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Published byAlvin Berry Modified over 9 years ago
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Analyzing Drunk Driving Trends in Canada Thesis: A person is most likely to commit an impaired driving offence if they are: male, between the ages of 22-25, live in Saskatchewan, and are driving during weekend hours.
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This graph represents a negative correlation, thus suggesting that the rate of Impaired Driving crimes has decreased since 1977. Despite this decreasing pattern, impaired driving continues to remain a dangerous concern. Today in Canada, on any given night, 25% of the drivers on the road have been drinking; 6% of which are legally impaired. It is estimated that alcohol is involved in 50% of all fatal traffic accidents and in 30% of traffic injuries, killing over 2500 people a year.
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Year(x) Total impaired driving Incidents in Canada Male Offenders Males as % of Total Female Offenders Females as % of Total 200045,34238,66785%5,47812% 200147,51540,30484%8,87118% 200247,00239,57684%6,10212% 200345,03137,69483%6,00313% 200444,33936,91683%6,00113% 200543,20034,98580%5,77213% 200641,23333,07680%5,49313%
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Mean Offences:225,588 Median Offences: 250,000 Standard Deviation: 107, 154 ● Age 22: Z Score: x- mean /sigma 450,000- 225,588= 224,412 / 107,154 = 2.09 =98th percentile ● Age 25: Z score: x-mean / sigma 350,000 – 225, 588= 124,412 / 107,154 = 1.16 = 88th percentile
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The graph proves that weekend Impaired Driving offences are much higher than weekday Driving offences. This trend is due to the social activity related to weekend driving vs. weekday driving.
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The Graph demonstrates a trend between provincial riding and impaired Driving offences. Saskatchewan reported the highest number of offences, with 618,000, while Newfoundland reported the lowest, with 183,000.
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The scatter plot demonstrates a positive correlation between the two variables. Based on this trend, it can be determined that there is a “Correlation” between the two variables. Proof of “Causation” does not exist, simply because many factors influence impaired driving offences. r=0.96 Based on the proximity of the correlation coefficient to “1”, the correlation of this graph is strong.
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Based on the the evidence presented in this report, it can be concluded that impaired driving is a prevalent and severe issue across the nation. Through the analysis of each specific variable, it can be determined that a person is most likely to commit a crime of this nature if they are male, aged 22-25, live in Saskatchewan, and drive during weekend hours. Therefore, based on factual support, the thesis of this report has been confirmed.
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