1. 1 Course Overview Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener EMIS 7370 STAT 5340 Probability and Statistics for Scientists and Engineers Department of Engineering Management, Information and Systems

2. 2 Blackboard Overview Objectives Contact Information Homework Exams Schedule Assignments Course Overview

3. 3 Blackboard Overview

4. 4 Course Schedule Tuesday Thursday 12:00 PM – 2:10 PM Location: 203 Junkins First ClassTuesday, Jun 1 Mid-term Exam Thursday, Jul 1 Last ClassTuesday, Jul 27 Final ExamTBD Please visit http://www.smu.edu/catalogs/calendar.asp for the official calendar. http://www.smu.edu/catalogs/calendar.asp

5. 5 Course Textbook (Optional) Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, Ronald E. Walpole, 8th ed., McMillan, NY, 2006.

6. 6 Objectives

7. 7 Provide Overview of Course Topics Organization Structure Operation Grading Schedule Expectations

8. 8 My Objectives To provide you with concepts, methods and techniques that - are relevant to engineering practice - provide a balance between theory and application To provide you some benefits of my many years of industry experience - example applications - lessons learned - career guidance

9. 9 This course is an introduction to fundamentals of probability, probability distributions and statistical techniques used by engineers and physical scientists. Topics include basic concepts and rules of probability, random variables, probability distributions, expectation and variance, sampling and sampling distributions, statistical analysis techniques, statistical inference – estimation and tests of hypothesis, correlation and regression, and analysis of variance. Course Description

10. 10 Course Objectives To prepare students with diverse technical backgrounds and objectives with fundamental probabilistic & statistical concepts, methods, and techniques for use in continuing graduate studies and in engineering & technical management through a balance of theory and application involving engineering decision making, including situations in which uncertainty and risk are important. Emphasis is placed on problem definition, solution, interpretation of results, and presentation.

11. 11 Contact Information

12. 12 ProfessorJerrell Stracener, Ph.D., SAE Fellow & AIAA Associate Fellow Office:300 Caruth Phone:214.768.1535 Email:jerrell@lyle.smu.edu Mail:EMIS Department PO Box 750123 Dallas, TX 75275-0123 EMIS Dept:Tammy Sherwood Phone: 214.768.1100 Fax: 214.768.1112 Website: http://lyle.smu.edu/~jerrells/courses/emis7370sum10 Instructor

13. 13 Course Website Blackboard System: https://courses.smu.edu/webapps/login/ Click Login Username:SMU id number Password:SMU email’s password Class website http://lyle.smu.edu/~jerrells/courses/emis7370sum10 Click Login

14. 14 Function of Course Websites Blackboard is used for homework, project submissions and all grade posting, including midterm and final exams. Class website is used to post lecture material, resource material and student network. If you have any questions for any of above, please contact Dr. Stracener or his TA by email.

15. 15 Office Hours By appointment only: Monday through Friday - in my office - by phone email request for meeting to jerrell@lyle.smu.edu

16. 16 Assistant Ray Sun: sunray0620@gmail.com Olivia Han: Olivia.han0114@gmail.com

17. 17 Email Subject: EMIS 7370 – Key word(s) To: Select Appropriate Person and copy other two –Jerrell –Olivia –Ray

18. 18 Homework

19. 19 Homework (Assignments) Homework problems (for credit) will be posted on Blackboard system with the Due Date Homework problem solutions shall be independent work Submit your solutions via blackboard utilizing submission guidelines Review my solutions on Blackboard system Your grades will be posted on the blackboard system within 1 week of receipt

20. 20 Homework Due Date Turn in homework assignments at the beginning of the class within one week after problem is assigned. Retain a copy of everything you submit

21. 21 Homework Problem Grades Grades will be posted on the blackboard system. Individual assignments will receive a grade from 0 to 10 in 0.5 increments. Assignments will receive a 10 if and only if the answer is correct and the method for obtaining the answer is correct. If a student misinterprets a problem, but solves it correctly according to his misinterpretation, the assignment may receive a 10 if it covers the topics required.

