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2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL
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2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL METHODOLOGY 217 surveys sent to one representative at each agribusiness 58 responses No incentive 27% return
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CropsLivestockCombined Very optimistic15%6%12% Optimistic50%34%45% Neutral28%50%35% Somewhat negative7%5%7% Very negative0%5%2% 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL What is your overall outlook for your ag business in 2010 compared to 2009?
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CropsLivestockCombined Very optimistic3%0%2% Optimistic45%50%35% Neutral42%44%52% Somewhat negative7%0%7% Very negative3%6%4% 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL What is your overall outlook for the general agriculture economy in 2010 compared to 2009?
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CropsLivestockCombined Very optimistic0% Optimistic31%44%35% Neutral38%45%40% Somewhat negative23%11%20% Very negative8%0%5% 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL What is your outlook for the overall U.S. economy in 2010 compared to 2009?
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Corn (86.4 mil in 2009) Soybeans (77.5 mil in 2009) Cotton (9.1 mil in 2009) 10%+ increase0%2%6% 5-10% increase7%18%8% 1-4% increase41% 20% Same as 200931%18%25% 1-4% decrease18% 33% 5-10% decrease3% 8% 10%+ decrease0% 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL What do you estimate the change in U.S. planted acres will be next year for the following crops?
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Under $3/bushel5% $3.00-$3.24/bushel19% $3.25-$3.49/bushel16% $3.50-$3.74/bushel30% $3.75-$3.99/bushel5% $4/bushel and over24% AVERAGE$3.50 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL The average corn price in 2009 was $3.30 per bushel. What do you estimate the average selling price will be in 2010?
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Under $8/bushel5% $8.00-$8.50/bushel10% $8.51-$9.00/bushel25% $9.01-$9.50/bushel15% $9.51-$10.00/bushel33% More than $10/bushel12% AVERAGE$9.38 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL The average soybean price in 2009 was $9.50 per bushel. What do you estimate the average selling price will be in 2010?
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Under $0.55/pound22% $0.55-$0.60/pound44% $0.61-$0.70/pound13% $0.71-$0.80/pound15% More than $0.80/pound6% AVERAGE$0.62 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL The average cotton price in 2009 was $0.54 per pound. What do you estimate the average selling price will be in 2010?
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$3.45-$4.00/bushel5% $4.01-$5.00/bushel28% $5.01-$5.50/bushel36% $5.51-$6.0020% More than $6.00/bushel11% AVERAGE$5.35 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL The average hard red wheat price in 2009 was $5.20 per bushel. What do you estimate the average selling price will be in 2010?
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Beef Cow/Calf (31.7 mil in ‘09) Fed Beef Cattle (53.5 mil in ‘09) Dairy Cows (9.3 mil in ‘09) Sows (6 mil in ‘09) Fed Hogs (114 mil in ‘09) 10%+ increase0% 5-10% increase0% 1-4% increase27%20%13%7% Same as 200927%33%8%20%27% 1-4% decrease33% 53%26%40% 5-10% decrease13%7%13%40%13% 10%+ decrease0%7%13%7%13% 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL What do you estimate the change in the U.S. herd size will be for the following?
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$75/cwt8% $85/cwt15% $86/cwt23% $87/cwt15% $88/cwt15% $89/cwt7% $90/cwt15% AVERAGE$86.31 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL The average price for fed cattle in 2009 was $84 per cwt. What do you estimate the average selling price will be in 2010?
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$14/lb23% $14.10/lb8% $14.25/lb8% $14.50/lb8% $15/lb46% $16/lb7% AVERAGE$14.68 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL The average price for milk in 2009 was $12.40 per pound. What do you estimate the average selling price will be in 2010?
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$48/cwt8% $50/cwt8% $53/cwt15% $55/cwt30% $57/cwt8% $60/cwt8% $65/cwt15% $70/cwt8% AVERAGE$57.00 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL The average price for lean hogs in 2009 was $53 per cwt. What do you estimate the average selling price will be in 2010?
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CropsLivestockCombined Increase70%59%67% Same as 200918%29%21% Decrease13%12% 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL How do you estimate your ag business’s revenues next year will compare to 2009 revenues?
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CropsLivestockCombined Fewer than 1072%94%80% 10-2913%0%8% 30-493%0%2% 50-996%0%4% 100 or more6% AVERAGE281418 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL How many new products/services is your ag business going to launch in 2010?
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CropsLivestockCombined Significantly more8%0%5% More34%39%36% Same50%44%48% Less8%11%9% Significantly less0%6%2% 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL How does that compare to last year?
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Field equipment/accessories9% Soil/plant nutrients5% Crop protection products14% Seed/traits23% Farmstead & grain storage structures/water management5% Ag credit2% Insurance2% Animal health/feed14% Genetics2% Livestock handling equipment/animal ID2% Other22% 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL Which of the following is your firm’s major product or service?
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CropsLivestockCombined More than $5 billion16%0%11% $1 billion to $5 billion22%29%24% $500 million to $1 billion8%6%7% $250 million to $500 million19%6%15% $100 million to $250 million11%29%17% Less than $100 million24%29%26% 2010 AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS OUTLOOK POLL Approximately what were your ag business unit’s sales in 2009?
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