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® Flats Sequencing System (FSS) November 20, 2008 Rosa Fulton Phil Fabrizio
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Agenda FSS Pre-production / Production Flat Volume Update Phase 1 Capacity Review ● Forecasting for Change Flats Track – National Postal Forum 2009
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Pre-production & Production Program Update Dulles P &DC
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Dulles FSS Status Preprod FSS Install & Operational Complete 1 st Production FSS Install & Ramp-up Complete Production Pre-Test In-progress Acceptance Test Nov 24 th 2 nd Production FSS Installation In-progress 3 rd Production FSS Installation Nov 2008
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Dulles Operational Ramp-up Production FSS Seven Sort Schemes ●10 Delivery Units ●19 Zones Sort SchemeZones Reston Annex20191, 20194 Fairfax Main22030, 22035, 22038 Sterling Main Reston Main 20164, 20167 20190, 20195 McLean22101, 22109 Burke Culpeper 22009, 22015 22701 Alexandria – Belle View Alexandria – Engleside 22307 22309 Falls Church22040, 22043, 22046 Preproduction FSS Four Sort Schemes ●3 Delivery Units ●4 Zones Sort SchemeZones Arlington - South22204 Arlington – North22207 Manassas20109 Manassas20110
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FY 2008 SPLY Comparison RPW
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FY 2008 SPLY Comparison FY 2008 YTD Total Flat Volume Decline -11.1% FY 2008 YTD Total Flat Volume Decline -11.1% RPW Decline -5.8 Billion Flats Decline -5.8 Billion Flats
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FY 2008 SPLY Comparison RPW Lowest Volume Since 1997
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Flat Volume 2006 – 2008 Comparison 200620072008 53.8 Billion52.4 Billion46.6 Billion Flat Volume Decline -1.4 billion Flat Volume Decline -5.8 billion -2.6%-11.1% Zones Required to Support 100 FSS 1,30018002400+ Original FSS Capacity Model
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Capacity Review Baseline Model - 2006 Recast Model with 2007, then 2008 Data Candidate Zone Criteria for 32 FSS Sites 8,943 Zones Expanded to 12,460 Zones Sweet Spot Focus on 2,484 Zones FSS Scheduler Activities for 100 FSS Capacity Scenario Based on 2008 Actual Data
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What If - Sensitivity Analysis Applied Volume Loss Sensitivities ● Possible Incremental Declines Scenarios Performed ● Over-deployment Risks Identified ● Implementation Scheduling Impacts Modeled Loss Scenarios for all 32 Sites Identified Low, Medium and High Risk Sites Identified Reaction Timelines
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Next Steps Due Diligence Trigger Points Deeper Dive Highest Risks Developed an Early Warning System Identified Alternate (Phase 1A – 2) Sites Last Resort - Redeploy, if/when Necessary
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National Postal Forum 2009 Planning National Postal Forum ® ®
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Flats Track Proposal – NPF 2009 Combine Periodical Track, Printer Track and Flats Symposium into One Flats Track Target Workshops to Support all Flat Mailers Total of 12 Workshops Certificate Program ● Participants Required to Attend a Total of 4 Workshops and the Tuesday General Session to Receive Certificate
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NPF 2009 - Flats Track Workshop # 123456 Workshop Title USPS Flats Strategy Addressing Standards for Flats (Includes IMB) Future Prep & Entry for Flats Co-mail Co-Pallet Co-Binding The Skinny on Slim Jims Future of Catalogs Target Audience Periodical Mailers Catalog Mailers Printers Proposed Workshops Workshop # 789101112 Workshop Title Building Your Periodical Business Optimizing Postage Savings, Small Volume Periodicals Periodical Pricing Managing Postal Budget & Cost Reduction Opportunities Nuts & Bolts of Periodicals Printers Expand into Mailing 10 Steps to Success Target Audience Periodical Mailers Printers
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Flats Track Proposal – NPF 2009 Finalize Workshop Descriptions Finalize Speakers Finalize Format of Each Workshop Next Steps
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Conclusion
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