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GRANOLA Fall 2010 Steven Lung
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Demographics Smaller households with a size of one or two members and no kids. Independent singles and established couples receive the largest share - targeted to younger adults The two strongest brands (Cascadian and Sunbelt) have an average price of 15 cents/once, while the third strongest brand has a range of 29 to 52 cents/once Private Label Strategy, does provide flexibility for lower income families to receive a better quality product Archer Farms is the only private label
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Demographics BEAR NAKED CASCADIAN FARMCTLR CATEGORY DISTRIBUTION PANEL DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX INC - <$20,000 16.711.974.151.0 INC - $20,000-29,999 12.632.654.465.1 INC - $30,000-39,999 11.286.472.283.3 INC - $40,000-49,999 9.956.870.599.0 INC - $50,000-69,999 15.870.6124.1114.6 INC - $70,000-99,999 15.5238.2125.3134.1 SIZE - 1 MEM 26.277.372.869.9 SIZE - 2 MEM 32.5113.495.0119.2 SIZE - 3-4 MEM 30.7114.1123.1106.4 SIZE - 5+ MEM 10.674.3115.797.2 AFFLUENT SUBURBAN SPREADS 17.3207.2111.6133.9 PLAIN RURAL LIVING 21.010.385.666.5 START UP FAMILIES 6.688.0222.7138.1 OLDER BUSTLING FAMILIES 9.4154.683.0117.5 EMP - FH EMP. FULL TIME 32.8155.086.398.4 EMP - FH NOT EMPLOYED 35.752.3102.8100.7
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$/oz Sun Belt$0.16 Cascadian Farm$0.16 Bear Naked$0.29 Archer Farms/CTLR$0.16 Bakery on Main's$0.68 Back to Nature$0.42
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Marsh - “Cereal/other breakfast foods”, – Average weekly sales of $9,635.90 – 17.72% of gross margin Granola category has a lesser amount of sales and penetration. Average 2.18% item penetration, Higher gross margins per item sold and lower penetration of the category
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Audits StoreLocationSKUsUnique SKUs* WalMartMall144 WalMart MLK Blvd (6 th ) 100 TargetNorth Shiloh149 Ozarks Natural Food Colllege2717 Harp’sWedington135 Marvin’s IGALafayette2412 Complete Audit 10247 *Not found at any competing retailer No prior Audits
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Archer Farm’s is the only private label
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Stocking Rate MFRBrandRate Small PlanetCascadian Farm5.42 McKee FoodsSun Belt2.06 Bear nakedBear Naked1.69 Quaker OatsQuaker4.5 Bob's Red Mill 1.5 -Quaker presents an impressive 4.5 stocking rate due to its unique SKU Cascadian and Sunbelt as the strongest brands Highest Stocking Rate Store Availability Gross Margins 68 SKUS
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Manufacturer IGAHarp'sTargetWalmart Bear NakedGM32.00%36.80%38.30% SKUs345 Facing%11.523.527.6 Inv.%12.528.635.7 Small Planet FoodSGM6.60%13.60% SKUs16 Facing%5.920.7 Inv.%7.114.3 Mckee FoodsGM13.10%12.60% SKUs35 Facing%23.117.2 Inv.% 23.1 14.3
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Gross Margin estimates do not show consistency across retailers Ozark Natural Foods different target market that is able to price their items at a higher price alongside their exclusive brands – Cascadian Farm a high margin item($3.01) ; furthermore, Walmart’s lower prices create a gross margin ($0.71) differentiation with stores such as Target ($0.53). Bob’s Red Mill is one of the weakest brands in the market
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Target’s Archer Farms is the only private label in the audit Premium quality target Price highly competitive with both Sunbelt and Cascadian Farm – Packaging, position – Gross margin makes Hard to beat competitor. – Unique variety of SKU with its competitive price among both young and older demographics.
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Private labels seem to have a good opportunity to enter this market. The high prices and increasing demand on younger demographics appear to be attractive for private label.
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