22. 22 Homework Problem Grades (continued) A maximum of 9.0 can be obtained if the answer is wrong, but method is correct If one part of the problem is marked down, subsequent part that rely on this original part will not be marked down because of this error, but may be marked down for other reasons Assignments showing no method but only the correct answer will not receive more than a 5.0 The reason for any points lost will be indicated on the comments of your assignments on Blackboard system

23. 23 Homeworks - Submission Guidelines Please submit the homework via blackboard system. Your id is your SMU id number. Your password is same as your SMU account password. For a submission problem, contact assistants. MS Word, Excel and Power Point are the preferred file type for attachments. Equation editor is worth your time to learn. Scanned images can easily be inserted into these documents.

24. 24 Homeworks - Submission Guidelines, continued Avoid scanning your work and sending it as a large image. This is an inefficient use of the internet. Make images 72 dpi, and use color only if necessary and do not use shading. Do not send zipped files, or other files which have been compressed. It is easier to optimize the file. These files may be printed, so please do not make the print area larger than 8.5” X 11”.

25. 25 Exams

26. 26 Exams - Instructions Exams will be in-class (proctored) Exams are cumulative Exams should not be taken until the material for the previous lecture has been viewed Exams should not be taken until solutions have been received for all homework submitted Open book and notes Calculator Required  Turn cell phones off Clearly box your answers Independent work Staple, do not fold Write your name on each page

27. 27 Course Grade GraduateUndergraduate Homework 25%40% Midterm Exam25%30% Final Exam 35%30% Project15%

28. 28 Grade Break Down Course Grade GPA NumericalLetter 93-100A4.0 90-92 A-3.7 86-89 B+3.3 83-85B3.0 80-82 B-2.7 76-79 C+2.3 73-75 C2.0 70-72 C-1.7

29. 29 Operating Mode

30. 30 Operating Mode Lecture material will be posted on my website in accordance with the Course Outline. Check “Announcements” in the Blackboard system frequently to be aware of any announcements or updates. I will use charts (hard copy) printed from the website for basic lecture material, but may mark up in class to illustrate concepts or to make a point.

31. 31 Operating Mode _ Continued Download & print charts prior to class for your use during class (see Power Point/Printing help on my website if needed) You should note any key points, etc, during lecture on the charts you printed from the website. Homework Problems (for credit) will be posted on Blackboard system under Assignments

32. 32 Operating Mode (continued) My solutions to homework problems and midterm exam will be provided via blackboard after receipt of your assignment and after receiving your exam solutions Inform me of any errors, or suspected errors immediately with “Urgent” in subject line of your email

33. 33 Introduction and Expectations Who am I? Who are you? What do I expect? What do you expect?

34. 34 Course Expectations Your expectations Topics of special interest Relevance to current job Relevance to career goals and objectives

35. 35 Introductions - You Name Major Employer Job Reason for taking course Expectations Visit the Student Directory

36. 36 Introductions - Me Education Experience Teaching Work Professional Society for more information, visit my website at: http://lyle.smu.edu/emis/newsys/

37. 37 Maintain Contact! Let me hear from you! - accomplishments - application of course material - needs Keep abreast of new developments - updated course materials - new/improved courses - training courses and certificates Systems Engineering Program website: http://lyle.smu.edu/emis/sys/

38. 38 The 4+1 Master’s Degree Program The 4+1 Program permits the SMU Engineering student to study towards B.S. and M.S degrees simultaneously and possibly with fewer courses than if taken separately. Up to nine (9) SCH of graduate course work can be applied towards the undergraduate degree requirements. In such cases, students may fulfill both bachelors and masters degree requirements in as few as 21 SCH beyond the B.S. coursework. For more info see: http://lyle.smu.edu/emis/Programs/4___1_Master_s _Degree_Program/4___1_master_s_degree_progra m.html

39. 39 Roadmap to Multiple Masters Degrees with Fewer Total Courses SMU’s School of Engineering permits its graduate students to take advantage of degree-requirement overlaps to acquire a second Masters degree by taking as few as six courses (18 semester credit hours). This is available for prospective and current graduate students, as well as alumni who have already received a MS from SMU. For more info see: http://lyle.smu.edu/emis/Programs/Fast_Second_EMI S_Masters_Degre/fast_second_emis_masters_degre. html

