1. Regional Integration Through ASEAN Keynote address by Rodolfo C. Severino, Head, ASEAN Studies Centre, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, at the Asian-German Dialogue Singapore, 23 June 2011

2. Meaning of Regional Integration Broader meaning: –Political cohesion –Economic integration –Regional cooperation Inter-related Work in progress (2015?), esp. pol/sec and socio-cultural Will take time; never-ending External relations

3. Political Cohesion Vietnam into Cambodia –Resistance –Political settlement Philippines Myanmar Human rights South China Sea Cambodia-Thailand skirmishes Blueprint for APSC full of words like encourage, promote, etc., but aim is clear – no fighting between members and keeping SE Asia uninvolved in quarrels of major power; inclusive, non- adversarial

4. Economic Integration AFTA –Tariff-cutting on track –NTBs AICO working Other agreements in place: –Services –Investments –Customs –Standards and conformance –Transport, communications Problem: implementation, effectiveness But commitments

5. Regional Cooperation SARS, other communicable diseases Haze Drugs Terrorism, TNC Environment

6. Obstacles to Integration: ASEAN Diversity –Political, economic, social systems –Historic alliances and orientations –Disparities in economic levels –Differences in institutional strength Mutual suspicion Legacy of antagonism Different values placed on regionalism

7. Obstacles to Integration: East Asia Rivalry among NE Asians ASEAN default hub and convenor Disparities: –Political –Economic –Social Mutual suspicion

8. External Relations Dialogue partnerships ARF ASEAN+3 ASEM ASEAN+1s EAS ASEAN-UN

9. External Relations FTA: CEP or CEC (mainly political, except probably ANZ) China Japan ROK India ANZ US? EU?

10. ASEAN+3 CMI: –Surveillance –Swap arrangements –Training and research Multilateralization Enlargement Other areas of cooperation

11. EAS ASEAN+3+Australia, India, NZ Promoted by Japan, Singapore, Indonesia Leaders-led ERIA Now Russia, US EAFTA vs CEPEA? Issues that may arise from US entry: –CEPEA: ROK FTA experience, TPP, FTAAP –US agenda

12. What can EU and others do? Support for IAI: –Infrastructure –HRD –Reforms Do not let Myanmar politics hamper relations with ASEAN Rule of law in SCS AICO