1. Greenhouse Gas Emissions in India: Implications to Climate Change Siv Balachandran Shekhar Chandra

3. Trends of Major Greenhouse Gases

4. Emission Trends: 10 Nations

5. Global Emissions Sources: UNFCC Report

6. India NAAQS

7. Multi-gas Emission Trends

8. **Energy Department projects even more pronounced trends in coming years (11 th fifth year plan, 2007-2011)** Total CO2 Emissions From India: Relative Trends

9. Emissions in India Sources: Earth Trends and Country Profiles

10. India Energy Consumption

11. CO2 Emissions From Different Fuel Type Source: Department of Energy, GoI

12. Future Growth in Different Sources Due to Increasing Needs

13. Future Economic Scenarios IPCC (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios) SRES Framework A: Centralization B: Decentralization 1: High integration with global markets 2: Low integration with global markets Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

14. Emissions Projections National level top-down macro- economic models –SGM/ERB National level bottom-up energy system models –MARKAL with AIM, ANSWER-MARKAL Local level bottom-up models Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

15. Future Growth Trends Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

16. CO2 Emission Scenario IA1 < IA2 Better technology leads to greater efficiency Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

17. CH4 Emission Scenario Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

18. N2O Emission Scenario Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

19. Emission Trends for IA2 Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

20. 100 Year CO2 Trends All scenarios show a rising trend Improved energy efficiency only goes so far Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

21. Stabilization Mechanisms 1990’s - 111 M Tons mitigation –Population growth stabilization –Improved roadway/transit networks –Alternative fuels –Incentives for sustainable technology –Conservation/recycling –Land conservation/re-forestation Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

22. Energy Consumption Coal based power generation and transportation What options are available for stabilizing CO2 emissions from these sources?

23. CO2 Stabilization Scenario Source: Shukla, Current Science, V90, #3

24. Unresolved Questions How realistic are renewable energy goals? Biomass - food vs. fuel? Nuclear feasibility - political and technical? Built-in efficiencies?

27. Summary Role of developing nations in GHG emissions continues to be important Development versus sustainability Multi-faceted solutions