40. 40 Assignments Student Directory Student Profile HW 20 Course Project

41. 41 Assignment - Student Directory Purpose - to promote the sharing of ideas and techniques for problem solving among students - to promote technology and information interchange - to facilitate networking To be listed, provide your: name email address organization name geographic location Submit via Blackboard within 1 week

42. 42 Assignment - Student Profile Provide the following info (for my use only), in an easy to read bulleted format, using phrases. Name Photo – prefer current one Employer Brief job description Mailing address Phone and fax numbers Career objectives (near term, and long term) Major Degrees: Types, institutions and dates Submit via Blackboard within 1 week

44. EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340 Term Project SubmittalDue Date Grade % AssignedJune 1, 2010 Project PlanJune 29, 2010 20 Presentation ChartsJuly 29, 2010 30 Final Report July 29, 2010 50

45. EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340 Term Project Scope - Project may be broad in scope spanning a number of topics, or it may be focused on one or selected topics. Motivation - The project ideally will be undertaken in response to a real need by you and/or your organization, or it could be undertaken by a desire to obtain exposure in a new or different job environment or to increase your expertise or or for technology interchange. Goal - Describe what you want to accomplish. Description - Describe your approach including strategy, objectives, needs, resource requirements, what you intend to achieve, statement & scope of work, risks, etc...

46. EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340 Term Project Product - Describe the product that you will produce & deliver Benefits - To you and/or your organization Other - Describe relationships of the project to your job, identify any assistance obtained Master Schedule - Tasks & milestones along with your planned effort in hours Grading Criteria – Description 5 – Definition of tasks10 – Schedule 5 20

47. EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340 Term Project Presentation Outline (Suggested): 20 minutes – Overview (Summary of Presentation) – Pictures/Diagrams ( to increase understandability) – Statement of Need and Problem – Analysis/Study/Evaluation/Etc – Results – Summary and Conclusions (key points) Grading Criteria – Understandability 10 – Follow-through 10 – Results 10 30

48. EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340 Term Project Table of Contents – Executive Summary – Introduction- Need, Problem, Objective, Approach – Ground Rules & Assumptions – Analysis/Study/Evaluation/Etc – Results – Summary and Conclusions – References – Appendix A_ Project Plan – Appendix B_ Project Presentation Grading Criteria – Organization10 – Correlation with Course Topical Coverage10 – Technical Basis of Results 20 – Summary and Conclusions10 50

49. EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340 Homework 20 Course Critical Evaluation - within 24 hours after the final exam For each of the following categories identify and describe 3 best features 3 worst features one suggestion for improvement - Overall Course - Course Content - Topics and Organization - Course Structure and Format - Course Materials - Books, Handouts, References - Tests and Grading - Course Delivery - website, e-mail, network, etc... - Professor

50. EMIS 7370 & STAT 5340 Homework 20 Course Evaluation Overall numerical grade assigned for the course using the following grading criteria Grade = 93 - 100:A 90 - 92:A- 86 - 89:B+ 83 - 85:B 80 - 82:B- 76 - 79:C+ 73 - 75:C

51. Selected Homework 20 - Excellent

52. Overall course 3 best features –The overall course went deep into statistics and probability and I learned a lot about things that relate to the real world –It had a logical pattern throughout the semester. I liked having only relevant material (notes) instead of using a book. I also am very grateful this tests are open note. –Prof. Stracener explained everything we would do in detail at the first class period. He showed exactly what we would be learning and what to expect. 3 worst features –Sometimes class was boring and it was difficult to stay concentrated. –The final exam was significantly more difficult than the midterm. It had some questions that did not resemble anything we had gone over. –I am taking this class for 4+1 and I wish the homework counted more as of our grade as a graduate class. Improvement –Make old exams or more practice questions available before tests.

