2. JMP and SEI research for the Yorkshire and Humber Assembly

3. Research aims to identify practical, deliverable measures within the scope of regional transport policy to significantly reduce levels of carbon dioxide emissions from the transport sector

4. Context for this study

5. Climate Change Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) Fourth Assessment Report

6. Context The earlier YHA report Evaluating the contribution that key regional strategies make towards addressing climate change identifies the contribution of transport to the region’s carbon dioxide emissions 2007

7. Context Transport’s contribution to CO 2 emissions in Yorkshire and the Humber

8. Context – earlier YHA research Modelling of the contribution of transport to a number of hypothetical future scenarios was undertaken, including the Y&H Vision, and a Stabilising Carbon Trends (SCT) scenario

9. Context Transport assumptions in the SCT scenario

10. Our research and the modelling using REAP

11. The task on transport

12. How did we do this?

13. Modelling using REAP

14. In short REAP modelling can provide an indicative view of carbon dioxide emissions under a range of policy scenarios.

15. Modelling in this research

16. Developing Scenarios

17. Business as usual scenario Essentially a baseline position based on continuing delivery of LTP and other existing programmes of transport policy interventions.

18. Do-something scenarios Packages of practical measures that help to achieve increased vehicle occupancy and reduced travel distances, especially by the car This involves the modelling of far reaching programmes of practical transport investment and interventions in the period from 2011, way beyond the scale of current practice in the region

19. Practical transport interventions

20. Interventions used in the modelling

21. Far reaching packages Applied at practical levels to account for regional differences Up to 16 different interventions modelled in each future scenario Modelled effects of the combination of these interventions

22. Interventions used in the modelling Personalised journey planning Regional smartcard Light rail extensions Bus priority measures Rail electrification Workplace travel plans Home working or teleworking Travel awareness and education campaigns Grocery home shopping

23. Interventions used in the modelling School travel plans Car clubs Car sharing HOV lanes Mileage based road user charging Congestion charging in urban areas Car free zones A radical approach to land use planning at new developments

24. Results of the modelling

25. Business as Usual Land transport only

26. Business as Usual Including aviation

27. Step change scenario Land transport only

28. Step change scenario Including aviation

29. Accelerated scenario Land transport only

30. Accelerated scenario Including aviation

31. Comparison of scenarios Including aviation

32. Key Conclusions

34. Where do we go from here?

40. The road from Bali ….. must be paved not with good intentions but concrete actions and rigorous implementation His Excellency Mr. Rachmat Witoelar, President, UN Climate Change Conference, closing address, Bali, 15th December 2007