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30 Years of Reform & Opening up and Looking forward LSE, 3 December 2008
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In December 1978, the Chinese government shifted its priority from political struggle to economic development, thereby initiating a new era of reform and opening up in China. Deng Xiaoping: We must catch up with the times, and this should be the objective of the reform.
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I. Four stages of reform and opening up The initial stage: from December 1978 to September 1984 The period of comprehensive progress: from October 1984 to January 1992 The period of institutional innovation: from February 1992 to October 2002 The period of ‘storming the fortress’: from October 2002 onward
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The initial stage: The reforms started in the rural areas. Farmers obtained the right of land use
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4 special economic zones set up 14 coastal open cities designated The three-stage strategy put forward by Deng Xiaoping SHENZHEN
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The second stage: Reform priority shifted to the cities Reform of state owned enterprises introduced
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Township and village enterprises flourished Special economic zone in Hainan and development area of Pudong, Shanghai declared
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The third stage: The objective of ‘a socialist market economy’ embraced Reform of SOEs a major priority
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Accession to the WTO The principle of building rule of law enshrined in Constitution
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The fourth stage: Further improvement of the socialist market economy The objective of building a moderately prosperous society
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The theory of scientific outlook on development Protection of lawful private property enshrined in Constitution
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II. major achievements of reform and opening up Sustained and fast growth and qualitative leap of comprehensive national strength
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Farewell to the shortage economy and explosion of consumption
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Substantial reduction in poverty
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Close integration with the global economy
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A vibrant and dynamic economy and society
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Progress in building democracy and rule of law
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III. experiences gained in the past 30 years Clearly defined objectives and Scientific outlook on development Three-step strategy : First step: doubling per capita GDP during the 80s from $250 to $500. Second step: doubling per capita again by the end of the 20 th century to $1,000 and increasing overall GDP to $1 trillion, turning China into a moderately prosperous society. Third step: quadrupling per capita GDP to $4,000 in 30 to 50 years.
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Adherence to reform and opening up in light of China’s national conditions
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Improving living standards and social stability
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Commitment to peace, development, cooperation and win-win outcome
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IV. Major challenges and difficulties facing China Pressure of population and employment
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Resource scarcity and environmental pollution
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Uneven urban-rural and regional development
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Imbalances in economic structure
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V. the Chinese economy amid the global financial crisis 2008 is termed ‘the most difficult year’ for the Chinese economy.
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The financial crisis is hitting China. Many SME closures this year China’s counter-measures: a six hundred billion dollars stimulus package
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VI. Prospects in the coming 10 to 20 years Development programme and strategy
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Stability in macroeconomic management Upgrading of industrial structure
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More efficient use of resources and lower energy intensity
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Central and western expansion LANZHOU
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Fast urbanization
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Expanding Transport Infrastructure
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Better public services in education and health care
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Higher standard of living for all the people
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Emerging civil society
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VII. factors underpinning sustained growth in China abundant labour force a big domestic market
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rich capital reserves (savings and foreign exchange reserve)
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30 Years of Reform & Opening up and Looking forward LSE, 3 December 2008
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