53. Course Content - Topics and Organization 3 best features –Everything was organized logically. Prof Stracener had that flow chart slide to show us how it all fits together. –All topics relate to some real life situation that we could be faced in at different companies. This will help us in the working world. –Organization was key throughout this class. The notes were organized, and by the time the midterm and final came around, my notebook was organized in the exact same manner. 3 worst features –Some of the topics in the notes we never went over (F distribution) and should have not been included in the notes. –The last 2 classes were over topics we wouldn’t be tested on and I would have rather them not be included. –There is really no other worst feature of the topics and organization. It was all very clearly stated in the first class and everything was followed through very logically. Improvement –Make the topics in the notes relevant to the test and remove those that aren’t.

54. Course Structure and Format 3 best features –Course structure was listed to us very clearly on the first day of class and this helped to know what to expect throughout the semester. –I really enjoyed using the website because literally everything for the class was on there. It was a huge help throughout the semester. –Everything that was expected from the students was evident and followed the structure Prof. Stracener had set. 3 worst features –The second half of the semester some of the information was blurred together. It wasn’t until studying for the final that I understood what information went under which category. (Estimation and Hypothesis Testing had a lot of subdivisions under them) –There really were no other bad features to the structure and format. It was a very structured course. Improvement –Maybe before each class explain where we are in relation to other material. For example, if we were learning about Hypothesis Test of 2 Means, remind the students that this is part of Hypothesis Testing.

55. Course Materials - Books, Handouts, References 3 best features –I loved the online Notes, Refrences, and Handouts. The website was very beneficial all semester and was easy to navigate. –The book was never used, which I think helps with the learning process because you learn exactly what the teacher thinks is important. I liked having Prof. Stracener’s notes as a “book”. –Notes all had similar layouts so it was easier to understand them. When studying for the exams, I could pin point exactly when a new topic began. 3 worst features –The book was rarely used, which I did not mind, but I wish I wouldn’t have bought it. It was an expensive book that has been sitting on my shelf all semester. –There were no other bad features about the books and references! Improvement –Make it obvious that the book is optional to buy, or do not have a book on the booklist at all.

56. Tests and Grading 3 best features –The tests were long and had few problems, but I think the grading on the midterm was good. Partial credit is always given when it is deserved. –Grading on homework is very fair as well. Partial credit is given when possible. 3 worst features –The Final exam had questions that did not resemble anything we had learned. –When we did have a test, there were no example problems to refer to (other than our homework). – The percentage amount of our tests are too high. I wish the final exam didn’t count as much and the homework counted a little more. Improvement –I do not know if this class does a curve, but I hope it is taken into consideration because the final exam was very difficult. –Make old test questions or more practice questions available before exams. –Make the tests count as less and the homework count as more for our final grade (even for grad students).

57. Course Delivery - website, e-mail, network 3 best features –Website was very useful and easy to navigate through. I loved it and it helped me throughout the entire semester. –My questions via email were always responded to very quickly. –Great use of all resources on the website. It has everything needed for the class. It acted like a book and more! 3 worst features –When writing an email to the professor and 2 TAs, I never knew who to address to or who would respond. –Everything else was great! No other features I did not like! Improvement –None!

58. Professor 3 best features –Prof. Stracener was always very helpful and friendly. He was always willing to answer my questions and happy to do so. –He also was very understanding and truly cared about his students. He reminded us often to talk to him if we were having trouble in the class or would be unable to turn in the homework on time. When my group decided to change our project topic mid-semester, Prof Stracener was very supportive and even gave us ideas to make our project a success. –He is very knowledgeable in the field of statistics and therefore highly qualified to be teaching it. He has obviously had many jobs that involve statistics and always had real life examples to share in class. 3 worst features –Sometimes class was a little dull because everything had to be recorded for the distance students. Improvement –None! He was a great teacher.

59. Course Evaluation Overall numerical grade assigned for the course using the following grading criteria Grade = A- 95 - 100:A 90 - 94:A- 86 - 89:B+ 83 - 85:B 80 - 82:B- 76 - 79:C+ 73 - 75:C

60. Selected Homework 20 – Not Acceptable

61. I think everything is excellent. Professor Stracener explained everything clearly with enough examples. The homework is closed related with the content in the class and we have opportunity to have bonus credit to catch up. Everything is so good! Thanks!