1. The Spatial Strategy sub regional emphases

2. 1What is / isn’t RSS? 2How did we get to where we are with RSS? 3Myths about RSS 4Realism….about growth and meeting needs 5Principles…sustainability and development 6Pragmatism….about capacity 7Strategy 8What does it mean for this area?

3. RSS is : Part of the Statutory Development Plan Sits alongside the RES and other Regional strategies within the IRS Contains a Regional Transport Strategy Strategic guidance which will be translated into detailed plans in Local Development Documents RSS isn’t: Detailed….not every place can be mentioned Based on ‘Predict and Provide’. It sets a ‘direction of travel’ and gives strategic direction about how much provision for development is needed but this will be reviewed as part of ‘Plan, Monitor, Manage’ What the RSS Is and Isn’t

4. Starting With RPG 10 JSA Studies Strategy Options Develop Preferred Strategy Consultation outcomes Functionality studies Levels of Growth Forecasts JSA results Broad Distributional Strategy ‘Fit for Purpose’ Review Spring 2004…. ‘more on less’ Autumn 2004 9 Studies of key Urban centres and their links July 2005 Debates: Strategy Document NOT THE RSS ‘The Way Ahead’ SW Communities Plan Submission Feb 2005 Section 4/4 Advice and first proposals RSS The Story So Far

5. The Draft RSS for Consideration by the Assembly on 10 th March and Submission to the Deputy Prime Minister by 31 st March Submission end March 2006 Public Consultation May/June/July EIP Spring 2007 RSS Issued Spring 2008 RSS The Next Steps

6. RSS is all urban and nothing for the rural areas The housing numbers are imposed by government The RSS will develop all over the Green Belts RSS Myths

7. 1991 to 2001 highest regional population growth rate Average economic growth has been nearly 3% pa Our best estimate is that this will continue at these sorts of rates but… we need to be smarter about managing the consequences of growth This region is growing and we need to plan for it Realism ….about growth

8. RSS Principle Being Smarter about Managing Growth Strategic Sustainability Assessment Prescription Reduce the Region’s ‘Eco Footprint’ and Emissions Less Travel Better Use of Resources More Resource Efficient Building Practices Anticipate Climate Change effects RSS Principle : Sustainability

9. 66% 15,200 dpa 14% 3,300 dpa 20% 4700 dpa A 21 B c 50-100 C c 3000 Settlements Development 23,200 dpa RSS Settlements & Development

10. 50% 80 % concentration Focus : degree of concentration on 20+ Strategic cities & towns Growth / dwellings p.a. RPG10 23.2k pa 25k pa High RPG 20k pa 50% 80% JOBS 2.8% gva 30k pa Commuting largely by car RSS The Numbers Game 25k pa 70% 60%

11. Technical forecasts say we need to provide 25,000 new dwellings per year…at least Bottom up assessments by local authorities suggest less can be provided within local capacity of environment, infrastructure etc The draft RSS therefore contains provision for about 23,200 new dwellings per year RSS Pragmatism

12. SW Net annual migration gain = >30,000 from UK, + c 3k from abroad Large net gain of younger adults as well as >45s and retired SW tends to retain more of its workers as they grow older & retire SE and London main origin regions (75% of total net gain) Other regions have declined in net no.s contributed as SW house prices have risen

13. The Spatial Strategy sub regional emphases and Policy A named towns

14. Policy A: Strategically Significant Cities and Towns Policy B: Other Towns… ‘market towns’ Policy C: Development in small towns and villages and the countryside Policy D: Infrastructure & Development Policy E: High Quality Design Policy F: Urban Extensions Master Planning Policy G: Sustainable Construction Policy H: Re-using Land Key Development Policies

15. RSS and Regional Transport Strategy Core Transport Strategy 1Minimise need to travel 2Improve how cities work: public transport and demand management 3Connectivity : resilience and reliance of links 4Accessibility 5Priority and resources link with RFA and Way Ahead

16. RSS :growth and change for Gloucestershire Joint Study Areas and SSCTs Cheltenham/ Gloucester1500 dpa Districts dpa 06/16 16/26 Cheltenham425 425 425 Cotswold300 340 260 Forest of Dean270 300 240 Gloucester575 575 575 Stroud335 435 235 Tewkesbury525 525 525

18. RSS :growth and change for the West of England Joint Study Areas and SSCTs dpa West of England4625 Bristol urban area3125 Bathurban area375 Weston s Mare575 Unitaries dpa 06/16 16/26 Bath & NE Somerset 775 775 775 Bristol City1400 1400 1400 North Somerset1300 1300 1300 South Gloucestershire1150 1150 1150

20. Numbers Game 2: for Wiltshire and Swindon: Joint Study Area and SSCTs dpa Swindon1750 Chippenham225 Trowbridge250 Salisbury250 2475 Districts dpa 06/16 16/26 Kennet250 250 250 North Wilts.550 600 500 West Wilts.525 550 500 Salisbury460 460 460 Unitaries Swindon BC1700 1820 1680 3485

22. RSS :growth and change for Dorset, Bournemouth & Poole Joint Study Areas and SSCTs Conurbation1555 – 1720 dpa Dorchester/690 Weymouth Districts dpa 06/16 16/26 Christchurch165-180 East Dorset130 130 130 North Dorset255 290 220 Purbeck105 105 105 West Dorset410 410 410 W eymouth & P ortland 280 280 280 Unitaries Bournemouth680-780 Poole450-500

30. RSS :growth and change for Devon, Plymouth and Torbay Joint Study Areas and SSCTs dpa Exeter925 Plymouth1575 Torbay500 Barnstaple240 Newton Abbott200 Districts dpa 06/16 16/26 East Devon570 515 625 Exeter525 525 525 Mid Devon320 350 290 North Devon405 395 415 South Hams550 650 450 Teignbridge430 480 380 Torridge240 240 240 West Devon190 190 190 Plymouth1225 1000 1425 Torbay500 Dartmoor NP see W Devon

31. RSS :growth and change for Somerset and Exmoor Joint Study Area and SSCTs Taunton790 dpa Bridgwater310 Yeovil320 Districts dpa 06/16 16/26 Mendip360 420 300 Sedgemoor420 460 380 South Somerset680 730 630 Taunton Deane955 825 905 West Somerset110 110 110 Exmoor NPsee W Somerset

32. RSS :growth and change for Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly Joint Study Area and SSCT CPR/Falmouth Truro690 dpa Districts Caradon290 290 290 Carrick500 500 500 Kerrier410 410 410 North Cornwall380 400 360 Penwith240 240 240 Restormel430 460 400 Isles of Scilly5 2255