1. Jorge-A. Sanchez-P.& Nikos Vogiatzis based on the EARNEST/GEANT2 Foresight Study http://www.terena.org/activities/earnest/geog.html http://www.terena.org/activities/earnest/geog.html Presented By: Jorge-A. Sanchez-P. General Manager and Co-Founder, JNPartners Co. Director, Strategy, Corallia Clusters Initiative j.sanchez@corallia.org Bruges, 21 May 2008 From Digital Divide to Digital Inclusion Are we REDI?

2. Research and Education Networking Digital Divide and Index (REDI) A way to quantify and measure “ the uneven distribution, difference or gap in regular and effective access to and usage of digital resources and technologies ” … between scientists, researchers, students, etc* attached to research and education networks … due to infrastructural, social, economic, educational, regulatory and other causes, including but not limited to, unavailability of, difficulty in accessing, unawareness of the availability and/or capabilities of, lack of understanding of how to access and/or use such digital resources and technologies. * Conclusions should be able to be deducted for organizations, campuses, and geographic areas attached to research and education networks.

3. The International Experience A composite index 8-48 Indicators convoluted Clustered in 3- 6 sub-indexes Assess progress in creating digital opportunity and bridging the DD Ability to participate in and benefit from ICT developments

4. Digital Opportunity Index (2005) (Source: ITU/UNCTDA/KADO)

5. A composite index for REN: The REDI Framework –Covers a large number of countries –Modular structure can be grouped in logical classifications/clusters/categories/areas with special interest (e.g. enabling factors/opportunity, infrastructure, usage, etc) –Straightforward methodology Raw ingredients are separate indicators that can be measured relatively easily. Can be convoluted into a single Index (RENDDI) –Objective criteria and measurable indicators Data collected via high-quality sources, e.g. the Compendium or other databases from the ITU, WorldBank, EuroStat, etc, and processed via robust statistical methods. –Standardized indicators Allows for consistent and periodical measurements and assessments Permits comparisons of the Digital Divide evolution (whether it is diminishing and at what speed)—both changes in absolute scores, as well as changes in rankings. –Captures the causes as well as the effects of the Digital Divide exposing both the readiness as well as the intensity of use of digital resources and technologies

6. Studied Regions GN2 Austria (ACOnet) Belgium (BELNET) Bulgaria (BREN) Croatia (CARNet) Cyprus (CYNET) Czech Republic (CESNET) Denmark (UNI-C) Estonia (EENet) Finland (FUNET) France (RENATER) Germany (DFN) Greece (GRNET) Hungary (HUNGARNET) Iceland (RHnet) Ireland (HEAnet) Israel (IUCC) Italy (GARR) GN2 Observers Serbia (AMRES) FYR of Macedonia (MARNet) SEEREN Albania (ANA) Montenegro (MREN) Bosnia & Herzegovina (BIHARNET) PORTA OPTICA Belarus (BASNET) Moldova (RENAM) Ukraine (URAN) Azerbaijan (AzRENA) Georgia (GRENA) Armenia (ASNET) Latvia (LATNET) Lithuania (LITNET) Luxembourg (RESTENA) Malta (CSC) Netherlands (SURFnet) Norway (UNINETT) Poland (PIONIER) Portugal (FCCN) Romania (RoEduNet) Russia (RBNET/RUNNET) Slovakia (SANET) Slovenia (ARNES) Spain (RedIRIS) Sweden (SUNET) Switzerland (SWITCH) Turkey (ULAKBIM) United Kingdom (UKERNA) EUMEDCONNECT Algeria (ARN) Egypt (EUN) Jordan (JUNET) Lebanon (CNRS) Libya Morocco (CNCPSRT) Palestine (PADI2) Syria (HIAST) Tunisia (MRST) OCASSION Kazakhstan (KazRENA) Kyrgyzstan (KRENA- AKNET) Tajikistan Turkmenistan Uzbekistan (UzSciNet)

7. REDI Structure Sub-Index Cluster Answers what? Infrastructure Usage Affordability Knowledge Quality How capable is the network we built? How much the network is used? Do we have the means to build a good network? How robust is the network we built? Do we have the capacity to use the network?

