners (WMO RA VI) Connect with users / industry: RSS (CAP), user feedback Further awareness types: coastal sea effects, floods... Cooperation & other programs (SWIC, BOSS4GMES, EFAS, EFFIS, ) Cooperation with ECMWF on IDI (Impact Damage Index) For internal user group (MIC, CPA...): 5 days forecasts
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XML content at present
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CAP DWD warnings
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Many Thanks for your attention!
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