8. REDI Structure Sub-Index Cluster Answers what? Infrastructure Usage Affordability Knowledge Quality Network capacity Resources utilization Financial capacity General infrastructure landscape Policy environment Human capacity Human output Network performance How capable is the network we built? How much the network is used? Do we have the means to build a good network? How robust is the network we built? Do we have the capacity to use the network? How to answer?

9. REDI Structure Infrastructure Sub-Index CategorySub-category Infrastructure Sub-Index How to construct the Sub-Index? Access network capacity External connectivity capacity Core network capacity N e t w o r k c a p a c i t y

10. REDI Input Infrastructure Sub-index (Source: TERENA compendium)

11. REDI Structure Infrastructure Sub-index CategorySub-category Infrastructure Core network size per user Core network capacity per user Sub-Index Sub-Sub-Index External connectivity with peerings per user Core network size per sq km Access network capacity per user External connectivity without peerings per user N e t w o r k c a p a c i t y

12. REDI Structure Sub-Indices Category Infrastructure Usage Affordability Knowledge Quality External connectivity capacity Core network capacity Access network capacity IP outgoing traffic IP incoming traffic GDPExpenditure on R&D Literacy School enrolment Patents Researchers in R&D NREN budget Sub-Index Indicators Internet tariff International Internet bandw. Internet users Regulatory situation Unreachability Losses Jitter Throughput Network capacity Resources utilization Financial capacity General infrast. landscape Policy environment Human capacity Human output Network performance How to answer? RTT

13. Findings: NREN International Bandwidth The total capacity of external links is indicative of the nominal ability of the NREN to carry traffic to the global Internet. –More than two orders of magnitude disparity between EU Member States –More than three orders of magnitude between EU and the MED in average The average GEANT2 (34), Balkan (6) and MED (7) NRENs international bandwidth is 12Gb/s, 252Mb/s and 70Mb/s respectively

14. Findings: NREN International Bandwidth per Researcher, Student, etc Slovakia and the Netherlands score an average of 40kb/s –More than three orders of magnitude disparity between EU Member States, Ukraine, Syria, Uzbekistan by four orders (0.004b/s). –The avg. GEANT2 (34), Balkan (6) and MED (7) NRENs international bandwidth per user is 6kb/s, 0.7kb/s and 0.03kb/s respectively. –The “NEW-EU-MS-10” outperforms by a factor of 2 any other average. The “trailing tail” of NRENs in the plotted figure are expected to encounter significant difficulty to access cutting-edge R&E applications and services over their international connection.

15. Findings: NREN Infrastructure Index By convoluting the set of indicators related to the NREN infrastructure, it is exhibited that there is a significant disparity –two orders of magnitude between Bulgaria (1,02) and the Netherlands (100) –four orders of magnitude between Syria (0,01) and the Netherlands (100). –between avg. GEANT2 (12,32), Balkan (5,90) and MED (0,18).

16. Research and Education Development Index (2005 data)

17. Plotting the Digital Divide

18. Recommendations 1.GÉANT extensions in developing regions. 2.NRENs’ institutional role. 3.Predictability, fair competition, and deregulation of (telecom) markets. 4.EC special support action for low REDI performers (e-RED Initiative). 5.Member States’ R&E roadmaps in sync and in tune. 6.Education and training programmes for accessing and utilizing e-Infrastructures. 7.Monitor periodically progress towards sustainability through the REDI. 8.Policy Statement - Declaration of Solidarity for diminishing the digital divide.

19. Future Work Further validate raw input from databases Assess and improve convolution methods and weights Identify data for the Quality Index and include in measurements Run the Index for 2007 and potentially on an annual basis for a 3-5 year period Endorsement by Stakeholders: –National Research and Education Networks –Management of research institutes, universities and other research organizations –Governments and research funding bodies –European Commission / DG INFSO and other DGs –European Parliament / STOA

20. Acknowledgements TERENA Compendium team EARNEST panel members Geographic Issues Study Advisory Board Pinger team ITU / WorldBank / WEF / OECD - workgroups and studies